I posted in another thread about the amazing show Jadeveon Clowney put on against the Rams on the weekend, he was so disruptive, he basically snuffed out our Offense in the first half, pretty much on his own.

I've not taken much notice of our upcoming opposition tbh - are there any elite pass-rushers on the teams that I should keep an eye out for? I know we've got to deal with Cam Jordan with the Saints (I had them in the ROD draft!) Is he the best we're going to come up against??

Jared mic'd up

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Great breakdown of the play that turned the momentum and led to the big win. Two weeks in a row Jared has unleashed a bomb. This game about 52 yards in the air, perfect throw hit Woods in stride. Last week 62 yards in the air perfect throw hit Watkins in stride. Both beautiful spirals.

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Gonna try to avoid re-hashing what’s already been amply covered...

Goff looked like a completely different QB in 2nd half. Nothing seemed to work for McVay/Goff until mid 2nd qtr. But 2nd half? Whoa! Everything they tried in the 3rd qtr was working.

Rams best hit the deck running early vs the Vikings. Or else...

A word about Clowney vs Hav. Early on it was all Clowney. But from late 2nd qtr on something happened and I don’t mean that they started giving Hav lots of help, either. Hav virtually neutralized Clowney from that point onward. Darned if I know how it was done, but it was dramatic. I mean, after the score got very lopsided I could see someone saying that Clowney packed it in, but this transformation occurred back when the Texans still led 7-6. I was damned proud of Hav, to tell you the truth. Check it out if you still have a recording.

I hate to sound like a broken record, but why does McVay keep up with the obligatory Tavon snaps? Five rushes for a net 2 yards? Trust me, the league has caught on. C’mon... [www.nfl.com]

Goff had a helluva game, obviously. But I thought he took at least 2 unnecessary sacks. Emphasis unnecessary. But that 3rd qtr was amazing, so it’s kinda easy to forgive him. Lol.

Savage was hit often and hit hard by our D. He probably slept in the whirlpool Sunday night. His confidence was shot by the mid-3rd qtr, I think, based on body language.

Rams D got 4 turnovers but it shoulda been 6. TruJo dropped a sure pick 6 and Tree was robbed of his by a bs call. Impressive huh? Wade is known for D’s that create turnovers. This one is certainly no different.

Love our DL rotation. Heck I love our entire front 7 both starters and backups. They’re always fresh and there is very little drop off, it seems. Ask Savage. Lol.

Quinn was not missed, was he? Who’d a thunk it?

I’m not as confident with Webster as I’d like to be. There, I said it.

I like having backups playing in the 4th qtr. Means we’ve got the game in the bag. But could I see a little more Everett and Reynolds, please? C’mon, Sean!

There is a synergy to our ST. What I mean is that the combo of good punt coverage, good PR, and Hekker’s punts combined with superb punt coverage leads to inevitable field possession wins. We are so spoiled by now. Combine all that with our scoring O and you have a recipe for leading the league in scoring. Oh wait!

Speaking of leading the league, GZ has quietly become a monster weapon. Mr Automatic, indeed! Helluva 6th round value, huh?

What was McVay thinking with the fake punt on 4th and long around our own 30? That maybe the Texans would never expect it? Damn! It wasn’t as if we were trailing with time running out and were desperate. About gave me a heart attack!

Did I mention that we better start off fast on both O and D vs the Vikings? I don’t want to waste this incredible momentum that has built up.

Quite a list of injuries but didn't sound like any of them were serious.

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I just seem to have missed a bunch of stuff lately....Just saw that OT Andrew Donnal was released late 11/11/17 when RB Lance Dunbar was activated along with the activation of TE Johnny Mundt who also played last Sunday. I not overly surprised by Donnal's release.

Then today late Rams signed OL Jake Eldrenkamp again along with Jeremiah Poutasi to the Practice Squad. Poutasi was a Titan 3rd rd selection back in 2015. His career history thus far was with Tenn Titans his rookie season then went to Jax Jags for the 2016 & earlier this season 2017as a PS member but was waived & now Poutasi is a Ram PS member. He is a big guy over 6-5 330 pounds.

http://www.nfl.com/draft/2017/profiles/jake-eldrenkamp?id=2558713

http://www.nfl.com/draft/2015/profiles/jeremiah-poutasi?id=2552590

wow did the week fly by. Here I am still celebrating the mighty Los Angeles Rams beatdown of the Houston Texans and I realize "crap...its Weds night, I have to post my weekly PTS thread before someone beats me to it"

So here we are.

The 7-2 ( yeah you read that right...7 and 2) Rams fly to Minnesota to take on the 7-2 Vikings. Do the Rams have enough to take down the punks in purple, or will Case Keenum get his revenge on his former team and emerge victorious?

It's week 11 so you guys know the rules, but I am obligated to post them anyway.

Predict the final score of this weeks game. First poster who comes closest to the final score, including the correct winning team, will be awarded 10,000 RODollars to buy all the lutefisk you can handle ( google it if you must).

Predict the exact final score, complete with winning team and win 25,000 RODollars

All prizes to be claimed in the sports book

https://www.si.com/nfl/2017/11/14/mike-martz-sean-mcvay-criticism-coach-jared-goff


I don't know how to make this story pretty on here, so I'll let one of you guys that knows how to do it. Good on Martz for speaking the truth!

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This is interesting. I had thought Sammy seemed to be getting the top corner more often but it was probably just confirmation bias on my part.

It's suppose to be one of the loudest stadium in the US. It has to have some effect on the Rams No Huddle Offense. The Rams have been very effective when going to the no huddle offense but, they have to call plays at the line of scrimmage. The Viking fans could be ready to set the record against the Rams Sunday in a playoff atmosphere as two 7-2 division leaders face off Sunday.

How much will this affect the Rams offense?

Will McVay be burning timeouts early?

Thoughts.


http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.co...um-may-be-too-loud-for-the-home-teams-liking/
New Vikings stadium may be too loud for the home team’s liking
Posted by Mike Florio on September 19, 2016, 7:48 PM ESPN

The brand-new, fixed-roof stadium that supposedly pushes visiting-team crowd noise back to the visiting team’s sideline also is creating some problems for the home team. For the details, let’s defer to the guy who always calls it like he sees it: Vikings guard Alex Boone.

“It’s loud, for some reason, in the stadium,” Boone said, via ESPN.com. “There’s a lot of times where we can’t hear the center. We could barely hear the snap count today a couple times — a couple false starts, because guys wouldn’t know when the snap was going. I’m not saying it’s the fans’ fault, but I’m just saying, it would be nice if they would shut the f–k up a little bit.”

Savvy football fans usually understand the etiquette, but on the first official game at a new stadium against an arch-rival, it’s likely hard to contain their excitement.

“When the defense was up, it was phenomenal,” Boone said in comments provided by the team (comments that didn’t include his four-letter flavor). “When the offense is up, shut up; just shut up. I can’t say it any simpler than that. It’s starting to screw up a little bit.”

Eventually, the Vikings fans will be loud only when they are supposed to be. If not, Boone will remind them.


https://thevikingage.com/2016/08/26/minnesota-vikings-record-stadium-noise/
...........Right now, the Kansas City Chiefs fans hold the record for the loudest crowd roar at a sports stadium with 142.2 decibels. ABC News wanted to remind people that approximately 140 decibels is the level of sound of a jet taking off.

Thankfully, the free earplugs being distributed should help fans worried about short-term damage. However, those only attending a couple of games may not have to worry about the intense noise in small doses unless they are experienced frequently.

“The thing to remember with noise exposure is it’s cumulative,” Dr. David Geddes explained to ABC News. “So after several decades of attending concerts, football games, you can wind up with a permanent, noise-induced hearing loss.”..........


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Improving defense and turnover ratio showing up big time in the rankings! Also, notice the first five teams in the rankings. The next few weeks are going to be fun. Also also, notice the separation between #1 and #2. This is a very well rounded team we're pulling for!

Week Eleven Statistical Overall Power Rankings

32. New York Giants - 349 pts.
31. Miami Dolphins - 329 pts.
30. San Francisco 49errors - 312 pts.
29. Cincinnati Bengals - 301 pts.
28. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 299 pts.
26. Cleveland Browns - 298 pts.
26. Arizona Cardinals - 298 pts.
25. Indianapolis Colts - 297 pts.
24. Los Angeles Chargers - 281 pts.
23. New York Jets - 275 pts.
22. Chicago Bears - 265 pts.
21. Washington Redskins - 261 pts.
20. Denver Broncos - 258 pts.
19. Buffalo Bills - 257 pts.
18. Oakland Raiders - 256 pts.
17. Houston Texans - 243 pts.
16. Detroit Lions - 232 pts.
15. Green Bay Packers - 225 pts.
14. Baltimore Ravens - 221 pts.
13. Tennessee Titans - 193 pts.
12. Atlanta Falcons - 189 pts.
11. Seattle Seahawks - 182 pts.
10. Kansas City Chiefs - 180 pts.
9. New England Patriots - 179 pts.
8. Dallas Cowboys - 178 pts.
7. Pittsburgh Steelers - 166 pts.
6. Jacksonville Jaguars - 160 pts.
5. Carolina Panthers - 144 pts.
3. Philadelphia Eagles - 132 pts.
6. Minnesota Vikings - 132 pts.
2. New Orleans Saints - 126 pts.
1. Los Angeles Rams - 77 pts.

I was unaware that Wade "D" had made a change to the starting NT post. Rookie Tanzel Smart earned the starting post in pre season with veteran UFA Tyrunn Walker as his back up .....things changed up last Sunday against the Texans.

After Smart had little overall impact in the Giants game with zero tackles zero sacks & zero assists Wade went with 4th yr pro Ethan Westbrook as the starting NT. EW turned in a 2 tackles & 2 assist game playing NT with Tyrunn Walker once again backing EW up.

I will need to re watch the game to see just how well this former 43 DE did in this new assignment. Does any other member have any ideal just how well Ethan did. Will Smart continue to ride the bench from this point on? Or will Tyrunn Walker & his massive frame end up as the late season starter?

http://506sports.com/nfl.php?yr=2017&wk=11

https://www.si.com/nfl/2017/11/15/m...mmqb&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_medium=social

By Andy Benoit
November 15, 2017
The mildly surprising 7-2 Vikings versus the very surprising 7-2 Rams might be the most intriguing matchup on the Week 11 slate. It pits the NFL’s top-scoring offense (L.A.) against the NFC’s toughest defense (Minnesota). It’s a showdown worthy of a breakdown.

RAMS OFFENSE VS. VIKINGS DEFENSE
The Vikings have eight former first-and second-round picks on defense alone, six of whom were drafted by this team. Each year they’ve gotten better in head coach Mike Zimmer’s imposing zone scheme, which is sprinkled with complexities. It’s not that the Vikings show unpredictable coverages. In fact, on running downs, it’s almost always single-high safety zone (aka Cover 3). On passing downs, it’s a two-high safety zone—either Cover 2 or Cover 4 (or, if the offensive formation is unbalanced, Cover 6, a combination of both). What’s challenging is how the Vikings get to these zones. There can be a lot of movement post-snap. Zimmer employs a variety of zone blitzes, with athletic D-linemen like Danielle Hunter, Brian Robison and Everson Griffen all capable of dropping into coverage. Back deep, safeties Harrison Smith and Andrew Sendejo are two of the best disguise artists in football. Tremendous speed allows them to exaggerate when disguising.

The Rams are at their most dangerous when head coach Sean McVay knows what coverage the defense will be in. No one is better at concocting route combinations that exploit a predicted look. Cover 3 and Cover 4 are two that McVay thrives against, since his downfield switch releases (aka receivers crossing paths vertically) naturally attack cornerbacks here.

But your O-line must give the QB time for these to work. A dynamic front four is part of the reason Minnesota can be diverse in its zone movement. Tackles Linval Joseph and Shamar Stephen get you into third-and-long, where rushers like Griffen, Hunter and Anthony Barr (a blitzer) take over. Los Angeles’s vastly improved O-line faces its biggest challenge to date.

Jared Goff has progressed tremendously in Year Two, but he remains a work in progress when throwing with defenders in his face. Goff still must fight his natural tendency to back up against interior pressure. Zimmer does not employ his trademark double-A-gap blitzes as much as he used to, but it would make sense to bring them in this game. Not only can that get Goff playing hastily, it also ensures one-on-one blocking against Minnesota’s edge rushers. On the left side, Rams tackle Andrew Whitworth has been outstanding when he wins on initial contact, but when he’s in reactionary mode, his 35 years of age show. Griffen’s low-to-the-ground bull rush could pose problems for the 6' 7" veteran.

The risk of going double-A-gap is you’re weak on the edges. That’s a problem against Todd Gurley, who has killed defenses by turning the corner in the zone running game and catching balls in the flat. There’s also Tavon Austin, whose jet sweep action is a big part of Los Angeles’s attack.

VIKINGS OFFENSE VS. RAMS DEFENSE
The Vikings have been almost as strong as the Rams when it comes to defeating predicted coverages. Case Keenum has prospered as a fill-in starter because he plays with decisiveness in coordinator Pat Shurmur’s well-designed scheme. The Vikings are crafty in their presnap movement and switch releases off the ball. They put cornerbacks in a bind early in the down, allowing the superb route running of wideouts Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs to win later in the down.

Rams top corner Trumaine Johnson travels with opposing No. 1 receivers at times. This season for Minnesota, that’s been Thielen, though given that Diggs lines up outside more often, it might be more prudent for Johnson to play there. Johnson will travel into the slot, but generally only if it’s man-to-man coverage.

Regardless of the matchups, Los Angeles must make Minnesota operate off schedule. Forcing Keenum to play outside of structure can unmask his physical limitations. A great weapon for breaking down a play’s structure is defensive tackle Aaron Donald. He typically aligns opposite the opponent’s worst guard. That’ll likely be veteran Joe Berger on the right side, given that on the left side Nick Easton, while less experienced, is a stronger athlete. Either way, the Vikings will have to slide their protection towards Donald.

Prediction: Vikings 26, Rams 23

FINALLY!!!

Just wanted to let all my Ram brother's know the good news, my movie is finally in theaters!

Along For the Ride
Check out the trailer here:

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It premiered at the Metrograph this month in NYC and will be in Los Angeles (will give dates) then we open nationwide early 2018.

For anyone that doesn't want to go to hipster theater it will feature on Hulu soon - i'll give the dates for that when they are available

I didn't want to say anything until it was clear were weren't gonna crash and burn. The critica love the film thank God. We got great reviews from Variety and Hollywood Reporter, the big trade mags so needless to say me and my buddy Nick's lives are changing quickly. All this means to me is we will get another shot at making another film -- hopefully without using my own money

* ROD Is a big part of my mental well being and just want to let you all know that without being able to escape here with all my Ram's buddies I don't think I would have been able to keep such a level head through 3 years of constant battle, with zero dollars and everyone telling us we were fucking nuts for making a black and white film with nothing but 70 year olds.

Hope you guys get a chance to watch and leave a positive review if you do -- i have lots of ROD dollars -- and remember a lifelong Ram fan made it!!!

God Bless you guys!
GO RAMS

http://www.houstonchronicle.com/spo...II-waiting-for-another-chance-to-12357709.php

Robert Griffin III thinks he could help Texans
By John McClain, Houston Chronicle


Photo: Associated Press, STF

Injuries and ineptness keep the revolving door for NFL quarterbacks spinning out of control on an almost 24-hour basis.

The Texans are a prime example. When Deshaun Watson was lost for the season and Tom Savage was promoted, they signed three veterans - T.J. Yates, Matt McGloin and Josh Johnson.

Only Yates and Johnson remain behind Savage.

Robert Griffin III is a quarterback who would like to get his foot in that revolving door again, but a team has to give him a chance.

If the Texans are in the market to sign another quarterback, all they have to do is give him a call, and Griffin will answer on the first ring.

"Deshaun's an incredible player with a really bright future," Griffin said this week. "I feel like I could help him after my experiences with Washington and Cleveland.

"I feel like I could help the team. I know a lot of their guys. I think I can do a lot of things they've been doing offensively. Texas is home, and I've always got a soft spot in my heart for Texas."

Griffin, still only 27, has been waiting patiently since being released by the Browns in March. He's been working out on a daily basis in South Florida, where he resides. He's doing everything physically and mentally, including working out with longtime offensive coach Pep Hamilton in the offseason.

"I'm training and making sure I stay sharp," he said. "I'm not only staying in shape, but I'm working to get better in the film room, too.

"When my number's called, I'll be ready."

Griffin - RG3 - won the Heisman Trophy in 2011 at Baylor and was voted NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year with Washington in 2012. As a rookie, he led Washington from worst to first in the NFC East before blowing out two ligaments in his knee during a playoff game.

After battling injuries through his career, Griffin said he feels better than ever and is convinced a team will give him an opportunity.

"I definitely believe it," he said. "That's what you work for. You work to get that opportunity so you can put your best foot forward, and when that time comes, I'll be ready to roll."

Since being released by Washington after the 2015 season, when he spent time playing safety for the scout team and running routes for the quarterbacks, Griffin has avoided the limelight.

During last year's offseason before he signed with Cleveland, Griffin came to Houston to train but politely declined interviews to concentrate on being prepared for his next chance, which turned out to be the Browns.

"I've been low key on purpose," he said. "The point was to keep my head in the books and to focus on getting better.

"In 2015, when I was inactive the entire (season), I was able to show growth and maturity. I've learned a lot from what happened in Washington. That experience helped me 100 percent."

Griffin doesn't sound bitter about not playing with a team for the first time since he was a kid. He's in a good place spiritually and emotionally.

"I think in order to move forward in life and truly understand why something happened or why you're in the situation you're in, you have to be able to reflect and take ownership of what went wrong and what you did wrong," he said. "I've learned you try to control what you can control. I can't worry about what opportunity someone else is getting.

"I feel like the people who don't quit are the ones that can find success, so I'm not going to quit."

When quarterbacks go down, the cry for Colin Kaepernick reverberates around the country, but his phone has been silent while teams get so desperate they'll reach out to a has-been or a never-was.

Griffin said he understands why there's so much cheerleading for Kaepernick when a team needs a quarterback.

"Heck, I'm cheerleading for Kap, too, because of the stance he took and what he's representing," said Griffin, who grew up in a military family. "I understand why it's a hot-button issue. I think he's become a martyr for social injustice and some of the things going on in this country and around the world.

"A quarterback goes down, and he's the first one mentioned? I sure don't take that personally."

And Griffin has never considered that his career may be over - not at 27, not with the injuries he's overcome and the hard work he's put in. He's keeping the faith that a team will give him a chance to prove he can still play, that he's learned valuable lessons and is willing to take on any role.

"I'm in shape physically and mentally," Griffin said, "and I'm ready to hit the ground Sunday if anybody needs me."

His 2nd of the year making him the 2nd Ram to win 2 Player of the weeks in multiple season. The other being #28 in '99 and '00.

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But I'm not sure 1000 words is enough



what a turnaround....

If you were to ask your average fan what the story-line is
for Sunday's match-up between the Rams and the Vikings,
you would probably get something along the lines of.
"The Vikings smothering D will battle the Rams red hot offense."
Knowing how educated the average ROD fan is about our Rams,I'm sure some
of you won't be too surprised by the stats below...I was.
While the Vikes do have a smothering run defense,
The advantage stops there.






The Rams have more Sacks,Passes Defended,Interceptions,Def.TD's and Forced Fumbles

To all you Viking fans out there,you better hide your wife and children this Sunday,
Because.......










Well because they're just not very attractive.
A lot of Ram fans will be making the trip and the last thing we wanna
be looking at is your hideous family.Good Luck Losers.

Basically gonna be wrappin up 30 years of naval service here soon and the wife and I are thinking about sellin out of the west, reaping the property values, and buying a nice cheap couple acres in Mo where she's got a metric $hit-ton of family. I know some of you are locals and whatnot, so wanted to see what you guys felt about the different regions.

Been looking mostly around Springfield, and the Ozark Plateau. Branson seems a bit overpriced. Also considering the Ozark Lakes areas but afraid of flooding; really don't want to deal with that BS.

Any inputs or suggestions on hidden gem type areas appreciated.

Let's RUMBLE.....................................

1999 Rams 2017 Rams

LT Orlando Pace 16 games LT Andrew Whitworth 9 games

LG Tom Nutten 14 games LG Rodger Saffold 9 games

C Mike Gruttadaria 16 games C John Sullivan 9 games

RG Adam Timmerman 16 games RG Jamon Brown 9 games

RT Fred Miller 16 games RT Rob Havenstein 9 games



LT Position

The battle between Pace vs Whitworth is brief, because Pace is a HOFer. Pace has 7 Pro Bowls vs Whitworth’s 3 Pro Bowls. Pace also had 3 All Pro awards. However, Whitworth has now started more games than Orlando Pace…think how impressive that is? I would be blown away if Whitworth didn’t make another Pro Bowl trip this year, AND he may match Pace in Super Bowl wins after this year! If I was asked to choose between Whitworth and Pace at the end of their careers, you’d have to pick Whit.

Edge Pace


LG Position

The battle between Tom Nutten and Rodger Saffold is more subjective, as neither has traditional honors, aside for Saffold (2010 NFL All Rookie Team). I like how Saffold is playing this year, just rag dolling folks.

Edge Saffold


Center Position

The battle between Mike Gruttadaria and John Sullivan is short, with Sullivan being better. Sullivan was named on two different organizations All Pro First Team in 2012. He has been critical in helping Goff making calls/changes during games.

Edge Sullivan


RG Position

The battle between Adam Timmerman and Jamon Brown is short. I like what the new guy is doing, but he can’t compare to the career of Timmerman, who played for two different Super Bowl teams. In 2001 Timmerman was named 2nd Team All Pro and made the Pro Bowl.

Edge Timmerman


RT Position

The battle between Fred Miller and Rob Havenstein is a close one. Miller had a long career with the Rams, Titans, and Bears. He won a Super Bowl with the Rams, but then Havenstein might be part of such a team this year. No personal honors for miller, yet Havenstein was named to the 2015 All-Rookie team. Maybe you guys think differently, but I give the edge to Big Rob.

Edge Havenstein


Well, I have the 2017 Rams Oline beating the 1999 Rams Oline by a nose after 9 games in the 2017 season. One thing the 1999 version has going for it is that they helped to win our only Super Bowl. The 2017 version is working together as one unit, propelling this team into the play offs after MANY years (even more than the 1999 Rams endured) of futility. I didn't consider longevity as a deciding factor.

https://www.profootballfocus.com/news/pro-ranking-the-nfl-qbs-on-3-step-concepts

Ranking the NFL QBs on 3-step concepts
BY BRIAN SPOON


Mandatory Credit: Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

At Pro Football Focus, every player, on every play, of every game is tracked and in doing so, we chart every conceivable data point available. With 10 weeks of data from the 2017 NFL season to filter, PFF’s Brian Spoon takes a look at how often quarterbacks use 3-step concept dropbacks, and how well they perform when they do.

Below is a list of the 29 quarterbacks who qualified (by attempting least 15 pass attempts on 3-step concepts), all ranked by passer rating on such throws. The top-2 of the list may not surprise you with how well their respective teams have fared this season:

*Note: these numbers do include those 3-step concept passes on designed screen plays.

1. JARED GOFF, LOS ANGELES RAMS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 130.2

Goff is having a breakout season in his second year, and his performance on 3-step concepts is no exception, as he sees the highest passer rating on these passes. Under new head coach Sean McVay’s scheme, Goff has attempted 42 passes on 3-step concepts, completing 31 of them for 351 yards with four touchdowns against no interceptions. He has an average depth-of-target of 3.0 yards and has been pressured on only five of these dropbacks (11.6 percent), a rate good for eighth-lowest among qualifying quarterbacks.



2. CARSON WENTZ, PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 118.5

Wentz is our sixth-highest graded quarterback (85.0 overall grade) through 10 weeks, and his use of 3-step concepts is a big reason why. With head coach Doug Pederson helping his young QB with open, quick reads, Wentz has the most pass attempts (103), completions (73), yards (698), and touchdowns (nine) on 3-step concepts. These dropbacks comprise 35.4 percent of his total, the highest rate in the league.

3. JAMEIS WINSTON, TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 116.0

Winston has attempted 44 passes on 3-step concepts, completing 33 of them for 383 yards and two touchdowns against zero interceptions. Winston leads the NFL in average depth-of-target on 3-step concepts at 8.4 yards (average is 4.7). This isn’t surprising considering he also leads the league in percentage of total passing yards coming through the air (68.3 percent).

4. ALEX SMITH, KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 104.2

Smith has attempted 81 passes on 3-step concepts and completed 63 of them, second only to Wentz in each category. He has thrown three touchdowns against zero interceptions and his completion percentage (77.8 percent) is third among qualifying quarterbacks. 3-step concepts make up 27.6 percent of his dropbacks, the third-highest percentage in the league.

5. RUSSELL WILSON, SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 103.0

Wilson is our fourth-highest graded quarterback through 10 weeks (85.3 overall grade). He has attempted 46 passes on 3-step concepts, completing 36 of them for 261 yards and three touchdowns. His completion percentage (78.3 percent) is tops among quarterbacks with an average depth of target of at least 4.0 yards (Wilson’s is 4.7).

6. KIRK COUSINS, WASHINGTON REDSKINS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 102.6

Cousins has gone 50-of-75 for 445 yards on 3-step concepts, with four touchdowns and no interceptions. These concepts account for 24.0 percent of his total dropbacks, the fourth-highest rate in the league. He has seen pressure on 17.7 percent of these dropbacks and been sacked four times, the most times sacked among qualifying quarterbacks.

7. JACOBY BRISSETT, INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 101.9

Brissett has attempted 38 passes on 3-step concepts, completing 25 for 350 yards with two touchdowns against one interception. His average depth-of-target (7.9 yards) is third-highest among qualifying quarterbacks. Brissett came into Week 10 ranked in the bottom third of the league in 3-step concept passer rating, but his long touchdown to Donte Moncrief against the Colts – his only 3-step concept of the game – catapulted him into the upper quartile.

8. JOSH MCCOWN, NEW YORK JETS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 97.0

McCown has taken 3-step concepts 21.5 percent of the time, ninth-highest in the league. He has completed 42-of-62 passes, throwing three touchdowns and no interceptions. Though McCown has been sacked 32 total times this year (second-most in the NFL), only one of those has come on a 3-step drop.

9. TYROD TAYLOR, BUFFALO BILLS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 96.4

Taylor has attempted 46 passes on 3-step concepts, completing 31 of them for 261 yards and two touchdowns against zero interceptions. He has seen pressure on just 10.4 percent of dropbacks, the fourth-lowest rate in the league. His has kept these passes relatively short, as his average depth of target (3.0 yards) is tied with the Rams’ Goff for fourth-lowest among qualifying quarterbacks.

10. MATT RYAN, ATLANTA FALCONS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 95.0

Ryan has used 3-step concepts on 23.1 percent of his total dropbacks, the fifth-highest rate in the league. He has completed 51-of-69 passes (73.9 percent), a completion percentage that ranks him sixth. His 558 passing yards are third-most among qualifying quarterbacks. Ryan thrown two touchdowns against two interceptions, one of only six quarterbacks to throw multiple interceptions on these pass attempts.

11. DREW BREES, NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 94.4

Brees’ performance on 3-step concepts is a study in contrast. He has been deadly efficient, completing 31-of-34 total passes, but with the lowest average depth-of-target (1.4 yards) he managed just 226 total passing yards and zero touchdowns.

Though he has been incredibly accurate at this range (a league-best 91.2 completion percentage), he has used 3-step concepts just 11.3 percent of the time, the fourth-lowest rate in the league. Brees is the only qualifying player to have not experienced a single pressure on 3-step concepts.



12. BLAKE BORTLES, JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 94.3

Bortles has attempted 51 passes on 3-step concepts, completing 34 for 329 yards and four touchdowns against two interceptions. His average depth-of-target is 6.6 yards, fourth-highest among qualifying quarterbacks.

13. DAK PRESCOTT, DALLAS COWBOYS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 94.0

Prescott has used 3-step concepts on 19.0 percent of his total dropbacks, completing 37-of-55 passes for 293 yards. His six touchdowns on 3-step concepts are second only to Philadelphia’s Wentz, but three of his four total interceptions have also occurred here.

14. DESHONE KIZER, CLEVELAND BROWNS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 93.6

Kizer is our second-lowest graded quarterback (52.1 overall grade) through 10 weeks, but his greatest struggles haven’t come on 3-step concepts. Kizer is 33-of-44 passing for 246 yards with two touchdowns and one interception when taking a 3-step drop. His completion percentage (75.0 percent) is tied for fourth among qualifying quarterbacks

15. ELI MANNING, NEW YORK GIANTS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 91.7

Manning has thrown three of his 14 total touchdowns on 3-step concepts, while also tossing two of his six interceptions. He has attempted 63 passes on these drops, completing 44 for 435 yards, the sixth-most passing yards on 3-step concepts among qualifying quarterbacks.

16. JAY CUTLER, MIAMI DOLPHINS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 91.0

Cutler has attempted passes on 3-step concepts 22.0 percent of the time, going 40-of-57 for 277 yards, including three touchdowns and one interception. That 22.0 percent is the sixth-most among qualifying quarterbacks and his offensive line has allowed pressure on 15.3 percent of those attempts, and he’s been sacked twice.

17. MATTHEW STAFFORD, DETROIT LIONS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 90.5

Stafford has attempted 63 passes on 3-step concepts, completing 46 of them for 357 yards. His 2.8-yard average depth-of-target is third-lowest among those listed here and his completion percentage (73.0 percent) is ninth-best.

18. CAM NEWTON, CAROLINA PANTHERS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 89.2

Newton doesn’t use 3-step dropbacks very often (11.2 percent of the time, the third-lowest rate in the league). He has completed 26-of-36 passes for just 173 yards. His average depth-of-target (3.1 yards) is tied for sixth-lowest among qualifying quarterbacks and he has thrown two touchdowns against one interception on 3-step concepts. Newton’s offensive line has allowed a pressure just 10.8 percent of the time, the fifth-lowest rate in the league.

19. TOM BRADY, NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 89.1

Brady, our top-graded passer (92.7 overall grade), has gone 25-of-41 passing on 3-step concepts with one touchdown against zero interceptions. His average depth-of-target (6.0 yards) is sixth-highest among quarterbacks with enough attempts to qualify. Though he’s seen pressure on 22.0 percent of his dropbacks, he has yet to be sacked.

20. PHILIP RIVERS, LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 87.6

Rivers has used 3-step concepts only 9.9 percent of the time, second-lowest among qualifying quarterbacks. He has completed 17-of-32 passes for 157 yards, giving him the second-lowest completion percentage among qualifying quarterbacks (53.1 percent) despite being pressured just four times (12.5 percent of dropbacks).

21. MARCUS MARIOTA, TENNESSEE TITANS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 81.7

Mariota has utilized 3-step concepts on 19.1 percent of his dropbacks, going 30-of-42 for 303 yards. Mariota has faced pressure on just 6.7 percent of his dropbacks – the second-lowest rate in the league – but two of these three pressures resulted in sacks. He has yet to throw a touchdown on a 3-step drop, though he has thrown an interception.

22. BEN ROETHLISBERGER, PITTSBURGH STEELERS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 79.0

Big Ben uses 3-step concepts on 12.4 percent of his dropbacks, going 28-of-41 for just 217 yards with one touchdown and one interception. His average depth-of-target (1.9 yards) is the second-lowest among those listed here and his completion percentage (64.7 percent) is 5.0 percent worse than any other quarterback whose average depth-of-target is less than 3.0 yards. Pressure has not been the cause of the lower completion percentage, as he has faced pressure on these attempts just twice (7.3 percent of dropbacks), the third-lowest rate in the league, and not been sacked.

23. DEREK CARR, OAKLAND RAIDERS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 78.4

Carr completed 36-of-55 passes for 288 yards on 3-step dropbacks, with no touchdowns or interceptions. He had an average depth-of-target of 3.1 yards on these throws and has been pressured on just six dropbacks, the 10th-best rate in the league among qualifying quarterbacks (10.9 percent).

24. CASE KEENUM, MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 72.7

Keenum has attempted 19 passes on 3-step concepts, completing 14 for 142 yards. He has used 3-step concepts on just 7.3 percent of his total dropbacks, easily the lowest rate in the league. Keenum has been unafraid to throw the ball downfield in the rare occasions he does use a 3-step concept, however; his 8.1-yard average depth-of-target is second only to Tampa Bay’s Winston.

25. TOM SAVAGE, HOUSTON TEXANS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 67.9

Savage has attempted 15 passes on 3-step concepts, completing nine for just 57 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions. His 60.0 completion percentage is third-worst among qualifying quarterbacks. In limited work thus far, Savage has used 3-step concepts 16.1 percent of the time, compared to former starter Deshaun Watson’s 22.5 percent rate prior to his season-ending injury.

26. ANDY DALTON, CINCINNATI BENGALS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 67.1

Dalton has used 3-step concepts 28.4 percent of the time, the second-highest rate in the league. Dalton has attempted 77 passes on 3-step concepts, completing 54 of them for a total of 562 yards and two touchdowns. Although these drops represent barely a quarter of his total dropbacks, they have accounted for 75 percent of his interceptions. Six of Dalton’s eight picks have come on 3-steps drops, the most of any qualifying quarterback.

27. C.J. BEATHARD, SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 67.0

Beathard has gone 21-of-33 for 194 yards on 3-step concepts, netting zero touchdowns and one interception. His 53.6 completion percentage is sixth-lowest among qualifying quarterbacks. For Beathard, this mediocre production has come at a cost: he has faced pressure on 30.6 percent of these dropbacks (including two sacks), the highest rate among qualifying quarterbacks.

28. DREW STANTON, ARIZONA CARDINALS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 62.6

Stanton has completed just 9-of-17 passes on 3-step concepts, a 52.9 completion percentage that ranks him last in the league among qualifying quarterbacks. Though he hasn’t been sacked on these dropbacks, he has been pressured 23.5 percent of the time, the second-highest rate in the league.

29. JOE FLACCO, BALTIMORE RAVENS
Passer rating on 3-step concepts: 50.6

Flacco has completed 26-of-40 passes for 146 yards on 3-step concepts, with no touchdowns against two interceptions. His 65.0 completion percentage in these dropbacks ranked him sixth-worst among qualifying quarterbacks. He had the fifth-highest average depth of target (6.1 yards) and was pressured at the third-highest rate (22.0 percent).

Editor’s Note: Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson led the league in passer rating on 3-step concepts (132.8) at the time of his injury, with eight touchdowns against one interception.

Denver’s Brock Osweiler, Green Bay’s Brett Hundley and Chicago’s Mitchell Trubisky lacked the requisite number of attempts to qualify.

Throwing people around like dolls:

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http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds.

Link to their DVOA chart:

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teameff


The playoff odds report plays out the season 50,000 times. A random draw assigns each team a win or loss for each game. The probability that a team will be given a win is based on an equation which considers the current Weighted DVOA ratingsof the two teams as well as home-field advantage. (DVOA ratings are explained here.) Mean Wins is the average number of wins for this team over the 50,000 simulations. Odds are given for winning each playoff seed, as well as for winning the division (DIV), earning a bye week (BYE), or winning a wild card (WC). TOT represents odds of making the playoffs in any fashion.

Mean Wins includes 0.5 wins for each tie.

The Weighted DVOA ratings used in the simulation are adjusted as follows:

• In Weeks 11-15, Dallas rating drops -8.0% due to Ezekiel Elliott suspension.
• Arizona rating goes up 8.0% with David Johnson returning Week 14 in 20 percent of simulations; in the other 80 percent of simulations, Johnson does not return this season. Arizona rating is also adjusted (-6.4%) for Drew Stanton replacing Carson Palmer.
• Green Bay rating is adjusted (-10.5%) for Brett Hundley replacing Aaron Rodgers. In 10 percent of simulations, Rodgers returns with Green Bay getting a 20.0% DVOA bonus from Week 15 onwards.
• Houston rating is adjusted (-13.6%) for Tom Savage replacing Deshaun Watson. (The adjustment is larger than the one for Green Bay because the current Houston rating includes more Watson games than the Green Bay rating includes Rodgers games.)
• Tampa Bay rating is adjusted (-13.0%) for Ryan Fitzpatrick replacing Jameis Winston in Week 11. Winston returns in Week 12 in one-third of simulations, in Week 13 in one-third of simulations, and in Week 14 in one-third of simulations.

I'm all in for on to the Vikings but this is an interesting read their DVOA is a fun follow as well, they really weigh special teams heavy.