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The best NFL free-agency values, worst overpays of 2018

http://www.espn.com/nfl/insider/story/_/id/23066428/2018-nfl-free-agency-best-values-worst-overpays

The best NFL free-agency values, worst overpays of 2018

NFL free agency reached peak frenzy before the signing period officially opened as teams embraced the confusingly named "legal tampering" period.

Despite all the excitement, most rosters are a little worse off now than they were before. That's because many depth players remain unsigned, while many of the signings featured desperate teams overpaying to fill needs.

10 best value signings and the 10 worst overpays.

Worst overpays

1. Sammy Watkins, Kansas City Chiefs
Deal: Three years, $48 million

The good news is that Watkins is young, talented and joining a team coached by Andy Reid, who excels at maximizing personnel. The bad news is that Watkins simply has not been very productive, a leading reason he is on his third team in eight months.

The Chiefs are paying Watkins as though he's a sure bet. They were not the only team willing to spend big for him. Dallas was also interested, as was Chicago. It seems like a case of teams valuing a player based more on their draft reports than what the player has done since college.

Watkins' annual average is a shade under what Mike Evans got in Tampa Bay and twice what Paul Richardsonreceived in Washington. (Watkins and Richardson have nearly identical numbers over the past two seasons, albeit in eight fewer games for Watkins.)

Watkins ranks 57th in receptions, 30th in receiving yards and 17th in receiving touchdowns since entering the league in 2014, which could indicate he simply needs more opportunities.

2. Star Lotulelei, Buffalo Bills
Deal: Five years, $50 million

The Bills are getting a run-stuffing defensive tackle who has missed only two games over five seasons, but the price seemed steep for a player with "no rush at all," in the words of one general manager. Sean McDermott coached Lotulelei in Carolina and will surely maximize him in the Buffalo defense. But is that familiarity worth $18.5 million fully guaranteed? The Panthers seemed to come out ahead by signing Dontari Poe to a shorter, cheaper deal for three years at $28 million.

3. Nate Solder, New York Giants
Deal: Four years, $62 million

The Giants were negotiating from a position of extreme desperation within a market featuring few established starting tackles. This deal reflects those realities.

"What they paid [Solder] was unbelievable," an evaluator said, "but they had to help their quarterback, and that helps him."

It would be tough to fault the Giants for overpaying a top-shelf left tackle given their issues along the offensive line. Solder has not recently been a top-shelf left tackle, however, and there is a good chance he will fail to meet unrealistic expectations after the Giants made him the highest-paid offensive lineman in the league. They'll pay $34.8 million guaranteed to Soldier over the next two years.

4. Trey Burton, Chicago Bears
Deal: Four years, $32 million

Burton comes to Chicago knowing the offensive system Matt Nagy is installing with the Bears, and if Burton becomes the next Jason Kelce as the Bears hope, then this will be money well spent. The reality for now, however, is that Chicago invested $18 million fully guaranteed in an undrafted special-teams contributor who averaged 19 offensive snaps per game last season while finishing with 23 receptions.

5. Sam Bradford, Arizona Cardinals
Deal: Two years, $40 million

Just as the Giants were desperate for tackle help, the Cardinals faced dire circumstances at quarterback. They structured their deal with Bradford to mitigate risk while giving the team an option for 2020. That was smart. Still, they are paying $15 million guaranteed for a quarterback who lasted less than six quarters last season, has a "degenerative" knee, according to Mike Zimmer, and has missed 33 of his past 64 games.

If Bradford holds up, this deal could push him past $150 million in career earnings without him ever being above average over an extended period. His 48.8 Total QBR since 2015 ranks 29th out of 36 quarterbacks with at least 1,000 snaps since then.

6. Trumaine Johnson, New York Jets
Deal: Five years, $72.5 million

Johnson commanded the largest signing bonus for a cornerback in NFL history ($20 million) as a good player with zero Pro Bowls and zero All-Pro selections through six strong seasons. This deal will pay him $34 million fully guaranteed over the next two seasons, which is $10 million more than Malcolm Butler is getting in Tennessee.

7. Anthony Hitchens, Kansas City Chiefs
Deal: Five years, $45 million

The Chiefs are paying $9 million a year for a linebacker not everyone sees as a three-down player. Two evaluators agreed that Hitchens is a good player but not a difference-maker. They thought he could struggle in coverage, while noting he would be transitioning from a 4-3 base defense in Dallas to a 3-4 base defense in Kansas City. With good linebacker depth in the draft, comparable alternatives could be available for much less money.

8. Taylor Gabriel, Chicago Bears
Deal: Four years, $26 million

The 5-foot-8, 165-pound Gabriel appears ideally suited for playing indoors on artificial surfaces. He'll do that at least four times per season when facing Detroit and Minnesota, but the conditions in Chicago could be difficult for him, particularly later in the season. That is why one evaluator predicted Gabriel's production could fall off during the more inclement months.

9. Jimmy Graham, Green Bay Packers
Deal: Three years, $30 million

The Packers basically swapped out the 32-year-old Jordy Nelson for the 31-year-old Graham. Nelson has an outstanding chemistry with Aaron Rodgers. Graham does not. Both players averaged an alarmingly low 9.1 yards per reception last season while failing to reach 60 catches, but Graham did it with Russell Wilson at quarterback, while Nelson was stuck with Brett Hundley for much of the season. Nelson has averaged 12.7 yards per reception and 0.9 touchdowns per game since the start of 2016 when catching passes from Rodgers. Graham has averaged 11.8 yards per reception and 0.5 touchdowns per game with Wilson over that span.

10. Jonathan Stewart, New York Giants
Deal: Two years, $6.9 million

Stewart should provide welcome leadership at running back as new general manager Dave Gettleman works to build the Giants' culture.

As for the production part? Stewart is one of 20 running backs with at least 800 carries over the past six seasons. He ranks 19th among them with a 3.92-yard average per attempt, ahead of only ex-Giant Rashad Jennings (3.86). The 31-year-old Stewart remains 19th on the list when excluding runs from inside the 5-yard line, which can suppress per-carry averages.

Best values

1. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints
Deal: Two years, $50 million

The drama wasn't so much over whether Brees would leave New Orleans for another team, it was whether Brees would maximize his leverage.

Brees could have forced his way onto the market to extract the richest possible contract from the Saints. Going that route would have made $18 million in dead money from his previous deal accelerate into the 2018 cap. The team could have been all but forced into making an over-the-top offer ahead of the deadline.

Instead, Brees signed a two-year deal with $27 million guaranteed, about the same guarantee Blake Bortles is getting on a two-year extension in Jacksonville. Brees lowered his projected cap figure by $4 million, and the Saints used the additional flexibility to bolster their defense.

Brees never became a free agent, so he would not qualify for a list limited to players who reached the market, but his deal on the eve of free agency meant everything for the Saints. New Orleans -- though less reliant on Brees thanks to a solid running game and improved defense -- might have finished last in the NFC South without No. 9.

2. Julius Peppers, Carolina Panthers
Deal: One year, $5 million

Peppers is old, as in Josh McCown old (they are both 38). But Peppers has not missed a game over the past 10 seasons. He's coming off an 11-sack campaign with the Panthers and has 29 sacks over the past three years. Carolina brought him back on a one-year deal for less than what Vinny Curry is getting from Tampa Bay.

3. Sheldon Richardson, Minnesota Vikings
Deal: One year, $8 million

Richardson was not a consistently dominant force in his one season with Seattle, but he was not a disappointment, either. He seemed to be a candidate for an expensive extension through much of the 2017 season. The Vikings got him on a one-year deal that carries a lower annual average than other deals for interior defensive linemen Star Lotulelei and Dontari Poe. There is little risk for Minnesota. The Vikings are so dependent on their four-man rush that adding Richardson makes particular sense for them.

4. Bradley McDougald, Seattle Seahawks
Deal: Three years, $13.5 million

Seattle's safety needs are real with Kam Chancellor potentially finished and Earl Thomas entering the final year of his contract amid rumors about a possible trade.

McDougald was an excellent bargain signing last offseason on a one-year deal for $2 million. He started nine games for a defense that surprisingly ranked sixth in efficiency over the season's second half, when playing without multiple starters. This three-year deal gives Seattle longer-term stability at the position, with McDougald able to play either spot.

McDougald appeared primed for a big payday last offseason. Now, thanks to a cratering safety market, Seattle could wind up having him for four years and $15.5 million.

5. AJ McCarron, Buffalo Bills
Deal: Two years, $10 million

NFL teams routinely pay big money to questionable quarterbacks simply because there's scarcity at the position and a player might have upside. That did not happen here.

The 27-year-old McCarron has a 2-2 starting record (including playoffs) with five touchdowns, one interception and a middling 49.3 Total QBR. His third-down scoring pass gave Cincinnati a late lead in a playoff game against Pittsburgh, and if teammate Jeremy Hill had not lost a fumble, the narrative surrounding McCarron might have been different. Buffalo signed him for about the same as Chicago paid for Chase Daniel, plus incentives.

6. Richard Sherman, San Francisco 49ers
Deal: Three years, $27.15 million

This is a heads-we-win, tails-you-lose deal for San Francisco. The team is protected if Sherman does not regain top form following the torn Achilles tendon he suffered in November, but if Sherman does flourish, the 49ers can lock in additional years at sub-market value. That's great for the team given how much money corners command.

San Francisco is getting a player who seems supremely motivated to prove his former team, Seattle, wrong for letting him go. Sherman's practice habits and knowledge of the 49ers' scheme make him an asset to younger players on a less-established defense.

7. Eric Ebron, Indianapolis Colts
Deal: Two years, $13 million

The Colts are getting a reasonably productive 24-year-old who did not miss a game last season and whose contract gives them two years of control without dead-money risks beyond this season. The $6.5 million annual average for Ebron is less than the $8.5 million he earned under his fifth-year option in Detroit last season, and less than what Trey Burton is getting in Chicago.

While Ebron has not lived up to his draft status as the 10th overall pick in 2014, the perception is exaggerated by the fact that so many other first-round picks from that class became stars. That context is irrelevant to the Colts. Their investment is smaller. Their opportunity cost is nil.

Low touchdown production could be a concern, though. Ebron's 11 touchdowns through four seasons ranks eighth among nine first-round tight ends selected in the 10 drafts from 2005 to 2014. The other numbers for Ebron -- 56 games, 186 receptions, 2,070 yards, 5.1 average yards after the catch and 7.3 percent drop rate -- line up with Vernon Davis' four-year numbers with San Francisco. Davis was also seen as overdrafted before maturing into a productive player. The Colts are making a medium-sized bet that Ebron can also emerge.

8. Tyrann Mathieu, Houston Texans
Deal: One year, $7 million

Mathieu did not accept a pay cut from Arizona; he took one from Houston on a prove-it deal. There's a chance Mathieu is just a decent slot corner at this point in his career, but there's also a chance he'll take another step forward in his second season back from injury. There's some risk for Houston in that the Texans already have multiple key players coming off injuries, but the upside for Mathieu justifies the investment.

9. Mike Wallace, Philadelphia Eagles
Deal: One year, $1.9 million

The Eagles traded Torrey Smith and arguably upgraded with Wallace, who has much better production over the past two seasons and should benefit from leaving Baltimore's stagnant offense. Wallace's annual salary is less than half what Cordarrelle Patterson is earning on the deal he signed with Oakland before the Patriots acquired him.

Over the past two seasons, Wallace has seven receptions on passes traveling at least 30 yards past the line of scrimmage, which is tied for 12th in the league with Doug Baldwin and Will Fuller. It is six more than Smith and Patterson, and only one fewer than Julio Jones and A.J. Green.

10. Russell Bodine, Buffalo Bills
Deal: Two years, $5 million

Losing Eric Wood to injury retirement was tough for the Bills, but they rebounded with what could be good under-the-radar signing. Bodine has started 16 games in each of his first four seasons. He is 25 years old. And while there are certainly centers who are more talented, Buffalo is getting a young, dependable player at a position with importance that can be underrated.

Peter King: MMQB - 4/9/18

These are excerpts. To read the whole article click the link below. McVay, Snead, Phillips, and Cooks get mentioned so there's that.
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https://www.si.com/nfl/2018/04/09/nfl-draft-prospects-gil-brandt-dallas-mmqb-peter-king

Everything to Know About the 2018 NFL Draft Crop, According to Gil Brandt
The 411 on what to expect in Dallas in a little more than two weeks from the man who would know best.
By Peter King

mmqb-draft-fourway.jpg


Stream of pre-draft consciousness, 17 days before the first round kicks off before 75,000 fans in Jerryworld:

IT’S GIL BRANDT’S WORLD, AND WE’RE ALL LIVING IN IT
Sixty years ago, Brandt, then 25 and a baby photographer, was hired as a full-time scout for the San Francisco 49ers. Two years later he moved to the expansion Dallas Cowboys as their chief scout. He’s lived in Dallas ever since, and this will be the first time in his life that the draft is a home game for him.

Now he’s the NFL draft shepherd, going to almost every pro day, keeping tabs on the prospects, wooing the top ones to come to the first round, working for the league and helping organize the football side of the draft. We caught up late Saturday, and I tried to denude Brandt of everything he knows about the 2018 crop.

On what makes this draft different: “This is going to be the most talked-about draft in history. And not just because quarterbacks could go one through four, or four of the top five picks. But this will be an incredible extravaganza. For years to come, people will compare every draft to Dallas. The saying Everything’s bigger in Texas will definitely apply.

We’ll have sections all over the stadium for all 32 teams, and it’ll be like a competition between all the teams and their fans. Twelve big-time college coaches will be there—Nick Saban, Urban Meyer, Chris Petersen, others. Day two’s going to have the same excitement.”

On the walkup to the draft: “There’s been more activity than I ever remember at all these pro days. More coaches, more assistant coaches. South Dakota State had their pro day last week, and there were six NFL tight-end coaches there to see their guy [Dallas Goedert]. But he didn’t run the 40. Hasn’t run it yet. He could go anywhere from low first to the third, but it’s hard to know because teams don’t know his speed.”

Quality of the draft: “This is a draft where 13 to 17 guys I could point to and say for sure, This guy’s a first-round pick. After that, there’s a lot of starting-type players who could go anywhere. Let me put it to you this way: My guy who I have 21st overall on my list could go 64th. The guy I rank 47th could go 19th. So the Patriots, with their needs and their two first-round picks, should be able to get a tackle to replace Nate Solder.

They need the tackle from UCLA, Kolton Miller. He’s Nate Solder, is what he is … 6'8", 310 pounds, unbelievable 10-yard speed, which is what you need for a tackle. Needs development. But [offensive line coach] Dante Scarnecchia can develop a guy like that as well as anyone.”

His order of the quarterbacks: “Rosen, Darnold, Mayfield, Allen, Jackson.”

Top of the draft: “Here’s what it looks like: The running back from Penn State [Saquon Barkley] has all the characteristics needed to be an All-Pro player and could go anywhere in there. Nothing would surprise me. Let’s go to the quarterbacks. Josh Allen has everything you need to be a franchise QB, but he lacks accuracy, and you can’t complete 56 percent in the NFL. Now Sam Darnold, he’s got great mechanics and the right attitude and approach to be great. But he throws interceptions.

This is where you have to grade him—was the interception his fault? Josh Rosen started as a true freshman at UCLA. Never happened before. Started 5-0 or something like that as an 18-year-old. [Actually 4-0, and he won seven of his first nine starts]. You want to be the surest that you won’t be laughed at five years down the line with one of these quarterbacks? Pick Rosen. He’s a player.

Lamar Jackson, immense talent, immense upside. Baker Mayfield is a guy like Drew Brees. He’s got velocity, good accuracy. We all undervalued Drew. But what you don’t know about anyone is which quarterbacks are gonna work like Drew Brees. Drew’s gonna work his ass off.

His agent could get a call during the season from a car company saying, ‘We got a $200,000 commercial for you to tape on Tuesday.’ And Drew would say, ‘No, I’m not gonna do that on Tuesday. That’s my day to work on the next opponent.’ Your job if you’re going to draft one of these guys is to figure out who’s like Drew Brees.”

Josh Rosen and the questions surrounding his desire: “I have zero questions about Josh Rosen. I have no problems with him at all.”


Biggest surprise in the top 10: “[Notre Dame] tackle Mike McGlinchey. He’ll go in the top 10.”

Player who will go higher than everyone thinks: “Will Hernandez, guard, UTEP. Reminds me of Mike Iupati—both drafted higher than anyone thought.”

Draft invitee who fascinates Brandt: “Leighton Vander Esch, the Boise State linebacker. He’ll be the first man ever invited to the draft who played eight-man football in high school. He’s from Salmon River High School in Riggins, Idaho. A true rising star.”

The Super Bowl champions’ plans: “I don’t know what [the Eagles] are going to do, but I have been amazed at their presence everywhere at these pro days. I told [general manager] Howie Roseman, ‘You must have an unlimited scouting budget—and I think you’ve exceeded it.’ They’ve had coaches and scouts everywhere. They don’t act like they just won the Super Bowl. They act like they’re dying just to make the playoffs.”

Happiest draft invitee: “We’ve got 22 guys coming in, and maybe the happiest is a guy who won’t be picked in the first round: Shaquem Griffin [the UCF linebacker who lost his left hand because of a birth defect at age 4]. When I called his mother to invite them, she started crying because of how much this means to the family.”
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SPORTS QUIZ
On Saturday, the fledgling league The Alliance of American Football announced the first of eight franchise cities, Orlando. The league said 72-year-old Steve Spurrier would coach the team.

This will be the first pro football coaching job by Spurrier since 2003. Spurrier’s embarrassing 12-20 two-year run in Washington ended on Dec. 27, 2003, with a 31-7 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles.

Here’s the quiz:

Who was Spurrier’s starting quarterback in the last game he coached in the NFL?

Here’s the bonus quiz:

Who was the replay official in the press box for the last game Spurrier coached in the NFL?

Answers in number 8 of Things I Think.
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“The defensive coordinator has more swag than all of ’em, so we’ll be in good shape.”

—Rams coach Sean McVay, on the big stars the Rams have added to the defense (Marcus Peters, Aqib Talib, Ndamukong Suh), and how he thinks 71-year-old Wade Phillips will coach them up.
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STATS OF THE WEEK
I

The Denver Broncos lucked into a top-five punter for very good value last week, signing Jon Gruden-reject Marquette King for three years and $7 million, making him approximately the 12th-highest-paid punter (in average cap value) in the NFL. Not bad for King, who finished second in the league in punting average in 2016 and third in 2017, and who is 29 years old.

When the Broncos signed King on Thursday, he was positively giddy about getting to punt in altitude for half his games over the next three years. “Denver’s a punter’s paradise,” King said. “The ball definitely travels a lot further. I’ve always enjoyed punting out here in the altitude just because the ball travels further.”

The evidence in his five seasons is significant, if limited. King’s numbers in Colorado versus all other places:

image


The Broncos are going to have to work with King specifically on placement on inside-the-20 kicks—kicking as he did for Oakland could result in too many into the end zone.

II

Rams receiver Brandin Cooks, 24, is a mere 16 months older than the top receiver prospect in the draft, Alabama’s Calvin Ridley, 23. Ridley will turn 24 in his rookie season. Cooks leads Ridley in NFL games played, 61-0.
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POD PEOPLE

This week’s conversation: Rams GM Les Snead.

Snead on his willingness to trade more than his predecessors, and on the willingness of a cadre of young GMs to do the same: “You know, that’s an interesting question, and to start with, I don't think you can ever be reckless because—let's go way back to 2012. You know we traded the No. 2 pick overall to the Redskins that ended up being known as the RG3 [Robert Griffin III] deal, but the whole purpose of that was to acquire as many draft picks as possible.

We got to build a young core because at that point it’s nearly, let’s call it 26 players of the 53 who finished on that 2011 Rams team never played in the NFL again, so you knew we had we had to replenish this with a good core, and over the years you draft it, but last year we tipped into let's call it being a ‘legit contender.’ So at that point, you’re well aware, wait a minute, we want to sustain this, we want to keep contending.

And, I’ll always say this, I got a simple rule: You can't be scared in this league. Look at Doug Pederson this year and, it wasn't reckless but it took courage and guess what? They won a Super Bowl on some of those fourth-down plays. So you try to do that as a general manager, but I also think, and this is long-winded answer, some of the analytics that you have now to really look at what historically draft picks bring you in reality over time …”

Me: “You’ve basically looked at draft choices as tools in the toolbox. That's how I kind of look at your thing: You’re not wedded to your draft picks.”

Snead: “Right. You should be my interpreter.”
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THINGS I THINK I THINK

1. I think Baltimore signing Robert Griffin III doesn’t mean anything about the Ravens’ draft-weekend intentions. If there’s a quarterback there at 16 (Lamar Jackson?) whom the Ravens love, they’ll take him. As they should. Since Joe Flacco won the Super Bowl with Baltimore, there have been five seasons played in the NFL. In those five seasons combined, 31 quarterbacks have started at least 40 games. Flacco is 30th in passer rating in those five seasons, at 82.1.

2. I think if, in “Paterno,” HBO intended to show Joe Paterno as an altogether doddering old man who had no business coaching Penn State in his last few years, HBO succeeded. I have no dog in this fight, and there is no question whatsoever that Paterno was allowed to coach that team far too long. But was it really that bad? Was he really that bad? Check out Conor Orr’s commentary on “Paterno.”

3. I think one of the best free-agent signings of the second wave of the free market is New England procuring wide receiver Jordan Matthews after his lost and injured season with Buffalo in 2017. New England signed him for one year and about $4 million.

Mike Reiss reported in his Sunday column that Matthews wanted to play with Tom Brady and, presumably, could have signed for more years and money elsewhere. Love this for the Patriots because Matthews will play this year at 26, is now healthy, and in his three NFL seasons before 2017 with Philadelphia, averaged 75 catches and 891 yards. He’s the kind of big target (6'3") the Patriots and Brady needed.

4. I think I don't understand why uniform numbers can’t be simple. Just like I never understood why the Bucs made the numbers on their new uniforms unintelligible, I don’t get Tennessee’s new digits either. Why can’t a 2 look like a 2, and not a Z? Why make numbers make you do a triple-take?

5. I think, while I’m on my 60-year-old-man riff, what’s up with “uniform launch parties” or “uniform unveilings?” I see the Jaguars are having one April 19, on the heels of the Titans drawing 20,000 for theirs last week. I don’t get the unveiling of uniforms being a news event.

How did we get to this point? You know, it’s okay to not have everything be a big event. It’s okay for teams to say, “We’ve got nothing going on this week. Go cover something else.” And it’s okay for media to say, “We’ll run a photo of your next uniform on our site. That’s enough.” And be done with it.

6. I think now I’ll stop screaming for you to get off my lawn.

7. I think this Johnny Manziel admission to Dan Patrick just really rubbed me the wrong way: “Guys are good in the NFL because they know film, they study hard, and they work even harder in the offseason. I didn’t know that. I feel like if Cleveland did any of their homework, they would have know that I’m a guy that didn’t come in every day and watch film …

When I get to Cleveland, I have a quarterback in the room [Brian Hoyer] that’s not helping me. And it’s not really his job to, but nobody was there, helping me. And it was hard. I struggled … There was a lot of winging it, and not a lot of, you know, knowing what I was doing.”

One: It’s not the starting quarterback’s job to help the backup take the job from him. It would be nice if the starter did that, but in my experience, many more starting quarterbacks over time have been okay but not super-helpful to the first-round pick who’s there to put the starter out of business. Two: “Nobody was there, helping me.”

What? Dowell Loggains, quarterback coach, and Kyle Shanahan, offense coordinator … They didn’t help? They weren’t there to help? Their office doors were closed? That is, to be charitable, a disingenuous claim by Manziel. To be uncharitable, it is downright lame.

8. I think the answers to the Steve Spurrier quizzes surprised me.

The starting quarterback for Washington in the 2003 season finale—and one of six quarterbacks to throw passes for Spurrier in his two NFL seasons—was Tim Hasselbeck.

The replay official in FedEx Field for Spurrier’s last game? Dean Blandino.

9. I think I can’t say this enough: If San Francisco safety Eric Reid does not get signed, it sends a chilling message about free speech to every NFL player who would think about protesting anything. Colin Kaepernick being unsigned is reprehensible enough.

But if Reid, Kaepernick’s protest partner with the Niners in 2016, is not signed to a representative safety contract this spring, every player will know the league’s mantra: Get in line, or this will happen to you when your contract expires—no matter how good you are.

Will you watch the first round without a Rams Pick?

I am interested to view how many will still watch. Last season, I still did at least early on in the first and now without picks in the first or second, will any of you watch or stream (for the Millennial's) the second round too? My plan most likely will watch early to see if the Quarterbacks go as expected and then most likely go back and forth. On Friday, my plan is to watch Heaven Can Wait during the second round and await the third round and my plan on Saturday although the Rams have a ton of picks is to watch via my phone (shaking my head in disdain) and record the final day as my daughter has a swim meet. What say you?

2018 Rams Are Similar To The 1994 49ers - NN

2018 Rams are similar to the 1994 49ers

All those additions for the Rams have similar approximate values to the additions the 49ers made for the 1994 season.

By Patrick Holloway@PatOHolloway Apr 8, 2018, 9:01am PDT Share Tweet Share

Bring up all the Los Angeles Rams acquisitions in the recent weeks and the first thing that comes to mind is the 2011 Philadelphia Eagles. The dubbed “dream team” was just a fleeting dream that crashed and burned when the regular season started. Football Perspective’s Chase Stuart made a different comparison: the 1994 San Francisco 49ers.

Stuart used the approximate value statistic when ranking the players and compared both the 2011 Eagles and the 1994 49ers. There isn’t much of a comparison when comparing AV. Against the Eagles, the 49ers win out. Here’s what Stuart said about the 49ers in comparison to the Rams acquisitions:

So, will the Rams really be as good in real life as they appear on paper? Los Angeles is adding four new players who had AVs of at least 12 points either last year or the year before. It’s been 23 years since a team did that, and that team was… the 1994 San Francisco 49ers. That offseason, they added CB Deion Sanders (AV of 12 in 1993), DE Richard Dent (AV of 12 in 1993), LB Ken Norton (AV of 15 in ’93), and LB Rickey Jackson (AV of 13 in ’93). The 49ers also added C Bart Oates (AV of 10 in ’93). The 49ers already had an incredible offense, and with a better defense — and a better performance against Dallas in the NFCCG — San Francisco finally won another Super Bowl.

Most of the load ups in history were from adding players with AVs of 10 or less.

On paper, when considering AV, the Rams are not the same as the 2011 Eagles, they are better. When you look at the additions of the Rams vs the ‘94 Niners, a Super Bowl may be in their future.

Unless the 49ers put a stop to all of this.

______________________________________________________________

Yeah, the Niners can stop us....:LOL:

But hats off to Holloway for a surprisingly sober report, from an otherwise glue-sniffing Site. And then you get the comments...stay tuned.



I dumped Verizon and have been very happy

For a long time I have been sick and tired of the high prices they gouged me with, but the service was the best.

I'm a Comcast Xfinity customer with home cable/internet.

Xfinity just got into the wireless game and I got on board. They use Verizons towers so the service is the same.

They have 18 million wifi hotspots around the country, loads of them around here so I can get wifi even when there is none available locally. In fact I haven't been to a place where I need internet access and haven't been able to get on a local wifi or Xfiniti's network. I can roll down the road for miles and miles using no data.

There in no line fee, and the data usage is either unlimited for 45 bucks a month or pay as you go for 12 bucks a GIG. I've used more than 1 GIG very few times so that's the program I picked. If I had a newer phone my bill would be 12 bucks a month. Yes that's right 12 bucks.

But I had an older Galaxy S5 so I upgraded to the new Galaxy S9 for 30 bucks. So my bill is 42 bucks a month. Less than what I was paying Verizon AND I got the S9. Which by the way is a really amazing phone.

If you are an Xfiniti customer I strongly recommend looking into this especially if you have an iphone or galaxy that is fairly recent. If you have an S7 or newer I think you can jump on board.

Imagine having a phone bill that's 12 bucks a month!

Rams Fantasy Draft 2018

According to Drafttek.com the value of the Rams 2018 draft picks is 367.2 pts:

DR3(87) 155
DR4(111) 72
DR4(135) 38
DR4(136) 37.5
DR6A(176) 20.5
DR6B(183) 17.8
DR6C(194) 13.4
DR6D(195) 13
Total Pts 367.2

Hypothetically - how would you like to see the Rams spend the 367.2 points. I will start:

Player Round Pts
J Sweat - EDGE R3.100 100
J Holland - EDGE R4.102 92
D Nnadi - NT R4.129 43
A Victor - ILB R4.135 38
T Crosby - OT R5.143 34
Q Blanding - S R5.170 23
F Ragnow - OC R5.171 23
M Walton - RB R6.208 10
N DeLuca - ILB R7.225 2
KC McDermott - OT R7.243 2
Total 367

Jake Ellenbogen's 2018 Rams Mock Draft 4.0

Jake Ellenbogen's 2018 Rams Mock Draft 4.0

April 8, 2018

| By:
Jake Ellenbogen
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I'm back with another mock draft for the Los Angeles Rams. Since my last mock draft, players have risen or dropped considerably down the board and of course, the Rams have since traded away their first-round pick. So now, here is my fourth Rams mock draft.


3rd round - 87th overall: Uchenna Nwosu, EDGE, USC (6-3, 251 pounds)
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The captain for the USC Trojans was a menace for passers alike in the Pac-12 conference. From Josh Rosen and Luke Falk to Justin Herbert, Nwosu did not back down. His impressive display of relentless pursuit, athleticism and almost 35-inch arms makes him quite the big deal. Now, with the Rams not having a first-round pick due to the recent acquisition of Brandin Cooks, they will likely need to hit it out of the park with talent in this draft. I believe Nwosu will be a steal in the third but I do believe he will be there at this pick for the Los Angeles Rams.


The team has Nickell Robey-Coleman, Robert Woods and Justin Davis who all played at USC and Nwosu would join them if this pick indeed happened. Nwosu still has an enormous amount of upside after starting the sport at the end of his high school career. I believe that Nwosu and Samson Ebukam would be a nightmare for teams that already will have to figure out how to block a trio of Aaron Donald, Ndamukong Suh and Michael Brockers but also be able to throw on Aqib Talib, Marcus Peters, Robey- Coleman, Sam Shields, LaMarcus Joyner and John Johnson III.

This pick would clearly fill a need at the outside linebacker spot that is pretty big right now. It's uncertain how big of a role last year's day three selection EJuan Price would play on this team but it's worth noting that they cut him during the season and placed him on the practice squad. Nwosu would upgrade a defense that is almost complete and would provide everything that this organization needs as far as character and play on the field.

4th round - 111th overall (via Miami): Kalen Ballage, RB, Arizona State (6-1, 228 pounds)
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The Rams let go of Lance Dunbar and while they have Malcolm Brown and Justin Davis on the roster, neither possess the upside and the total package that Arizona State RB Kalen Ballage brings to the table. Ballage is a freakish athlete that I have been mocking to the Rams since the first mock of this draft. He is likely the best receiving back in this draft and he showed it big time in front of a lively audience (including myself) at the Senior Bowl. Sean McVay may have not attended but I do know Les Snead was there and for someone that drafted his first four players all from the Senior Bowl last year, there is a good chance he is going to show some bias towards Senior Bowl attendee's.


Ballage had a game in college in which he had eight touchdowns, but make no mistake his team did not know how to use him properly and so he's about to become a better pro than he was a college player. Ballage has a monster look to himself as he stands 6-foot-1 and weighs over 220 pounds. He may not be your stereotypical scat back but if you pass on Ballage because he doesn't look like a Chris Thompson-like back, then you will be passing on an extremely talented player for a lesser talented player just to say he looks the part.

4th round - 135th overall (via NY Giants): Shaquem Griffin, EDGE/LB/S, UCF (6-1, 227 pounds)
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Another player that I've been mocking since the end of last year's draft in my "Way too early mock draft" Shaquem Griffin. High motor, high character, big-time work ethic, elite level play speed, adequate play strength and high football IQ? Yes, please. Griffin is the twin of Seattle Seahawks CB Shaquill Griffin, who would easily be a first rounder if not for his amputated arm from his age of four years old. Still, Shaquem has shown that having one hand gives you no excuse to go out on that football play and do what you believe you can do.


Besides the obvious combine performance when Shaquem ran a 4.38 forty-yard dash, the Senior Bowl performance in which he showed the versatility to play inside, outside linebacker and even as a defensive back. Griffin also showed off the ability to bench press 20 repetitions with just a hand and a prosthetic hand.

Wade Phillips likes having players that are versatile and the Rams if they acquired the services of Shaquem Griffin in this upcoming draft would not only have tons of new fans but they would have a swiss army knife in Griffin who could play all over the defense and add another dimension to an already terrifying defense. Would Shaquem be a feel-good story? Sure, but there is more than meets the eye when you talk about the explosive and hardworking Shaquem Griffin.

4th round - 136th overall (via New England): Shaun Dion Hamilton, ILB, Alabama (6-0, 228 pounds)
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Shaun Dion Hamilton has all the talent, athleticism and potential in the world. The only issue I've seen with him has been the injuries. If Hamilton can stay healthy, he will have a chance to steal away one of the starting ILB spots. This is a player that played around an elite college defense, so if he had to come into what the Rams have now in Los Angeles he would be able to transition pretty easily. As of right now, the Rams project Mark Barron and Cory Littleton to start on the inside but make no mistake a pick of Hamilton could mean he pushes one of them out of their starting slot.


Hamilton is one of the best coverage linebackers in this draft and because of that, he will be even more valuable for Wade Phillips defense. Really, Hamilton has tons of strengths as far as his football IQ, experience with calling the best defense in the game, anticipation and instincts that cannot be coached. If the only issue with Hamilton is the injury, well then going to the team that just had the fewest amount of injuries in the season might be the right option.

6th round - 176th overall (via NY Giants): Tony Adams, G/C, NC State (6-2, 322 pounds)
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Alas, here is the first player and the only one of this entire mock that the Rams have actually met with. Tony Adams was a three-year starter and showed the versatility to play guard and center on the Wolfpack offensive line. Adams was a team captain and showed consistency over the course of his college career, refusing to miss games and also refusing to give up sacks on the QB. He's quick and disciplined, as it's worth noting that Adams only was penalized twice in his college career.


The Rams clearly need to think about their offensive line and with a bunch of sixth-round picks, that's exactly what I have and expect they will do during the draft. The team will look to draft diamonds in the rough that they feel embody the culture and work ethic that it takes to play for this organization and they will develop these guys. In my personal opinion, Adams is a lot better than a sixth-round pick and I see him becoming an above-average starter some day but the issue is his length, his height and basically what he cannot control. I'll take a talented three-year starting captain that has the versatility to play center or any guard spot at a consistent and disciplined level in a heartbeat. I'm sure that's the Rams thinking as well.

6th round - 183rd overall (via Miami): Timon Parris, OT/G, Stony Brook (6-6, 312 pounds)
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We just talked about an undersized guard and now here is a mammoth tackle. Timon Parris has been making scouts shiver over his amazing footwork and frame. A four-year starter at Stony Brook and someone that has an NFL left tackle build in a draft that is extremely weak at the position overall, there is a chance he's gone way before the sixth round. With Parris, this is, by all means, a developmental tackle, he has a lot to like but he still shows hesitation in his usage of his hands and he allows his man to get the first punch which hurts his overall leverage in one-on-ones.


Parris makes tons of sense for the Rams seeing as Andrew Whitworth is on his last legs and will need to be replaced as soon as possible. Parris is a developmental guy but he started all four years in college, showed the coach-ability and isn't a projection. You watched Parris play LT in college and you know he can play it in the NFL if all works out. It's going to take some fine tuning but Parris could be a legitimate top 20 LT in the NFL if developed the right way. Rams OL coach Aaron Kromer would be chomping at the bit to make this happen.

6th round - 194th overall (via Detroit): Matthew Gono, OT/G, Wesley College (6-4, 316 pounds)
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Matthew Gono is one of those diamond in the rough type of offensive lineman you simply have to take a flyer on any time you have four sixth-round picks and not a lot of needs. Gono is an extremely athletic offensive lineman that played LT in college. Coming out of Wesley, this player simply has not been tested physically like he will be in the NFL but you see some things you have to like about Gono. His quickness and the way he's able to explode in short area situations while being able to also get up the field and into the second-level is something to watch. Gono is someone that shows the ability to be a monster of a pulling guard.


Gono has a mean streak and his play is very technically sound. He may not have enormous upside but you could see Gono if developed correctly becoming a starting guard in the NFL.

6th round - 195th overall (via Bills): Aaron Stinnie, OT/G, James Madison (6-5, 309 pounds)
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Another sleeper in this draft and quite frankly a project and even a wild-card is Aaron Stinnie. The former defensive tackle really showed out in the FCS as a left tackle. Stinnie has been moving up draft boards a bit and could see himself getting as high as the sixth round. I like the pick here, someone that has athleticism and things to work with. As previously mentioned, the Rams have an offensive line that is aging and will need to develop future players quickly. The sixth-round of this draft could be boring for a lot of Rams fans but if you draft four offensive linemen and you have the caliber of coaching that the Rams do in Aaron Kromer, then there is a good chance at least one of them will be an above-average starter and another will be an average starter. When you dip into the sixth-round those are the risks for waiting on a certain position.


I do believe the Rams will avoid taking a center since they really like Austin Blythe. Stinnie has the upside, the strength, the quickness and the overall consistency to warrant the pick here. He was an All-American in college and with next-level NFL coaching, he could develop into an above-average starter.

Potential UDFA's (16):
RB Quinton Flowers, South Florida
WR Devonte Boyd, UNLV
WR DJ Myers, Midwestern State
TE Ben Johnson, Kansas
OT Nick Gates, Nebraska
G Salesi Uhatafe, Utah
DT Bilal Nichols, Delaware
EDGE Davin Bellamy, Georgia
EDGE Dewey Jarvis, Brown
ILB Matt Boesen, TCU
ILB C.J. Johnson, East Texas Baptist
ILB Nyles Morgan, Notre Dame
CB Jalen Davis, Utah State
CB Mike Ford, SE Missouri State
S Jamar Summers, UConn
S Damon Webb, Ohio State

UPDATED RAMS DEPTH CHART:
- BOLD (drafted player)
- Italics (UDFA signed player)

QB: Jared Goff/Sean Mannion/Brandon Allen
RB: Todd Gurley/Kalen Ballage/Malcolm Brown/Justin Davis/Lenard Tillery/Quinton Flowers
FB: Sam Rogers
XWR: Brandin Cooks/Josh Reynolds/Mike Thomas
ZWR: Robert Woods/Fred Brown/Devonte Boyd
SWR: Cooper Kupp/Pharoh Cooper/Tavon Austin/DJ Myers
TE: Tyler Higbee/Gerald Everett/Temarrick Hemingway/Johnny Mundt/Henry Krieger-Coble/Ben Johnson
LT: Andrew Whitworth/Timon Parris/Aaron Stinnie
LG: Rodger Saffold/Tony Adams/Salesi Uhatafe
C: John Sullivan/Austin Blythe/Aaron Neary
RG: Jamon Brown/Jake Eldrenkamp/Matthew Gono
RT: Rob Havenstein/Darrell Williams/Michael Dunn/Nick Gates
LE: Michael Brockers/Ethan Westbrooks/Morgan Fox
NT: Ndamukong Suh/Omarius Bryant/Bilal Nichols
RE: Aaron Donald/Dominique Easley/Tanzel Smart
OLB: Uchenna Nwosu/Matt Longacre/Carlos Thompson/Dewey Jarvis
ILB: Cory Littleton/Bryce Hager/Shaun Dion Hamilton/Nyles Morgan/Matt Boesen
ILB: Mark Barron/Ramik Wilson/Shaquem Griffin/C.J. Johnson
OLB: Samson Ebukam/Garrett Sickels/Ejuan Price/Davin Bellamy
CB: Marcus Peters/Sam Shields/Dominique Hatfield/Taurean Nixon/Jalen Davis
CB: Aqib Talib/Troy Hill/Kevin Peterson/Marcus Sayles/Mike Ford
NB: Nickell Robey-Coleman/Blake Countess
FS: LaMarcus Joyner/Marqui Christian/Damon Webb
SS: John Johnson III/Isaiah Johnson/Jamar Summers
K: Greg Zuerlein/Sam Ficken
P: Johnny Hekker
LS: Jake McQuaide

Deadpool's top 10 over-rated and under-rated draft prospects

This from one of the better posters on the Herd that does quite a bit of research for the draft....I found this intersting and would look forward to the feedback from @jrry32 @OldSchool @BonifayRam as well as others.

As far as Over -rated - it feels like I am betraying my own rankings, but that said:

Top 10 overrated:

1. Josh Allen - QB - Wyoming - I worry about his completion percentage, but I have had my reasons to believe its more the talent around him then just all him. But if it is him, and the Browns take him #1 it will be a massive reach.

2. Marcus Davenport - Edge - UTSA - Really a giant fish in a small pond, he over-whelmed inferior talent. he has a high boom or bust potential.

3. Calvin Ridley - WR - Alabama - This years top WR doesn't really hold up to the top wideouts of past drafts, so he might have huge expectations that he can't live up to. i worry about his thin frame.

4. Mason Rudolph - QB - Oklahoma State - Limited vision, statue, average arm. And he probably is drafted in the 2nd round. I hope Arizona, lol.

5. Orlando Brown - OT - Oklahoma - Man, what a mess at the combine. He has the pedigree to excel, but I worry about his serious lack of athleticism. And his weight.

6. Josh Jackson - CB - Iowa - Only 1 year of production, ran ok at best at the combine (ran a 4.42 at his pro day) so there are questions. That said I like him.

7. Shaquem Griffin - LB - UCF - I hate to be that guy (or not) but I know everyone loves his story and how he broke the LBer record 40 time (previously held by everyone's favorite Jon Alston) but he is under-sized with a giant heart and 1 hand. I am concerned he is anything more then a ST demon. (if he goes in day 3 he was not over-rated)

8. Derrius Guice - RB - LSU - Played injured this year and in such a deep RB class, I just don't see what makes him so special that you need to take him in the 1st round.

9. Arden Key - Edge - LSU - Ran a 4.9 at his pro day at 238 lbs, claims he will play around 250 to 255...Left the team for a few months to get right, he was a top 5 prospect before then, came back overweight, slow and then injured.

10. Leighton Vander Esch - ILB - Boise State - another 1 year wonder, was inconsistent and needs to add strength. 1 more year of college would have done wonders for him. And since the Rams have no shot at him, I don't fear for my board safety by putting him on this list.

Top 10 under-rated:

1. Dorance Armstrong Jr. - Edge - Kansas - Kansas changed its scheme on defense leading to Armstrong getting less chances to push the pocket. Plus, he was mis-used as a 246 lb. 43 end, and was basically the only actual player Kansas has on defense. Has the movement skills, motor and ability to be a really good 34 edge.

2. Simmie Cobbs Jr. - WR - Indiana - he dominated Ohio State this year. Big, with enough speed, flypaper hands. Everyone wants these tall WRs to run like Randy Moss, he was a once in a long while player so it ain't happening.

3. Rashaad Penny - RB -SDSU - 2k yard rusher, 5th in Heisman voting, perfect body to be a bellcow tailback, yet is sitting behind 6 or 7 backs in this draft? he'll be a steal for someone.

4. Alex Cappa - OG - Humboldt St. - Size with light feet and a nasty demeanor, if he played for Ohio State he's a 2nd rounder.

5. Josey Jewell - ILB - Iowa - Really reminds me of Denzel Perryman (whom I loved) but somehow he's being talked about in the 3rd or 4th round? Perryman was a 5'-11" 236 lb 4.7 ILB, Jewell is a 6'-1" 235 lb. 4.68 ILB, both are highly instinctual, sure tacklers that can drop into some zone coverage. Perryman was drafted in the 2nd.

6. Dallas Goedert - TE - South Dakota State - Only myself and Mel Kiper Jr. like this TE #1 overall. I think he may be a little stiff for some evaluators taste, but if they are scared of level of competition, they shouldn't be. Since NDSU has won 6 of the last 7 NCs, there have been 4 players that scared me as far as the Bison defense playing: Dallas Goedert, David Johnson, Cooper Kupp and Jake Weineke.

Fun fact - my neighbor (living in the country in North Dakota, neighbor means within a mile or 2) dated Dallas' mom when they were both in HS.

7. PJ Hall - DL - Sam Houston State - Another FCS kid, but ran a 4.78 at 310 lbs. Strong as an ox. Someone is going to get themselves a highly productive penetrating DL.

8. Olasunkanmi Adeniyi - Edge - Toledo - I really like him, and think someone is going to get a power edge with a high motor on day 3. His production is hard to argue and I like guys that are tough with high effort.

9. Tegray Scale - ILB - Indiana - No one is talking about him and I have no idea why. a bit under-sized? 6'-0" 230 lbs. Great instincts (he is a TFL machine) you can see he is a leader, takes great angles and is always in the right place. Oh and 8 picks in his career.

10. Mark Walton - RB - Miami - his injuries are probably pushing him down the draft, but he is a shifty homerun hitting 3 down back that (if he does slide) could be a real steal.

Jrry32 Post-Cooks Trade Mock

It's been a little while since my last mock, and the Rams have made a couple major splashes. I actually tried very hard to identify some new guys to throw into this mock, but after a fairly exhaustive search, I felt the guys I keep coming back to have the best film.

My process for Day 3 picks is to look for special traits. Guys who fall to Day 3 have flaws. You can find diamonds in the rough by finding guys who have special traits that translate to the NFL. Those traits might allow them to overcome their flaws. I really looked far and wide for edge guys, and nobody who is currently slotted in the 3rd round or later range has impressed me more than Jeff Holland. I looked into guys who put up great athletic testing numbers as our second edge guy on Day 3, but none of them had a trait like Mata'afa's get-off.

Anyways, the point I'm making is that I'd like to offer new players to give you more names, but I am trying to hone in on the guys who I feel will help this team the most. And based on all the film I've watched thus far, the guys below are those players.
Trades
Rams trade Round 4 Pick #35, Round 4 Pick #36, and Round 6 Pick #21
Broncos trade Round 4 Pick #13 and Round 5 Pick #23

We trade up in the 4th round with the Broncos to land our developmental LT.

NFL Draft
Round 3 Pick #23 - Shaquem Griffin ILB/OLB UCF
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Analysis: Griffin checks in at 6'0" 227 pounds with surprising power and elite burst/speed. Griffin closes like few can at the LB position, and his 4.38 40 at the Combine reflects his freakish speed. He's been a highly-effective pass rusher because of his ability diverse set of rush moves and evolved pass rush plan along with his elite speed and quickness off the edge. He doesn't have the size to hold up as an edge, but he should be an effective blitzer. Griffin has had plenty of snaps in coverage and shows the athleticism to handle M2M coverage responsibilities in the NFL. In the running game, he's a sideline-to-sideline LB who will sift through traffic to make TFLs. He can also close from the backside due to his incredible speed. Despite his small stature, Griffin has shown the ability to work off of and through blockers. Griffin's missing hand can limit him at times. It can make it harder for him to disengage from blocks and can cause him to miss tackles. However, Griffin's unique blend of elite speed for his position along with top-notch instincts means that the tackles he generally misses due to his hand are tackles that few other LBs would have been in a position to make. Griffin is a film room junkie who went as far as to put his mattress in the facility during camp to allow himself to stay overnight to watch more film. It shows in his play through his tremendous instincts, tendency to be in the right place at the right time, and his evolved pass rush plan. Simply put, if Griffin had two hands, I think he'd be considered one of the top players in the Draft. He's been highly productive the past two years at UCF and won the Senior Bowl Practice Player of the Week Award. His game reminds me of Lavonte David and Deion Jones.

Round 4 Pick #11 - Jeff Holland OLB Auburn
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Analysis: You may not have heard of Jeff Holland as he only has one year of starting experience, but he made the most of that year by posting 45 tackles, 13 TFLs, 10 sacks, and 4 FFs in his only year starting in the SEC. What stood out to me while watching Holland is all of the stats that won't show up on the box score. I don't know if I've seen another guy in this class who pressures the QB as much as Holland. Watching his bowl game against UCF, he pressured the QB on almost every single passing play. At 6'1" 249 pounds with 33.5 arms and 10.5 hands, Holland has very long arms and big hands for his size. He definitely fits the mold of a 3-4 OLB. Holland uses his long arms and big hands to win consistently as an edge rusher. He has some of the most polished hand usage and sophisticated pass rush plans in this class. Holland actually has taken martial arts training to improve his hand fighting ability. As it stands now, his go-to moves are the two-handed swipe and the rip and run. Holland consistently wins off the edge by using his advanced hand usage, outstanding punch timing, natural leverage, and polished body positioning to thwart the attempts of tackles to push him past the pocket. Holland's powerful lower body and great balance also allow him to flatten out when turning the corner and prevent OTs from riding him past the QB. Young pass rushers should watch Holland's film to learn how to use their inside arm to soften the edge. Simply put, Holland won't be a workout warrior and doesn't have the prettiest looking body, but he wins as a pass rusher with technical skill, football IQ, heavy hands, power, balance, and tenaciousness. He actually posted comparable production to Carl Lawson, who posted 8.5 sacks as a rookie with the Bengals in 2017. As a run defender, Holland uses his natural leverage, power, and advanced hand usage to set a hard edge. He has some tightness in his lower body which limits his ability to drop into coverage and prevents him from reaching his full potential as a finisher and as a run defender in space, but Holland is a tenacious pass rusher who should drive NFL QBs crazy with his constant pressure.

Round 4 Pick #13 - Geron Christian OT Louisville
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Analysis: Geron Christian started every game during his college career for Louisville, including his entire true freshman season. At 6'5" 298 pounds with 35 inch arms and 10.75 inch hands, Christian is not lacking for NFL measurables. Louisville's scheme asks their OTs to flip between LT and RT during the game, so Christian has ample experience at both spots, which makes him an ideal player for a swing OT role as a rookie. As a pass protector, Christian is remarkably steady. He is a natural bender who sits comfortably in his space, mirrors with ease, has light feet and smooth change of directional skills, and positions himself well to not give DLs easy pressure or sacks. Christian lost very few snaps in pass protection in the film I watched. He uses his length, smooth athleticism, and great balance to frustrate pass rushers trying to get the better of him. The only two criticisms I have of him as a pass protector are that he needs to be more precise with his punch placement and he needs to get stronger. With his punch placement, his hands have a tendency to end up outside on the DL. With his functional strength, he needs a stronger anchor against bull rushers. He does a nice job of recovering when he's initial beat with a bull rush, but he gives a bit too much ground at times. As a run blocker, Christian definitely needs to get stronger. He doesn't generate a lot of movement in the ground game. He's more an angle and positioning blocker. He's steady in that regard and rarely blows assignments, but he also doesn't blow people off the ball. All in all, he's a guy who can step in and hold his own as a rookie swing OT, and if he gets stronger in the NFL, he has starting OT potential down the line. At only 21 years old, Christian has time to develop his game.

Round 5 Pick #23 - Hercules Mata'afa OLB Washington State
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Analysis: Mata'afa was an incredibly productive player in his final year at Washington State posting 45 tackles, 22.5 TFLs, and 10.5 sacks as an undersized DT. At 6'2" 252 pounds with only 31.5 inch arms, Mata'afa will not be playing DT in the NFL. With a strong Combine, I felt Mata'afa could boost himself into the first round like Melvin Ingram did by proving he was a 3-4 OLB instead of a tweener. Unfortunately for Mata'afa, he had an underwhelming Combine which have only made the belief that he's a tweener intensify. Still, Mata'afa's film shows a kid with elite get-off who anticipates the snap count well and can play under blockers. Mata'afa has a non-stop motor, the strength to set the edge, good quickness, and a nose for the football. He has great football character, outstanding overall intangibles, and a will to be the best. Mata'afa may not have the athleticism to win on the edge in the NFL, but I think it's worth a try. He's the type of kid who will work as hard as anyone to try and make it happen. With his special traits, I think there's certainly a chance that he can develop into a dangerous pass rusher in the NFL. At minimum, he should contribute on special teams.

Round 6 Pick #2 - Jack Cichy ILB Wisconsin
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Analysis: Cichy is just a really good football player. The problem for him is his injury history. He missed all of 2017 with a torn ACL, and he missed half of the 2016 season with a torn pectoral muscle. However, I think it's worth the risk because he's a Day 2 talent on tape. Cichy is a very smart and sound football player who possesses good athleticism for his size. At 6'2" 238 pounds with solid arm length, Cichy has the dimensions of a NFL ILB. While Cichy won't overpower blockers, he is quite adept at slipping blocks due to his advanced hand usage and agility. He sifts through traffic well, plays with consistent gap integrity, and tackles well, even in space. Cichy also reads his keys well and rarely takes false steps. The thing that stands out the most is Cichy's ability to close when he gets a path to the runner. He may not run a 4.4 40, but he plays fast. As a blitzer, Cichy is highly effective due to his outstanding anticipation of the snap count and his hand usage when rushing the passer. He puts a lot of pressure on the QB when used on A-gap blitzes. His cover skills are good; although, he's a better zone defender than man defender. Cichy also has that sort of annoying style that gets into the heads of offensive players. He plays through the whistle, is constantly buzzing around opposing players, and has a non-stop motor. All in all, Cichy checks all the boxes and should contribute in the NFL if he stays healthy. He'll be great depth at ILB and can contribute on special teams. If Cichy is gone, Tegray Scales is another possible name here.

Round 6 Pick #9 - Tony Adams C/OG N.C. State
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Analysis: Tony Adams is a guy I just recently stumbled upon after reading Lance Zierlein's sleeper list. As y'all know, I'm a big fan of Zierlein's OL evaluations, and I must agree that Adams is a sleeper in this Draft. At 6'1" 302 pounds, Adams is going to be overlooked for his lack of height. However, he has 33.5 inch arms, which more than compensate for that lack of height. Adams is a four-year starter at RG and team captain. He did play some Center as a freshman, and that's where I think he ends up in the NFL. Adams is a former high school wrestler and tennis star. You can see both of those sports in his game as he has the upper body strength and hand-eye coordination that you expect from a wrestler with the quality footwork and great balance you expect from a tennis player. Adams rarely falls off blocks, positions himself beautifully when executing his blocking assignments, and is very comfortable blocking in space and on the second level. He times his punches well, he's very reliable in pass protection, and he executes his assignments consistently as a run blocker. What are his weaknesses? He only possesses average overall strength, so he doesn't generate a lot of push in the running game, and he can get pushed back by very strong DTs. Nevertheless, he uses angles and positioning well in the running game to open up holes, and he competes hard as a pass protector. I think Adams would be an outstanding fit in our scheme because of his versatility and how well he fits the Center position in Kromer's blocking scheme. This kid may not be a HOFer, but he strikes me as a guy who has the ability to be a very solid starting Center for a long time in the right scheme.

Round 6 Pick #20 - Phillip Lindsay HB Colorado
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Analysis: Phillip Lindsay's nickname is the "Tasmanian Devil" because of his endless energy, toughness, and refusal to let his size limit him. At 5'7" 185 pounds, Lindsay is definitely undersized, but that didn't stop him from rushing for 2726 yards and 30 TDs over the past two seasons at Colorado. He also caught 76 passes during that time. Lindsay is a fearless pass protector who will stonewall edge rushers despite his small stature. He saved his QB from a number of hits in college. He's actually been compared to Chris Thompson by some, and there's validity to the comparison. Lindsay is small with good speed (4.39 40 at his Pro Day), great pass protection skills, and good pass-catching skills. He won't break a lot of tackles as a runner, but he'll get what's blocked. He has the potential to be a valuable HB on passing downs.

Projected Starters
QB: Jared Goff
HB: Todd Gurley
WR: Brandin Cooks
WR: Robert Woods
WR: Cooper Kupp
TE: Gerald Everett
LT: Andrew Whitworth
LG: Rodger Saffold
C: John Sullivan
RG: Jamon Brown
RT: Rob Havenstein

SDE: Michael Brockers
NT: Ndamukong Suh
DT: Aaron Donald
WOLB: Matt Longacre
WILB: Mark Barron
SILB: Cory Littleton
SOLB: Samson Ebukam
LCB: Marcus Peters
RCB: Aqib Talib
SLCB: Nickell Robey-Coleman
FS: LaMarcus Joyner
SS: John Johnson III

K: Greg Zuerlein
P: Johnny Hekker
LS: Jake McQuaide

I expect our defense to be most like 91 eagles

Few teams I saw (going back to the 60 rams) collapsed a pocket consistently as much as the 91 eagles. With Reggie white, Jerome brown and Clyde Simmons, they had a defensive line similar to what we will have. Everyone could not be double teamed. All pros on the vicious line and all pros in the backfield. They were first in just about every category and in some people’s analysis, the best defense in the past 30 years.
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Rank the top 10 Rams players of 2018

Simple enough - Rank who you believe will be 10 best Rams players of 2018.

10 - Ndamukong Suh
9 - Brandin Cooks
8 - Michael Brockers
7 - Robert Woods
6 - Jared Goff
5 - Rodger Saffold
4 - Lamarcus Joyner
3 - Marcus Peters
2 - Todd Gurley
1 - Aaron Donald

Ok, I know Hekker and Zeurline are missing here, as is Whitworth and Aquib Talib and several other great players...

Targeted marketing gone awry

I sometimes buy clothing for the girlie girl from a couple of online retailers than have good values.

Nothing fancy, jeans, tops just stuff I think she would look good in..........

Well, of course they follow you with ads now and again which is no big deal to me. I can ignore it and I only go when I want to get her something. I got her some sexy lingerie a couple of weeks ago..........and that may have been a mistake.

The other day (I've been meaning to post this) an ad with several items is on the right side of a site and included this pic.
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I thought I'd investigate because the pic is hilarious and that WAS a mistake. Now I am getting images that are even crazier.

I'd post a couple but I'm afraid they would be deleted, not that they are x rated but they are fairly racy.

Anyway I will leave it to you guys to decide what these undies actually DO.

Very Exciting Times For Rams Fans!

I have been a Rams Fan since the Roman Gabriel/Deacon Jones/Merlin Olsen days and I honestly don't know if I have ever been this excited about an upcoming Rams season! The moves that McVay and Snead have made are absolutely stunning and I think the Rams will be a real force next season and will definitely be a team to be reckoned with by the rest of the NFL Teams! The 2018 NFL Season can NOT get here soon enough!

Walt's Los Angeles Rams Mock Selections

I know some of you are not fans of this site, but quite frankly, besides drafting a WR with the last selection, I think I could live with this draft and would be stoked if Crosby lasted until the 3rd round.




Walt's Los Angeles Rams Mock Selections
  • Rd. 3, Pk. 23 Tyrell Crosby, OT, Oregon
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    Andrew Whitworth won't be around for much longer, so the Rams will need to groom someone to replace him.

    Pick change; previously Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, DE/OLB


  • Rd. 4, Pk. 11 Kemoko Turay, DE/3-4OLB, Rutgers
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    With Robert Quinn gone, I think the Rams could select as many as three edge rushers in the first five rounds of the 2018 NFL Draft.

    Pick change; previously Tyquan Lewis, DE


  • Rd. 4, Pk. 35 Azeem Victor, ILB, Washington
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    The Rams traded Alec Ogletree away because he didn't fit the defense very well. They'll have to find some help at linebacker as a result.


  • Rd. 4, Pk. 36 Hercules Mata'afa, DE, Washington State
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    As mentioned earlier, the Rams could stand to obtain lots of edge rushers, given their huge need.

    Pick change; previously Fred Warner, LB


  • Rd. 6, Pk. 9 Kyle Hicks, RB, TCU
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    The Rams want to use a mid-round pick on a running back so that Todd Gurley's workload isn't as heavy.

    Pick change; previously Will Richardson, OT


  • Rd. 6, Pk. 20 Timon Parris, OT, Stony Brook
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    The Rams could stand to get better play out of their right guard, so here's a potential upgrade down the road.


  • Rd. 6, Pk. 21 Ade Aruna, DE/3-4OLB, Tulane
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    Here's yet another edge rusher for a team that is so desperate for them.

    Pick change; previously Ralph Webb, RB


  • Rd. 6, Pk. 24 Darren Carrington, WR, Utah
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    Another receiver should be considered, given Sammy Watkins' departure and Robert Woods' inconsistency throughout his career.


Read more: http://walterfootball.com/mocks/nfl/2018/los-angeles-rams#ixzz5BziYzBFT

Read more at http://walterfootball.com/mocks/nfl/2018/los-angeles-rams#KFXEIPH2sfhPLTC7.99

Changes looming in New England?

This article caught my eye.

Yes, we’ve heard these rumblings with Gronk since the end of the Super Bowl... But are we at the “end of the Patriots as we know them”?

Gronk seems to be pointing out the divide hasn’t subsided.

Amendola has left.

Brady, IMO, seemed to show some cracks in his game over the final third of the 2017 season. Turning 41, how much longer does he really have? And... this article is the first I’ve seen where Brady himself seems to be waffling on that.

Rumors of growing differences between ownership and Belichick.

The Patriots have two first round selections. Are they in play for one of the top QB’s?

There is smoke with this team right now... just not sure what it all means.

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/...-with-belichick-has-one-condition-for-return/

Rob Gronkowski reportedly frustrated with Belichick, has one condition for return

It's been nearly two months since New England's season ended in Super Bowl LII and we still have no idea if Rob Gronkowski is going to play in 2018. However, as things stand now, it seems that the Patriots tight end is leaning toward returning, but with one condition.

According to ESPN.com, Gronkowski is 'pretty certain' he's going to return in 2018, but here's the catch: He's only willing to play for as long as Tom Bradyremains with the team. The report does also note that Gronk hasn't actually made a final decision about what he's going to do.

The fact that Brady is being tied to Gronk's decision tells you all you need to know about what's going on in New England right now. Things seem to be in slight disarray and everyone is being coy about their future, including Brady.

Although Brady has said that he's going to play at least one more year, who knows what will happen after that. The Patriots quarterback has said he wants to play until he's 45, but he's softened his stance on that over the past few months.

During an interview for the final scene of his Facebook documentary, Brady seemed to suggest that he might not be planning to play much longer. Will Brinson went over the interview last month (and you can read that by clicking here), but the biggest takeaway is that it's not very clear whether or not Brady is still happy doing what he's doing, which could lead him to call it quits well before he turns 45.

Back in January, it was reported that there was some serious tensionbetween Brady and Bill Belichick, but those aren't the only two people with issues in the Patriots organization. According to ESPN.com, Gronk is also having his own issues with Belichick. Apparently, by the time the 2017 season ended, Gronk was mentally worn down by "The Patriot Way," which is one reason why he started contemplating retirement.

Remember, the Gronk retirement news kind of came out of nowhere at the Super Bowl when the tight end shocked everyone by casually admitting that he had actually been contemplating retirement for weeks.

"I don't know how you heard that, but I mean I'm definitely going to look at my future, for sure," Gronkowski said after the Patriots' 41-33 loss to the Eagles. "I'm going to sit down in the next couple of weeks and see where I'm at."

Instead of a "couple of weeks," Gronk has now taken a couple of months. As a matter of fact, the only time Gronk has been asked about retirement this entire offseason came on St. Patrick's when he accidentally showed up at my bachelor party dressed as a leprechaun and said he was going to play for the "69ers," which didn't really help answer the retirement question.

Besides being mentally worn down, Gronk has also been dealing with some serious injuries, including a concussion that nearly kept him out of the Super Bowl.

One other thing possibly holding Gronk back from returning is the nature of his relationship with Belichick. Not only is Gronk feeling some mental fatigue, but the reverse also seems to be true. According to ESPN, Belichick has been frustrated with Gronk because he's not sure whether his tight end is "all-in" when it comes to football. ESPN also noted that Belichick wasn't thrilled when he became aware of Gronk's social media post to Danny Amendola after the receiver signed with the Dolphins.

In a picture posted to Instagram, Gronk wrote, "It was a honor playing with ya the past 5 years, Danny Amendola. Thanks for all the hugs and memories! Stay lit, Be FREE, Be HAPPY."

The thing that irked Belichick is that, apparently, it wasn't a coincidence that Gronk decided to capitalize FREE and HAPPY in his caption. The feeling around Boston was that Gronk was taking a shot at the Patriots and Brady played along, because he "liked" the picture on Instagram.

When you start getting upset about someone's social media posts, that's usually a good sign that maybe it's time to break up, and now, I'm not even sure if I'm talking about actual relationships or Belichick and Gronk.

Of course, if Gronk returns to the Patriots and proves to Belichick that he's fully committed to football, then the two men will likely be able to bury the hatchet. On the other hand, if Gronk wants to keep playing, but not in New England, that could open the door for a trade, which could be highly beneficial for both sides.

The Patriots would lose a disgruntled star, but they would likely be able to land some huge draft capital in return. Speaking of the draft, Gronk is probably going to have to figure out whether or not he's going to retire by then and that's because his decision will likely figure heavily into New England's draft plans.

If Gronk doesn't return, he'll have a lot of options on the table. Not only are Sylvester Stallone and the Rock trying to convince him to be an actor, but several wrestlers are also trying to convince him to join WWE. The tight end also has a role in an upcoming Mel Gibson movie.

Champs vs Chumps: Niners review

Look out for the the 49ers!! They are a serious force to challenge the Rams in the NFC West in 2018!! Jimmy G is the real deal!! This is the narrative we are being given.

Even Vegas now has the 49ers at 14/1 odds to win the Super Bowl. Better odds to win it then the Saints or Jaguars!

But are the Niners really a threat to the Rams ?
Did the Niners quietly build a powerful roster while everyone wrote them off in 2017?

Did the Niners addition of Jimmy G give them the final cog to compete with the 4 Powerhouses of the NFC: The Rams, Eagles Vikings and Saints?

We know the Rams are reigning Division Champs and had the highest scoring offense in the NFL in only 15 games.

We know the Rams added a slew of Pro Bowlers in the offseason in Suh, Peters, Talib, Shields and Cooks.

But could it be the Niners have also built a powerful roster and are ready to go toe to toe with this even more stacked Rams team?

Let's check their roster and see.....

Below I will detail every player on the Rams and Niners and answer the burning question we all want to know. Are the Niners ready to go Toe to Toe with the Champs?

Scoring Criteria
You may not be a fan of PFF and while it can be shown that they have Major Bias and flaws on certain players and scoring criteria, they do provide a baseline for conversation. And when I compare their scores for my own Rams player grades they are mostly accurate with a few exceptions to scores that I note below as “adjusted”.

Since they are “mostly” accurate for Rams players I will take them at their word for Niners players and list those Niner scores below since honestly I don’t review Niner film like I do Ram film.

Roster Score Summary:
Rams offense: 83.4
Rams defense:83.0

Niners offense:74.3
Niners defense:70.2




Individual grades and Unit averages:

Rams

Skill positions: 86.4
Goff 86.6 (Adjusted)
Gurley. 92
Cooks 83.1. (Adjusted)
Kupp 87.2. (Adjusted)
Woods 83.2

Oline average: 80.4
Whitworth 87.9. (adjusted)
Saffold 84.6
Sullivan 74.6
Brown 77.1 (adjusted)
Havenstein 77.9

Dline average: 91.3
Donald 99.7
Suh 91.0
Brockers 83.1

LB average: 71.3
Ebukam 70.0
Barron 71.2
Hager 71.4
Longacre 73.8

DB average: 86.52
Peters 85.7
Talib 86.2
NRC 84.9
Johnson 85.8
Joyner 90.


49ers

Skill positions: 80.7
Jimmy 85.2
McKinnon 84.6
Garçon 82.5
Goodwin 80
Taylor 71.6

Oline average: 70.8
Staley 87.4
Tomlinson 70.7
Richburg 71.3
Garnett 45.7
Brown 79.3

Dline average: 69.8
Buckner 90.4
Thomas 53.2
Armstead 78.9
Mitchell 56.8

Lb average: 65.5
Foster 90.2 (possible suspension)
Harold 47.7
Smith 58.6

DB average: 75.3
Witherspoon 81.1
Sherman 82.7 (injury)
Williams 80.2
Tartt 85.8
Ward 46.9

49ers Observation:
One of the issues facing the Niners that is bringing their scores down is their drafting has been subpar. Solomon Thomas, Jimmie Ward, Armstead, Garnett. Lots of first round disappointment.

Summary:
There is a huge difference in talent between the 2018 Rams and 49ers. Barring Major injuries to the Rams, the games shouldn't be close. The 49ers still have glaring holes at safety, two linebacker spots, two Dline positions, both guard positions and depth at WR. There are also huge expectations put on QB and RB that might be a little more hopeful than reality. The Rams LB unit is the only unit that scores average, otherwise they are strong in all facets of the team, but the Rams depth at OT needs to be addressed.

  • Poll Poll
Top Ten Rams Draft Pairings (With Poll)

Which Draft Pairing is the greatest in Rams history?

  • 1961 Deacon Jones and Joe Scibelli

    Votes: 1 1.6%
  • 1962 Roman Gabriel and Merlin Olsen

    Votes: 30 46.9%
  • 1971 Isiah Robertson and Jack Youngblood

    Votes: 3 4.7%
  • 1983 Eric Dickerson and Henry Ellard

    Votes: 23 35.9%
  • 2014 Aaron Donald and Lamarcus Joyner

    Votes: 4 6.3%
  • None of the above (please explain)

    Votes: 3 4.7%

Well, gentlemen. (And the not-so-gentle, and not so manly) Draft time approaches. As draft day 2018 beckons, ROD fans are weighing in as to how we should spend all those 4th and 6th rounders. (n)

Should McSnead go for an edge rusher? A middle backer? Offensive lineman? Best available athlete surprise? (TE, RB or, gasp...a CB?)

It is said, that if a team can pick up two good players in a draft, that draft can be considered a success. Sounds like a low bar to set. When each NFL team has, on average, five to ten picks a year, and teams of scouts looking at the hundreds of college candidates each year, it would seem that they could hit on many of those picks.

But the fact is, many drafted players never make the team. First rounders often bust. Seventh rounders and undrafted players often make teams and have successful and productive careers. Just a pair of good players. That is success. Two guys, that have a long, successful career.

So examining the Rams historical drafts, under this standard, which drafts are the top ten drafts of all time? Which Ram drafts have had the best two-man pairings, all time? My question is not which drafts have been the greatest, or deepest of all time. Then, perhaps, we would be talking about the 1975 draft, 1977, 1980 or 2012.

The question I undertake in this post is this: Which two-man groupings, drafted in the same year, are the greatest in Ram history? Below, working up to number one, I humbly submit my list:

(Edit: there are other very good picks in these years, I chose what I thought to be the best pairings. Deacon Jones, and a ham sandwich is a good pairing in itself. I found that there was another very productive player that year that qualified them for this list.)



10. 1977. Nolan Cromwell and Vince Ferragamo

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9. 1972 Lawrence McCutcheon and Larry Brooks

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8. 1985 Jerry Gray and Kevin Greene

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7. 1976 Jackie Slater and Carl Ekern


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6. 2014 Aaron Donald and LaMarcus Joyner


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5. 1961 Joe Scibelli and Deacon Jones


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4. 1970 Jack "Hacksaw" Reynolds and Rich Saul


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3. 1971 Isiah Robertson and Jack Youngblood


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2. 1962 Roman Gabriel and Merlin Olsen


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1. 1983 Eric Dickerson and Henry Ellard


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Harv's Barbershop and the Immaculate Reception

It was December 23rd, 1972 when my Dad said "boy, you need a haircut."

We climbed into the two-toned green F-150 that still smelled new inside. I leaned against the truck door and anger kept me as far away from Dad as I could get. It was Southern California in the early 70's, and long hair was in. Dad pulled the truck into a spot near the front of Harv's. The barber pole was painted with red and blue stripes, which passed by my peripheral vision as I walked through the open door. The floors were covered with white square tile, upon which sat bright red barber chairs lined up on the right. Empty chairs for patrons lined up on the left, as I walked by them. At the end of the shot gun styled space, Harv's thin frame leaned against a barber's chair, while watching the small color set mounted in the corner. I stared at the white tiles as I walked toward the chair, and the sounds of the game grew louder.

The 1972 AFC Divisional round game between the Raiders and the Steelers was on the television. Harv said hello and gave his seat a quick wipe with the smock which he'd wrap around me before the deed. Dad must of told the 8 year old me that Harv's arm tattoos meant he was an ex-con, because that's not something that I would have naturally thought. Harv wore an old side swept hairstyle, aided with Brylcream. The wall across from me was covered with mirrors, so I could watch the crime in real time.

"Give him a good haircut," said my Dad.

Yeah, I knew what that meant: a crew cut. The sides of my head would be shaved with a little left on top. I would be getting into more than one fist fight over that haircut in the coming weeks, I was sure. I felt the razor plow into my hair, making my scalp feel cool where it was suddenly bare. I watched it for a while in the mirror across from me, until I heard screams of a crowd coming from the television. Harv stopped his assault, as we watched Terry Bradshaw's desperation pass bounce off a player, coming back five yards to be plucked near the ground by Steeler's RB Franco Harris. Franco ran the ball past desperate defenders to the end-zone for an apparent TD, winning the game in the final moments.

It was amazing. That NFL moment was the subject of an hour long special program on the NFL Network, with the retired players arguing about the games outcome. Without the play, I would never have remembered that moment in the barbers chair with a friendly ex-con from Texas. Harv's Barbershop would be gone a few years later. That two-tone green F-150 truck with a brand new 4-Star Camper would be rolled and totaled on Route 66 in the Summer of '73. My Dad died about 12 years ago, but a small moment with him connected to the Immaculate Reception.

It's funny how the brain works.

Suh and Donald - Friendly Competition?

It is very difficult (And, Scary!) to think that Aaron Donald and Suh can get any better but I am guessing that they both will want to prove that they are better than the other one (And, I mean that in a nice, teammate sort of way!) so I really think we will see both those players keep getting better as the season goes on which is NOT good news for opposing Offenses! I just watched some highlights of Suh and I can't even imagine him playing on the same defensive line as Aaron Donald and Michael Brockers! The Rams defense WILL be scary and should be very dominant! Has anyone come up with a name for the Rams new Defense? I can't wait for the season to begin!!!

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