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ESPN - NFL Future Power Rankings: Projections for all 32 teams for the next three years

I saw this, (shamelessly stolen), ESPN paywall article posted on another site. I've shamelessly copied it and re-posted it in its entirity. I would like to have posted a link and named the author...but I can't. I would also liked to have posted it using the BB Code editor to remove the ESPN links, but if I do that the tables disappear and the structure goes to Hell.
...Oh, and shoot a different messenger. :wink:

NFL Future Power Rankings: Projections for all 32 teams for the next three years
(ESPN PLUS $ MATERIAL)

To project which NFL franchises are in the best shape for the next three seasons, we asked our panel of experts -- Jeremy Fowler, Louis Riddick, Seth Walder and Field Yates -- to rate each team's quarterback, remaining (non-QB) roster, draft, front office and coaching using this scale:
  • 100: A+ (Elite)
  • 90: A (Great)
  • 80: B (Very good)
  • 70: C (Average)
  • 60: D (Very bad)
  • 50 and below: F (Disastrous)
After averaging the results from the panelists, each of the five categories was weighted to create the overall score -- roster (30%), quarterback (20%), draft (15%), front office (15%) and coaching (20%). The result is a comprehensive ranking based on how well each team is positioned for the future.

Read through the full ranking from Nos. 1 through 32, or jump to your favorite team using the quick links below:

Note: Overall scores are rounded to the nearest tenth of a point.
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1. Baltimore Ravens
Overall score: 89.4


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
87.83
Quarterback​
94.03
Coaching​
90.55
Draft​
83.33
Front office​
91.31
Why they're here: Lamar Jackson didn't need long to put himself in the conversation for the most dynamic player ever, as he became the league's second unanimous MVP pick in just his first season as a starter. But GM Eric Decosta has also built up a defense ready to hold up its end of the bargain going forward, led by a particularly fearsome secondary. -- Yates

Biggest worry: This team is loaded. The thing that can derail what is clearly an organization with a lot of positive momentum is the health of its young superstar QB. He must be protected at all costs, which means not "changing" who he is as a player, but being more selective and judicious as to when he purposely puts himself in harm's way. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Get a big-bodied receiving target for Jackson early in the draft -- think Mark Andrews with more speed, someone with catch radius to complement Marquise Brown's speed. Matthew Judon could walk after this year, so investing in a pass-rusher via free agency or the draft is a prudent move. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: When the Ravens find an edge, they exploit it as well as any team. That's what they did with motion at the snap, which they ran at an off-the-chart rate relative to other teams last year. They ran play-action at a higher rate per dropback than any other team, too. Here's one more: The Ravens ran Cover 0 last season 12% of the time -- that's more than anyone, and well above the league average of 2% -- to tremendous success. Offenses averaged minus-0.77 expected points added on those plays, which is roughly half the cost of an average sack. -- Walder

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2. Kansas City Chiefs
Overall score: 89.0


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
85.34
Quarterback​
99.51
Coaching​
94.82
Draft​
77.010
Front office​
86.54
Why they're here: It's easy to get hyperbolic, but it doesn't even feel like hyperbole when envisioning a career in which Patrick Mahomes finishes as one of the three best quarterbacks ever. He's that good and that young. Kansas City flexes an absurd collection of speed on offense and a defense with pillars in place to stay competitive going forward. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Managing the cap and restocking the roster as Mahomes' new contract begins to kick in and his cap figure rises is what GM Brett Veach is going to have to contend with going forward. If the cap continues to grow at a reasonable rate, they have done a nice job of structuring Mahomes' extension to make it very possible for them to go on a run over the next two seasons at least, but Veach is going to have to continue to deliver on draft day. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Corner is a lingering issue for the Chiefs, who exhaust resources at other positions and hope for the best in coverage. Kansas City last used a Day 1 or 2 draft pick on a corner in 2016 with KeiVarae Russell. Bashaud Breeland is facing a suspension in 2020 and might not be the long-term answer. Charvarius Ward should continue to develop. But put capital into a prime position. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Mahomes has never recorded a QBR below 50 in a game he started. Seriously: He has never had a bad game. In what is quite possibly the most important category on this board, the Chiefs cannot be better off for the long term. -- Walder
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3. San Francisco 49ers
Overall score: 86.4


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
90.31
Quarterback​
80.812
Coaching​
92.34
Draft​
82.04
Front office​
83.07
Why they're here: Elevation can happen rapidly in football, as the 49ers showed in 2019. Their sustained success is rooted in a vaunted defensive front laced with young cornerstones and an offense under the guidance of one of the best minds in football, Kyle Shanahan, featuring a standout offensive line and running game. -- Yates


Biggest worry: Richard Sherman is in a contract year and is now 32. Slot corner K'Waun Williams is in a contract year. Safety Jaquiski Tartt is in a contract year. This unit could undergo a major overhaul in the next two years, and for a team that was a couple of big plays away from a Super Bowl title, the 49ers need to make sure the secondary doesn't become a problem. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: One of the league's best rosters has minimal holes, but with Sherman turning 33 after the 2020 season, drafting an additional outside corner with press-man coverage ability will help. The 49ers run a lot of zone but could use the flexibility to mix and match more on the back end. And maybe draft a receiver in the first three rounds every year. But finding an issue with the 49ers is like finding a play on which George Kittle doesn't want to block. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Defenses stacked eight or more players in the box on 26% of 49ers rushes when the game's win probability was between 20% and 80% last season, the second-highest rate in the league. That's because the 49ers run at a heavy rate. But they were much more efficient passing the ball -- and in fact, even ranked higher in EPA/pass play than EPA/rush play. That suggests that the 49ers' offense has room to grow by passing more and taking advantage of those stacked boxes. Which is good, because their defense is very unlikely to sustain its high level of performance in 2019 over the long term. -- Walder
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4. New Orleans Saints
Overall score: 85.7


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
90.31
Quarterback​
84.09
Coaching​
93.83
Draft​
72.823
Front office​
81.011
Why they're here: There's a case to be made for the Saints as the most complete roster in football right now, and the team is coached by the brilliant Asshole Face. While New Orleans has a year-to-year approach surrounding Drew Brees' future, the team has already invested in a developmental player in Taysom Hill that it hopes can be their "guy" going forward. -- Yates

Biggest worry: This team is loaded for a run in 2020, but after that, when Brees is gone, what then? Is Hill really a starting-caliber QB in the league as Payton claims he is? Will Jameis Winston realize his full potential after sitting behind Brees for a year and then exploding back onto the scene in 2021? It could go either way. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: The middle of the defense is aging, with Demario Davis and Craig Robertson over 30, and 29-year-old Kiko Alonso coming off a third ACL injury. Investing in linebacker help next year will strengthen a defense that deftly balances explosive young talent and steady vets. And make a decision on whether Hill can be your starter in 2021. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Despite an average depth of target of 8.2 yards, Michael Thomas led all receivers in yards per route run last year. The fact that defenses know Brees won't throw deep and yet he and Thomas continue to win with slants and speed outs is probably a good sign that this team has another run in them. -- Walder
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5. Dallas Cowboys
Overall score: 82.7


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
82.37
Quarterback​
86.85
Coaching​
80.315
Draft​
84.51
Front office​
79.513
Why they're here: The Cowboys have been as strong as nearly any team in finding blue-chip talent, acing many draft picks to help build a top-flight nucleus. Though Dak Prescott didn't get a new contract this offseason, if a deal is struck in the future, the Cowboys will have perhaps the best skill group in football basically all under contract long term. Couple that with an excellent offensive line, and points should come easy going forward. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Will the lingering contract situation with Prescott have a negative impact on the focus and attention to detail of both QB and the team overall? Prescott seems intent on betting on himself for this season and dancing this dance again in 2021, which ultimately could lead to the Cowboys being in the market for a franchise QB in less than a year. Say it ain't so. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Dallas' defensive line is patched together more than it should be. Gerald McCoy and Dontari Poe have Pro Bowl pedigree but are on the back nine of their careers. Aldon Smith is a major gamble. DeMarcus Lawrence will remain a top-10 edge rusher for the next two years and the team shouldn't waste the chance to build around him. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Last season, the Cowboys ranked 22nd in dropback rate when win probability was between 20% and 80%. But when new Dallas coach Mike McCarthy was running the show for Green Bay in 2018, the Packers ranked fourth in the same metric, which means we can expect a heavier aerial attack for the Cowboys. For a team with a good quarterback -- and especially after CeeDee Lamb fell into their lap in the draft -- that's a good thing for 2020 and beyond. -- Walder
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6. Philadelphia Eagles
Overall score: 82.6

CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
78.015
Quarterback​
86.06
Coaching​
89.36
Draft​
75.515
Front office​
85.55
Why they're here: The Eagles feature a potential MVP candidate in Carson Wentz, who showed an ability to raise the talent around him 2019. Coach Doug Pederson is resourceful, innovative and confident, while GM/executive VP of football operations Howie Roseman has infused the roster with talent while maintaining his status as a salary cap wizard who can find ways to keep this roster intact going forward. -- Yates

Biggest worry: The Eagles have upgraded the speed and skill level exceptionally well at the wide receiver position as compared to what they finished the season with last year. The question is whether they can now make it all work, on the field, where Wentz is as skilled a thrower as there is in the league. Chemistry is a big part of the game of football. They need to make it happen in Philly. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Jason Kelce is done after this year, Jason Peters is now a 38-year-old guard and Brandon Brooks is coming off an Achilles tendon tear. The interior offensive line needs reinforcements. And so does the linebacker spot. The Eagles have addressed the front and back ends of the defense, and a high-pedigree sideline-to-sideline player would complete the mission. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Among QBs currently under 30, Wentz has recorded the third-best QBR season: his 2017, when he posted a 78.5. He has shown the upside, and -- performance wise -- is fairly reliable looking forward. If I had to bet on the current quarterbacks most likely to be above average in five years, Wentz is no lower than sixth (behind Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson, Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson and Dak Prescott). That kind of certainty is worth a lot. -- Walder
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7. Pittsburgh Steelers
Overall score: 81.6


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
82.37
Quarterback​
79.514
Coaching​
88.87
Draft​
71.825
Front office​
83.36
Why they're here: This exercise is about the future, but the past year is an important part of why the Steelers check in at seventh: Despite a litany of injuries and Ben Roethlisberger missing 14 games, the Steelers stayed in the playoff race until season's end and managed an 8-8 record. They are well-coached, well-led and really good on defense. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Without Roethlisberger, this team has no shot with any of the other QBs on the roster. Coming off a major injury to his passing arm/elbow, Big Ben is the key to everything that happens in Pittsburgh. It's that simple. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Pittsburgh spent the better part of a decade using first-round picks to rebuild the defense. That side of the ball is now elite, so it's time to give the offense the same treatment. Identifying a successor at QB should be paramount. Diontae Johnson has a chance to be a top-shelf receiver, so continue to embolden him. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Did you know the Steelers finished second in defensive efficiency (expected points added per play, with garbage time down-weighted) last season? Second! With young players like T.J. Watt and Minkah Fitzpatrick leading the way on that side of the ball and Roethlisberger returning on offense, there is reason to believe in Pittsburgh. Plus, in Mike Tomlin's long tenure there, the Steelers have never finished worse than 17th in total efficiency, and were on a five-year top-10 streak prior to last season. -- Walder
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8. Seattle Seahawks
Overall score: 81.2


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
75.518
Quarterback​
94.82
Coaching​
83.510
Draft​
72.324
Front office​
80.312
Why they're here: A culture of competition is a hallmark of the Seahawks, who are led by the forever-young Pete Carroll and respected GM John Schneider. It's too simple to attribute the Seahawks' success and positive outlook to Russell Wilson's play, but it's also fair to state that he has shown that when he's under center, Seattle is never out of any game. Rock solid. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Seattle was once known for having the fiercest pass rush in the NFL. Last season, no individual had more than four sacks, and the defense was 22nd in points allowed. Defensive end L.J. Collier, a 2019 first-round pick, needs to show up. Darrell Taylor, a 2020 second-round end, has to be a force immediately and consistently if they want to keep pace with the division-rival 49ers. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: The offensive line is an amalgam of inexpensive free-agent fliers and aging vets. Seattle expects Wilson to make it all work, but at some point he needs more resources up front. Guard Damien Lewis is a good start; the team is high on the third-round pick. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Wilson is elite, but let me make the case for Tyler Lockett as part of the reason to believe in Seattle for the long haul. Over the past two seasons, passes to Lockett have had a completion percentage over expectation (CPOE) -- based on factors that include target location and receiver separation from defenders and the sideline -- of plus-15%. That's the highest among all receivers with at least 100 targets in that span. And Lockett's CPOE is even more valuable than, say, that of Michael Thomas, because his extra catches come further downfield. I know what you're thinking: He has the best deep ball thrower in the game passing to him. And that's true. But over that same span, Wilson's completion percentage over expectation on passes not to Lockett was just plus-2%. -- Walder
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9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Overall score: 81.2


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
85.05
Quarterback​
80.313
Coaching​
81.313
Draft​
81.05
Front office​
74.819
Why they're here: When you the land the GOAT, your outlook changes immediately. This is a bet that the Bucs can be that potent on offense with Tom Brady under center and a barrage of pass-catchers, plus a defense that improved mightily to conclude 2019. The pieces are in place for Tampa to be a playoff team sooner rather than later. -- Yates

Biggest worry: How much do Brady and Rob Gronkowski have left in the tank? Can Bruce Arians get the embarrassment of riches that they have at the skill positions on offense to all play as a cohesive unit with their new QB? If it comes together, they will be in the Super Bowl. If not, they will be starting over again. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Drafting a quarterback high in 2021 is a good way to get ahead of the game. If Brady is playing two years with the Bucs, don't wait until he's out the door to get his replacement. The roster health over the next two years is strong enough to handle that investment, though one more veteran pass-rusher would help offset the likely loss of Shaquil Barrett next year coming off the franchise tag. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: No team ran as high a percentage of vertical routes (deep fades, posts, corners, gos, seams) as the Bucs last season. In fact, relative to each route groups' average, no team-route group combination was run at a rate higher above average than Tampa Bay verts. And that is not Brady's game. His 7.6 air yards per attempt were below average, and he threw 9% of his passes 20-plus yards in the air, also below average. Tampa Bay absolutely has the roster to compete -- on both sides of the ball -- but how Brady and Arians mesh is one of the more interesting short-term questions here. -- Walder
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10. Indianapolis Colts
Overall score: 80.6


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
81.510
Quarterback​
69.326
Coaching​
83.311
Draft​
83.52
Front office​
87.83
Why they're here: The Colts check so many of the boxes for a team that is doing things the right way: GM Chris Ballard drafts well, is opportunistic in free agency and finds developmental players. Coach Frank Reich and his staff make players better and they always play at maximum effort; the question for Indy is at quarterback, as Philip Rivers looks to bounce back after 20 interceptions with the Chargers last year, and is signed to a one-year deal. -- Yates


Biggest worry: I saw signs of serious decline in Rivers' play a year ago. The Colts think that was an anomaly. This roster is getting stronger and added some very nice pieces through the draft, but if Rivers can't get it going and play at a higher level again, the Colts will be looking for another QB sooner rather than later. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Surround DeForest Buckner with more pass-rush help up front. Justin Houston outplayed expectations with 11 sacks last year, but at age 31 might not hold up. The Colts have pumped out productive drafts for roster balance. Adding to the front might be the next step. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Indianapolis is a soft landing spot for Rivers. Not only is he playing behind the unit that ranked third in pass block win rate last season, but he's on the team with the easiest strength of schedule in the league, per ESPN's Football Power Index. That's all good for 2020, but this team's future has more questions beyond then. -- Walder
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11. Tennessee Titans
Overall score: 80.3


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
80.811
Quarterback​
79.514
Coaching​
83.012
Draft​
75.813
Front office​
81.59
Why they're here: If you don't know the identity of the Titans, it's merely because you haven't paid attention: GM Jon Robinson and coach Mike Vrabel lead a team that won't be out-toughed; the Titans run the football with purpose and are going to muscle up on defense. Ryan Tannehill caught lightning in a bottle last season, and the Titans have dynamic skill players on offense in Derrick Henry and A.J. Brown that defenses loathe to face. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Do the Titans have enough pass rush? They need as many QB hunters as they can get if they want to topple the Chiefs in the AFC. Harold Landry III led the team with nine sacks last year, and they added vet Vic Beasley Jr. on a one-year deal from Atlanta (eight sacks in 2019), but they are in the market for more. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: The Titans are tied to Tannehill and Henry for the foreseeable future, which means more clock-controlling runs and play-action. But at some point the Titans must expand the passing game. Tight end Jonnu Smith has breakout star potential this year, and Brown might already be there. Finding creative ways to evolve the passing game will bolster Tennessee's AFC outlook. And if the Titans don't sign Jadeveon Clowney, next year is the time to invest heavily in the pass rush. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Last year, Tannehill recorded the highest completion percentage over expectation among any passer-rating-qualified quarterback season in the history of the metric (since 2016). But the breakout came out of nowhere. His QBR improved 29 points year over year. So now that the Titans have tethered themselves to Tannehill for the long term, which version of him will they get? -- Walder
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12. Minnesota Vikings
Overall score: 80.3


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
80.012
Quarterback​
79.514
Coaching​
80.514
Draft​
80.36
Front office​
81.59
Why they're here: While coach Mike Zimmer could find a way to make almost any defense play well, the Vikings boast one of the most talented rosters in football. GM Rick Spielman has done a splendid job of getting core pieces under contract long term and many of the ingredients are in place for Minnesota to compete right away. No one should be surprised if this team rises higher as soon as this season. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Zimmer is on his fifth different offensive coordinator in the past five years, although the Vikings ran Gary Kubiak's scheme in 2019 with Kevin Stefanski. Additionally, Zimmer fired DC George Edwards and replaced him with his son, Adam Zimmer, and DL coach Andre Patterson as co-coordinators. Personnel has not been what is holding this team back. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Minnesota is at a critical point at safety, with Harrison Smith still among the game's elite but entering his ninth season, and Anthony Harris on the franchise tag. Minnesota will have to pick one of them next year, and here's guessing it will be Smith, who has two years left on his deal and should age well. The Vikings could use a stout corner to complement Mike Hughes and Jeff Gladney. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Two of the four worst cornerbacks in the league in terms of completion percentage over expectation allowed were on the Vikings last season: Xavier Rhodes (bottom of the list) and Trae Waynes. And now they're both gone. Incredibly, Minnesota actually had the sixth-best EPA per dropback on defense because other players like Harris, Smith and Eric Kendricks all recorded significant negative CPOEs (good for defense). So if the Vikings can get better performance out of young corners Hughes and Gladney, this defense could be dangerous. -- Walder
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13. New England Patriots
Overall score: 80.1


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
74.521
Quarterback​
66.030
Coaching​
99.01
Draft​
74.020
Front office​
91.31
Note: Polling took place prior to Cam Newton's signing.

Why they're here: The Patriots begin a new era without Tom Brady, which leads into the potential start of the Cam Newton era after he was signed in late June. Coach Bill Belichick is the best coach in football history, and the Patriots will remain as prepared and situationally sound as any team in the league. Combine that with Newton's dynamic skill set and motivation to bounce back after an injury-shortened 2019 and watch out for New England to once again make noise in January. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Will it be Newton, or will Jarrett Stidham surprise and hold off the former league MVP? For two decades, the Patriots always knew who their starting QB would be. Not so much anymore. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: An overall influx of pass-catching talent would be nice. Julian Edelman turned 34 in May, N'Keal Harry is still developing and no tight ends on the roster will scare opponents. James White is still a beast in the open field, but whoever quarterbacks the team in 2021 and beyond needs more of a supporting cast to supplement a still-stout defense. With David Andrews back at center, this offensive line is among the league's most balanced. Expect more run-heavy sets. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Last season, New England recorded the third-best defensive efficiency of any season since 2006. The Patriots allowed the lowest target separation of any team. Stephon Gilmore had the lowest completion percentage over expectation allowed of any corner. But defense -- and cornerbacks -- are not particularly stable from year to year. The Patriots cannot count on a repeat performance, and certainly not over a couple of seasons. -- Walder
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14. Buffalo Bills
Overall score: 79.3


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
83.86
Quarterback​
69.326
Coaching​
83.89
Draft​
74.020
Front office​
83.07
Why they're here: Buffalo's nasty defense isn't going anywhere, and it plays under excellent leadership in coach Sean McDermott and assistant head coach/defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier. GM Brandon Beane has attacked all layers of team building: major trades (Stefon Diggs), lucrative free-agent deals (Mitch Morse), value additions (there are many) plus a solid drafted nucleus. Josh Allen is the key for this team's rise. -- Yates

Biggest worry: There are no more excuses for Allen. The front office acquired a legit No. 1 WR in Diggs, bolstered the rushing attack with the drafting of Zack Moss in the third round, and have an under-the-radar superstar in second-year TE Dawson Knox. In a division no longer inhabited by Tom Brady, Allen must deliver. I have my doubts. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: It's great that Allen has speedy weapons, but Buffalo's top three receivers are 6-foot or below, which isn't ideal for a quarterback who battles accuracy issues. Add a big-bodied receiver for balance, and another tight end alongside Knox for catch-radius purposes, similar to Lamar Jackson's setup in Baltimore last year: think wider targets. Otherwise, the Bills' roster is primed for playoff runs over the next three years. The defense is wildly underrated. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Allen's 2019 was somewhat of a mirage: In reality, he ranked just 24th in Total QBR. Buffalo has a strong roster, a good coach and a sharp front office. But for the Bills to go on a deep run over the next few years, all three of those areas have to be perfect to compensate for Allen's weaknesses. It can be done, but it won't be easy. -- Walder
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15. Green Bay Packers
Overall score: 78.9


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
80.012
Quarterback​
85.57
Coaching​
78.018
Draft​
69.328
Front office​
78.514
Why they're here: The No. 15 spot might strike some as too low for a team that played in the NFC Championship Game last season, but the Packers made an investment in Jordan Love with a first-round pick, which suggests that a transition away from Aaron Rodgers is within three years. GM Brian Gutenkunst aced last year and deserves the benefit of the doubt, and coach Matt LaFleur's immediate success portends more good things ahead. -- Yates

Biggest worry: No help was added at WR to alleviate the burden that Davante Adams carries on his shoulders every week (127 targets in 2019; no other Packers WR had more than 56) either through the draft or free agency. Instead, Gutekunst moved up and drafted Rodgers' eventual successor in the first round. Now there are questions about whether Rodgers will remain healthy, and whether the Vikings will knock them out of the top spot in the NFC North. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Same song on replay for Green Bay, which continues to fail in providing Rodgers with reliable weapons opposite Adams. The last receiver the Packers drafted in the first two rounds was ... Adams, in 2014. This seems like a layup: Get Rodgers another high-end pass catcher for his final years. And pay Kenny Clark. He's a top-10 interior lineman. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Over the past two seasons combined, Rodgers ranks 20th in Total QBR. He is also 36 years old. I disagreed with my fellow rankers on this one. It seems hard to consider him a major asset, relative to other quarterbacks. -- Walder
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16. Cleveland Browns
Overall score: 76.8


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
82.37
Quarterback​
73.022
Coaching​
74.023
Draft​
74.517
Front office​
77.017
Why they're here: I know, I know. We've been waiting a long time for the Browns to get over the hump. Hope for this franchise rests in a cohesiveness in place between the front office and coaching staff, an offense that boasts an electric group of skill players and a bounce-back season for quarterback Baker Mayfield. Progress has been a long time coming. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Is this the right combination of coaching staff and front office that will finally deliver for the city of Cleveland and its fans? Coach Kevin Stefanski theoretically has the type of offensive system that fits what Mayfield does best, and GM Andrew Berry has upgraded the overall roster (on paper) through free agency and the draft, but we have been down this road before. Games aren't won on paper. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: I might be in the minority here, but the Browns need help at receiver. Jarvis Landry is great at his role but doesn't have elite speed. Adding a field-stretcher on the outside will keep defenses on edge when the Browns run play-action. And with David Njoku wanting out, it's obvious the Browns need a more reliable option opposite Austin Hooper for Stefanski's two-TE sets. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: I don't have one stat here, but a whole slew of them. The Browns ranked sixth in pass block win rate last season -- and then upgraded, adding Jack Conklin and Jedrick Wills Jr. Myles Garrett ranked fourth in pass rush win rate as an edge rusher, despite being double-teamed at an average rate. And Denzel Ward ranked third among corners with at least 300 coverage snaps in completion percentage over expectation allowed. The point is: Cleveland's non-QB roster is absolutely loaded -- I ranked the Browns first in this area. -- Walder
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17. Los Angeles Chargers
Overall score: 76.0


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
79.014
Quarterback​
69.525
Coaching​
75.321
Draft​
77.38
Front office​
78.316
Why they're here: A roster with many key cogs in place (a dynamic pass rush duo plus a versatile secondary), the Chargers are a franchise whose heights will be determined by their quarterback room. If Justin Herbert develops as the team hopes -- and they believe he's a franchise player -- the Chargers are equipped to be back in the playoff mix sooner rather than later. -- Yates

Biggest worry: The Chargers scored 21 or fewer points in 11 games in 2019. That means OC Shane Steichen is going to be scrutinized heavily going forward, particularly as it pertains to his ability to get first-round pick Herbert ready to play. Tyrod Taylor is not the answer. Herbert better be. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Still a sneaky-good lineup compared to the rest of the league, the Chargers don't have many glaring holes but need more stability along the left side of the offensive line. Adding Trai Turner and Bryan Bulaga to the right side is big, but Sam Tevi and Dan Feeney both had Pro Football Focus grades below 60.0, and center Mike Pouncey missed 11 games last year due to injury. Herbert needs stout protection whenever he steps in. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: The Chargers' future rides on the shoulders of Herbert. While college production isn't everything, Herbert did not have the kind of numbers one might expect for a No. 6 overall pick. Most notably, his completion percentage over expectation -- based on target location (vertically and horizontally) and whether the QB was pressured -- ranked 30th among QBs with at least 200 pass attempts. Not awful but not ideal for a pick that high. And that's important, because a similar version of CPOE has been shown to be, relative to other metrics, a good predictor of pro performance. Joe Burrow and Tua Tagovailoa each were top 10 in 2019, as were Kyler Murray and Dwayne Haskins Jr. in 2018. (Daniel Jones ranked 65th in 2018, and Herbert ranked 57th that year). -- Walder
i
18. Los Angeles Rams
Overall score: 75.7


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
76.816
Quarterback​
74.520
Coaching​
86.88
Draft​
68.830
Front office​
67.526
Why they're here: Perhaps no team felt like it was more all-in during recent seasons than the Rams, who swung a trade for Jalen Ramsey midway through the 2019 season as the final most notable maneuver. Los Angeles has a small group of players who are already earning huge financial investments (Ramsey will soon too) which limits some roster flexibility, but it's a squad good enough to be in the playoff mix each year despite a loaded division. -- Yates

Biggest worry: The youth and health of the offensive line is what will determine the fate of this team going forward. LT Andrew Whitworth will be 39 years old in December, center Brian Allen and OG Joe Noteboom ended the 2019 season on IR, and OT Rob Havenstein missed significant time as well. If history is to repeat itself and they don't have a successor to Whitworth, this team isn't going anywhere anytime soon. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: The Rams need to get Ramsey re-signed, maximize his ability and build the secondary around him. Many NFL evaluators expect Ramsey to become the league's top corner, but he isn't there yet. Expect Los Angeles to play heavy quarters coverage with Ramsey in man on the outside. There's a good nucleus on the back end, and Ramsey should be the centerpiece. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Tight-window throws, in general, are bad for the offense. And the Rams recorded the second-lowest rate of tight-window throws in the league, and managed to do it with an above-average depth of target (deeper passes are more likely to be tight-window throws). Now, the results weren't there: Jared Goff finished 23rd in QBR and had a negative completion percentage over expectation. That lends credence to the idea that Sean McVay still performed well in scheming up the offense, but Goff couldn't deliver. -- Walder
i
19. Las Vegas Raiders
Overall score: 75.0



CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
74.022
Quarterback​
73.022
Coaching​
78.317
Draft​
77.38
Front office​
73.020
Why they're here: There's little doubting the Raiders are projected to make a leap during the three-year window we are examining, particularly on defense. The larger question is whether -- and I know Raiders fans are tired of hearing this -- Derek Carr is the quarterback mainstay. If he is, the next question is whether he's the player capable of taking this team to the top of the AFC West. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Defense wins championships. If the Raiders have hopes of returning to greatness, they are going to have to slow down the Chiefs' offense, which means DC Paul Guenther is in the spotlight. If his side of the ball can't ramp up production in two primary areas, sacks and turnovers, the Raiders will have absolutely no shot at getting back to the big game. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Las Vegas is rebuilding position by position under Jon Gruden. It began with offensive tackle, then came over the top with linebacker in free agency and playmakers and cornerback through the draft. With the strength of the overall roster steadily improving, the Raiders must decide whether Carr is their long-term answer at QB after this year. They are reaching that point: go all-in on Carr, or look at alternate options. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Very quietly, the Raiders finished last season ranked fifth in offensive efficiency. And that's important because offense tends to be more stable from year to year than defense, so there is reason for optimism. Carr is the master of the dink and dunk, and previously was overrated, but last year proved that style can work for him. The Raiders were also last in defensive efficiency, which held them back. But again: It's a lot easier to fix a defense than an offense. -- Walder
i
T-20. Atlanta Falcons
Overall score: 74.6


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
75.518
Quarterback​
84.38
Coaching​
69.527
Draft​
71.825
Front office​
69.323
Why they're here: This is a tricky one, as I'm of the mind that the Falcons have the ingredients to make some noise in 2020 and their primary roster ingredients are almost all locked up long term. Cause for concern rests with a defense that endured massive struggles prior to the bye in Week 9, before finishing 6-2 down the stretch. Development and health of the secondary will play a part in this team rising in the short-term future. -- Yates


Biggest worry: Dan Quinn must prove he can put together a coaching staff that can get the job done. Following the 2018 season, he relieved all three of his coordinators of their duties, and there is change once again heading into 2020 on the defensive side of the ball. Raheem Morris is now the defensive coordinator after being the team's WR coach for half of the 2019 season. He has a reputation for being a tremendous teacher and motivator. He has to come up big for Quinn. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: A once-stout passing defense ranked 21th last year, and major decisions loom. Safeties Damontae Kazee (10 interceptions the past two years) and oft-injured Keanu Neal are free agents in 2021. The Falcons can re-sign at least one and add corner help to supplement first-round rookie A.J. Terrell and Isaiah Oliver. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Atlanta has a good quarterback and a superstar receiver and passes the ball at a decent clip. So what's holding back the offense? The offensive line, which ranked 29th in pass block win rate last season. If the pass blocking improves and the defense (24th in efficiency last season) becomes even average, Atlanta could actually take a big step forward in a hurry. -- Walder
i
T-20. Miami Dolphins
Overall score: 74.6


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
67.826
Quarterback​
75.519
Coaching​
79.016
Draft​
77.010
Front office​
78.514
Why they're here: Perspective is important in life ... and in future power rankings. The Dolphins make a leap from last year because of a clear path to progress: the right coach and general manager duo, a potential franchise quarterback in Tua Tagovailoa, a roster that showed a competitive spirit last year and an infusion of talent through free agency and the draft. Things are looking up. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Will Tua remain healthy? That's the question we all need the answer to. If he does, he will quickly show that he was the best QB in the 2020 draft and Miami will quickly ascend to relevance in the AFC East. If he doesn't, they will be right back at square one. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Miami addressed just about every possible need in free agency and the draft, but the linebacker corps could use a boost alongside Kyle Van Noy. If the Dolphins are going to mimic the Patriots, that means hybrid options who can rush the passer or eliminate underneath routes. An influx of talent over the middle will strengthen Brian Flores' master plan. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Tagovailoa owns the third- and sixth-best college QBR seasons since 2004. While there are injury concerns, it's a lot harder to find a good QB than a healthy one. Tagovailoa's college production is arguably as good as it gets. That's a guy you want to bet on. -- Walder
i
22. Arizona Cardinals
Overall score: 73.6


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
70.024
Quarterback​
81.011
Coaching​
74.023
Draft​
74.517
Front office​
69.522
Why they're here: The Cardinals are a team with the chance to outperform this ranking due to the projected brilliance of quarterback Kyler Murray. But expectations are a bit more tepid than his scintillating rookie season would suggest for the franchise simply because the roster remains a work in progress around him (offensive line and secondary), plus the Cardinals play in what should be regarded as the best division in football. -- Yates

Biggest worry: The stability and consistency of the front office is what will determine whether this franchise can maintain what appears to be positive momentum heading into the future. For every Kyler Murray "hit" in the draft, there cannot be a Josh Rosen "debacle." Until that is the case, the Cardinals will be treading water in the bottom half of the overall rankings. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: I actually like this roster more than I thought I would. Chandler Jones didn't get enough help on defense a year ago, but he'll have more balance around him. Depth at tight end, guard and defensive end could use a lift in the near future, and GM Steve Keim should prep for the loss of Patrick Peterson eventually. He's 30 and is entering a big contract year. If the Cardinals don't want to pay him, time to go young. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: A small red flag in a largely successful rookie campaign for Murray was his relatively high sack rate -- he was sacked on 7% of dropbacks -- despite the fact that the Cardinals actually had solid pass blocking. Still, that goes into QBR, and Murray recorded the seventh-best rookie QBR season of the decade (out of 32). -- Walder
i
23. Houston Texans
Overall score: 73.5


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
72.523
Quarterback​
90.84
Coaching​
75.520
Draft​
67.531
Front office​
56.032
Why they're here: The Texans have had more recent success than any team in this tier of the rankings, with a chance to remain quite competitive as we proceed ahead. Houston traded away its most productive player other than Deshaun Watson this offseason in DeAndre Hopkins and has made a long series of audacious -- and roundly questioned -- trades that are often a primary talking point when assessing how the team will fare ahead. -- Yates

Biggest worry: It's hard enough being a head coach in the NFL. Unless your name is Bill Belichick, it's almost impossible to be both the HC and the GM and do them both at a high level in the salary cap era. Bill O'Brien is going to have to answer the bell in a big way while wearing both hats if the Texans are going to make noise in the AFC. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Receiver has too many durability questions for long-term comfort. The Brandin Cooks-Will Fuller V-Kenny Stills combo might just work for 2020, but Fuller's knee issues and Cooks' concussion history should lead the Texans to draft receiver help just in case. Tight end Darren Fells can still play but doesn't have much time left at age 34. Pairing a dynamic tight end with Watson for the next decade would be a prudent move by O'Brien. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: In exchange for Laremy Tunsil, Stills, a fourth-round pick and a sixth-round pick, O'Brien dealt two first-round picks and a second. That's not a stat, but that trade is a year old and I still can't get over it. Nothing depicts Houston's front office problem quite like that. -- Walder
i
24. Denver Broncos
Overall score: 72.3


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
76.816
Quarterback​
70.824
Coaching​
67.328
Draft​
74.517
Front office​
70.321
Why they're here: There's plenty to like about the offensive nucleus in Denver, as the tight end and receiver group is littered with youth, speed and upside. Quarterback Drew Lock showed well in his five starts as a rookie last season and will play an integral part in Denver's forecast: If Lock cements his status as the quarterback of the present and future, Denver will soar in these ranks in a hurry. -- Yates

Biggest worry: John Elway is all-in on Lock, evidenced by the amount of speed and playmaking ability he added to the team via the draft in WR's Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler. The question is whether the offensive line, ranking 24th in sacks per pass attempt allowed in 2019, has been improved enough to allow Elway's bet on Lock to pay off. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: From playmaker to offensive line, the Broncos have addressed a lot of needs. They still need stability at No. 2 corner behind A.J. Bouye. The team expects improvement from Isaac Yiadom but more competition at this spot is good, especially for a proud defense that used to dominate in coverage. Denver will closely monitor whether rookie Lloyd Cushenberry III is the long-term answer at center. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Denver has serious strength at safety. Justin Simmons and Kareem Jackson ranked third and sixth in coverage success rate -- the rate at which plays in which they were the nearest defender to the target were positive for the defense -- among players who had at least 300 coverage snaps and played deep safety at least 70% of the time. And there's more secondary upside, too. Though Bouye had very poor numbers in 2019, back in 2017 he ranked in the top 10 among corners by the same success rate measure. -- Walder
i
25. Detroit Lions
Overall score: 71.3


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
67.528
Quarterback​
81.510
Coaching​
65.830
Draft​
75.813
Front office​
68.325
Why they're here: Patience is a virtue in the NFL, just rarely a realistic virtue. The Lions have worked hard under GM Bob Quinn and coach Matt Patricia to find fits for the roster to marry to the schemes Patricia and his staff desire to run. Thus far, the Lions have shown some strides of improvement but endured a miserable losing streak to conclude 2019. This is a team that plays in a very tough division but shouldn't surprise if they play much better football this season and beyond. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Patricia is 100 percent coaching for his job in 2020 and beyond as I see it, and much of that is going to depend on the health of QB Matthew Stafford and RB Kerryon Johnson. With those two, the drafting of RB D'Andre Swift, and the physically impressive WR tandem of Marvin Jones Jr. and Kenny Golladay, the fire power is there on offense to keep pace with the the rest of the NFC North. Patricia is supposed to be the difference for the defensive side given his background as a DC. Time is running out. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Adding more pass-rush help will strengthen the Lions' defensive identity. Detroit likes to play man coverage but ranked 31st in sacks up front with 28. Trey Flowers is an anchor and Jamie Collins Sr.'s sideline-to-sideline speed certainly helps, but one more matchup problem off the edge will bring balance. The offense in its current construct will continue to put up points. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Say this about Patricia: He was consistent. The Lions ran more three-man rushes than any other team, blitzed at the second-lowest rate in the league and ran the second-highest rate of man-1 coverage in the league -- behind only the Patriots. The problem? It didn't work. Detroit ranked 29th in defensive efficiency. Now, maybe Jeff Okudah helps on the back end, but this team still doesn't have a great pass rush. Will Patricia adjust? -- Walder
26. Washington
Overall score: 70.8


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
66.530
Quarterback​
67.828
Coaching​
77.019
Draft​
77.010
Front office​
69.323
Why they're here: Washington fetched a mountain of credibility in hiring Ron Rivera as coach, but it's going to take time to get this ship steered in the right direction. Dwayne Haskins Jr. has a chance to accelerate that process but must make noted strides in his second season, while the offense is in desperate need of more playmakers. There was some encouraging roster-building work done in D.C. this offseason, but this is just the beginning. -- Yates

Biggest worry: This organization can't get out of its own way off the field, which renders everything they do on the field irrelevant. Until the franchise can move past all the dysfunction, the team has no chance, and a lot of good, young players are going to be wasted as a result. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Washington's NFL team will have a much stouter defense in 2020, with Chase Young joining a front seven stocked with young talent. But the offense still needs upgrades. Terry McLaurin will be a fantastic pro but is considered by many evaluators as a really good No. 2. Washington should identify a game-breaking receiver to aid Haskins' development. And the tight end depth is among the worst in the league. Time for upgrades. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: There have been 605 quarterback seasons with at least 100 pass attempts since 2006. Haskins' 2019 ranked 572nd. So he wasn't the worst, but the company he's keeping is Jimmy Clausen's forgettable 2015 (in Chicago and Baltimore) and EJ Manuel's 2014 sophomore season in Buffalo. If there's ever a season that's going to be an outlier for a quarterback, it's the first one, so there is still upside in Washington with Haskins. But his outlook is certainly more negative today than when he was drafted more than a year ago. -- Walder
i
27. Cincinnati Bengals
Overall score: 70.8


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
67.329
Quarterback​
78.317
Coaching​
67.029
Draft​
77.87
Front office​
65.828
Why they're here: There's nowhere to go but up for Cincinnati, which landed the prize of the 2020 draft in Joe Burrow to kick-start the rebuild. But the Bengals' willingness to spend in free agency also shows the potential turning over of a new leaf. There are many roster holes (the offensive line is a focus), but Cincy has a chance to establish an upward trajectory soon. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Offensive line play is the key going forward, as this unit must keep Burrow upright and healthy. The return to health of 2019 first-round OT Jonah Williams is where it will begin for a position group that has to set the tone for an offense that scored 21-plus points an NFL-low four times in 2019. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Adding more speed and youth to the defense is still necessary. Cincinnati looked a step slow for much of last year and used its first two draft picks on offense. Carlos Dunlap and Geno Atkins are still productive but are well over 30 and need help around them. Perhaps midround rookie linebackers Logan Wilson and Akeem Davis-Gaither will provide a spark. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Burrow led the nation in CPOE. His actual completion percentage was 16 percentage points higher than what we'd expect for an average FBS QB to make on those same throws. That also would have led last year's CPOE race. And there's more: He also led related stats like completed air yards over expectation and EPA over expectation. All of this is to say: Though the short-term prospects for Burrow and the Bengals aren't great, he offers the franchise tremendous upside over the next several seasons. -- Walder
i
28. New York Jets
Overall score: 70.5


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
68.525
Quarterback​
77.018
Coaching​
58.832
Draft​
75.316
Front office​
77.017
Why they're here: The Jets finished 7-9 last season but did benefit from a soft second-half schedule. While Sam Darnold has plenty of the requisite traits to become the man in New York long term, coach Adam Gase has evoked many questions. The offense did not show much in the way of major growth under his tutelage last year, and the team's best player -- Jamal Adams -- is at odds with the organization. Wait-and-see mode is in effect. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Gase is supposed to be a QB guru. Many believe Darnold is the best young under-the-radar QB prospect in the league but hasn't been given the support he needs either on the field or off in terms of weapons and coaching. This would worry me as a Jets fan going forward. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: New York's receiver room is a curious case. GM Joe Douglas prioritized building the offensive line, which I totally get, but in a crucial third year, Darnold is throwing to a No. 1 outside receiver who has never had more than 700 yards in a year (Breshad Perriman) and a talented rookie out of Baylor who's considered a project (Denzel Mims). Jamison Crowder is as tough as they come but isn't enough. Add more pieces for your young QB! -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Darnold was under pressure at the second-highest rate in the league last year; that's not an excuse, it's a problem. The Jets' offensive line ranked 16th in pass block win rate, which measures pass blocking success 2.5 seconds after the snap. That, combined with the fact that Darnold's time to throw was the third longest in the league, suggests that either the Jets' scheme or Darnold himself (or both) are mostly to blame for all the pressure. And yet, the Jets are running back the Gase/Darnold combination again this season. -- Walder
i
29. New York Giants
Overall score: 69.3


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
65.332
Quarterback​
74.321
Coaching​
72.525
Draft​
74.020
Front office​
62.029
Why they're here: The pieces are in place among the skill players for quarterback Daniel Jones to make a quantum leap in his second season as the starter, the first under new coach Joe Judge and coordinator Jason Garrett. The defense is the concern as all three levels are in need of a talent boost. GM Dave Gettleman's track record in New York has come under fire with moves like trading for Leonard Williams and subsequently franchise-tagging him; there's a clamoring for major roster improvement with this 2020 squad. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Time is running out for Gettleman. He has to have nailed the selection of Judge as the HC, and he has to provide Jones and RB Saquon Barkley with an offensive line that is capable of helping them both reach their potential. If these two things don't happen in 2020, Gettleman won't be there in 2021. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: A year or two from now, the Giants could still be about three pieces away on defense. Hard to project how maligned corner DeAndre Baker pans out, so corner seems like a constant need. New York is still unspectacular at some defensive line and linebacker spots. Gettleman set out to fix the offensive line once and for all, and I do expect improvement there in 2020. The defense still feels like patchwork, with holes at multiple spots. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Judge is a relative unknown, but here's a point in his favor: The Patriots finished in the top 10 in regular-season special-teams efficiency in four of the five seasons he was special-teams coordinator in New England, and were top five in three of the five. Special teams is highly variant, so that kind of consistent success is noteworthy. -- Walder
i
30. Carolina Panthers
Overall score: 68.9


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
67.826
Quarterback​
67.329
Coaching​
72.525
Draft​
71.825
Front office​
66.027
Why they're here: The Panthers return the lowest percentage of total snaps played from 2019, have a new coach, all new coordinators, a new starting quarterback and much more. This is the first layer of bricks being laid under coach Matt Rhule, whose seven-year contract affords him time and patience. But make no mistake, this is going to take some time. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Do they have a franchise QB or don't they? There has always been a lot of love for Teddy Bridgewater out there, specifically from those who believe that all he needs is a second chance. I see his upside as being capped at the game-manager level when all is said and done. Time will tell. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: Carolina will need to handle Kawann Short's contract. He has a cap hit of $20.8 million in 2021, the last year of his deal. He's still effective at age 31, but the Panthers probably won't want to carry that cap on their books, especially after drafting interior dominator Derrick Brown. Carolina is going younger under Rhule, who could use an explosive tight end to pair with Ian Thomas. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Bridgewater had the lowest average depth of target of all quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts last season. Sort of like with Tom Brady in Tampa Bay, it will be interesting what new Panthers OC Joe Brady -- who worked with a QB who had tremendous downfield success last year in Joe Burrow at LSU -- does to the Panthers' offense to fit Bridgewater. Or vice versa. -- Walder
i
31. Chicago Bears
Overall score: 68.8


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
74.820
Quarterback​
64.531
Coaching​
74.822
Draft​
64.332
Front office​
59.030
Why they're here: The Bears enter 2020 with a quarterback competition on their hands, as Nick Foles and Mitch Trubisky will vie for starting duties. Being ranked this low is not a reflection of where the team probably will finish in 2020 -- there's enough reason to think Chicago can hang around for a while in the NFC North with good quarterback play -- but a reflection of some recent major personnel decisions: GM Ryan Pace hand-picked Trubisky, has been heavy-handed at times in free agency (Jimmy Graham as a recent example) and mortgaged much draft capital for a win-now approach. -- Yates

Biggest worry: Many things are in place in Chicago: solid coaching staff, strong defense, improved skill position players, and an OL that has some good pieces to improve. But the QB competition will decide the fate of this franchise both short and long term. I happen to believe that it has to be Foles' time in the Windy City, or there could be major changes on the horizon. -- Riddick

Looking ahead: This one is pretty simple: The quarterbacks on the Bears' roster in 2020 aren't guaranteed to be the answer for future years. Let's see if Foles and Matt Nagy can reignite their Kansas City chemistry. But if Dak Prescott is available as a 2021 free agent, the Bears would be foolish not to explore that possibility. The defense should be top tier for a while, and re-signing Allen Robinson II would help stabilize the offense. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Foles' cap hit is more than six times what New England will pay Cam Newton this year. And that's not counting Foles' 2021 guaranteed roster bonus and the rest of his prorated bonus. That Chicago actually traded a fourth-round pick for Foles instead of waiting for Newton or Winston was a failure by the front office at the game's most important position. -- Walder
i
32. Jacksonville Jaguars
Overall score: 64.5


CATEGORY​
SCORE​
NFL
RANK​
Overall roster (minus QB)​
65.531
Quarterback​
64.032
Coaching​
64.531
Draft​
69.029
Front office​
58.831
Why they're here: The rebuild is on. This offseason saw the Jaguars trade away three prominent veterans (Nick Foles, Calais Campbell and A.J. Bouye) to stockpile draft capital, a process that truly began when they traded away Jalen Ramsey last season. It's going to take time. Losses figure to endure for another two or three seasons, but this is a long-term play: find young cornerstones and meticulously work back to a competitive state. -- Yates

Biggest worry: From the outside looking in, the culture in Jacksonville seems to not be what it needs to be, and the upheaval/uncertainty in the front office seems to be a very large reason why. This is a franchise that is heading for a major overhaul from the top down in short order, as I don't see the Jaguars going anywhere with the present structure. -- Riddick[/QUOTE]

Looking ahead: Jacksonville's roster isn't as dire as projected. More than half the 22-man starting lineup has splash-play ability. But if the team truly wants to start over, it should move on from all the players who either don't want to be there or have had problems in the locker room. Trade Yannick Ngakoue, who wants out. Give Leonard Fournette the ball in his 2020 contract year and then let him walk, effectively starting fresh at running back. And continue to build the passing game around DJ Chark Jr., who's a top-15 to top-20 receiver right now. -- Fowler

Top stat to know: Gardner Minshew recorded a completion percentage over expectation of minus-5.2% last year, the worst among passer-rating-qualified quarterbacks. In the NFL, there is nothing bleaker than hopelessness at quarterback, and the bottom two teams on this list embody that better than any other team. Good news for Jacksonville: No team is better positioned to bottom out and land Trevor Lawrence, though the FPI still gives the Jags only a 24% chance to land the No. 1 overall pick. -- Walder

Troy Hill

Wanted to take a look at him given all the crazy-high expectations he's received among the faithful and see whether my memory of how he played was accurate. I haven't really nuked the secondary, have looked at the safeties quite a bit but the CBs not so much and mainly because of the midseason mini-rebuild. Basically I feel like it's really hard to grade a guy like, say, Ramsey (and yes I'm not a fan of his but still want to be fair) when he didn't get a camp and is thrown into the defense like he was. Truth is the extent to which these guys know the defense and can play fast really matters in terms of their effectiveness.

But Hill... He's a guy I can look at a bit and make a determination on him because he's been here and knows what's up. Also, my take for the record before I begin is that he's an up 'n down guy. He can have games where he looks fucking legit followed by games where he looks like a UDFA. I dislike that greatly. My preference is consistency, so I'd rather have a guy who consistently puts up average play than a dude who I can't count on and don't know what I'm gonna get.

But I may be wrong admittedly. So gonna take my time and put up some stills starting with one of the games where our defense got gashed (Dallas) and see how he did. As usual I'll put up really good and really bad snaps and then summarize a bit based on what I see. That's just a bit easier than doing every play which would be too much.

First Dallas play from scrimmage here and he's drawn Cooper (#19) who is in motion and will be in man coverage
1595272922397.png


At the snap Hill shows outside leverage and we see it's a double with Rapp providing the inside support
1595273033938.png


I don't like Hill's technique here at all, he is too far off the receiver and more concerned about protecting the outside leverage and himself from being beaten deep than allowing the receiver to position himself for an uncontested catch.
1595273660552.png


Top of the route here and Cooper snaps it off. Hill did not close that lateral cushion (he should be right there at Cooper's back) and the separation as a result is that Cooper is wide open. Rapp flipped his hips around a little quick and ran himself out on the other side so what is left is a throw 'n catch for the QB but he misses it.
1595273263553.png


End result is incomplete pass but the snap was a poor one for both Rams DBs.
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Better, worse or the same: A look at the Rams' changes on defense

It was a rollercoaster offseason for the Los Angeles Rams' defense after first-year coordinator Brandon Staley replaced veteran Wade Phillips and several key players departed in free agency or were released. So, better, worse or the same? That's the question facing each defensive position group as the Rams attempt to rebound from a 9-7 season that kept them from a third straight playoff appearance. With free agency mostly complete and nearly three months removed from the NFL draft, it's time to look at the Rams' roster to determine if, based on personnel changes, the defense made any gains this offseason.

Defensive line
Additions: A'Shawn Robinson (two-year, $17 million contract)
Losses: Tanzel Smart (Unsigned)
These guys are back: Michael Brockers (three-year, $24 million contract), Aaron Donald, Sebastian Joseph-Day, Greg Gaines, Morgan Fox
Better, worse or the same: Better.

Any defensive front that features Donald is in good shape, but consider the Rams' line in excellent condition following Brockers' surprise return. Bound for the Baltimore Ravens in free agency, Brockers' deal fell through & he quickly returned to L.A., much to the delight of long-time teammate Donald." He's a huge part of our defense," said Donald, adding that Brockers' contributions transcend the stat sheet. Following Brockers' initial departure, the Rams agreed to terms with Robinson, who parted with the Detroit Lions after four seasons. A second-round pick in 2016, Robinson never established himself as a consistent playmaker with the Lions but is expected to add strength to the Rams' interior in joining Joseph-Day and Gaines. "We feel really good with the interior depth," coach Sean McVay said.

Outside linebackers
Additions: Leonard Floyd (one-year, $10 million contract), Terrell Lewis (third-round pick).
Losses: Dante Fowler Jr. (Atlanta Falcons), Clay Matthews (unsigned).
These guys are back: Samson Ebukam, Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, Justin Lawler.
Better, worse or the same: Worse.

Fowler had a career-high 11.5 sacks last season and Matthews had 8. Those numbers will be difficult to top for a young group of pass-rushers. The No. 9 overall pick by the Chicago Bears in 2016, Floyd reunites with Staley -- who coached him for two seasons in Chicago and played a role in bringing him to L.A. "This guy has a unique skill set, he's a unique athlete for the position," Staley said. "He's a very, very high football-IQ guy. "The Rams took a chance on Fowler, who arrived in L.A. after a tumultuous 3½ years in Jacksonville, and he excelled. The Rams are optimistic Floyd can experience a similar turnaround & he said he felt motivated by a fresh start." I gave [the Bears] all I had," said Floyd, who had 18.5 sacks in four seasons. "It's time to move on and with L.A. and the Rams I see myself doing very, very good." A third-round pick, Lewis is an intriguing prospect who could blossom into a draft steal. He struggled to stay healthy in four seasons at Alabama but possesses the physical traits -- including long limbs and an explosive burst -- that could propel him to become a dominant pass-rusher. A starter in 2018, Ebukam lost the job to Matthews but said multiple times last season that he felt good about learning behind the veteran. But now is Ebukam's time to once again prove that he is a starting-caliber player. A rotational player last season, Ebukam has 9.5 career sacks.

Inside linebackers
Additions: Clay Johnston (seventh-round pick)
Losses: Cory Littleton (Las Vegas Raiders)
These guys are back: Micah Kiser, Kenny Young, Travin Howard, Troy Reeder.
Better, worse or the same: Worse.

Rams general manager Les Snead didn't dance around the subject when asked how the Rams would replace Littleton, their leading tackler the past two seasons. "[It's] a very inexperienced group," Snead said about the linebacking corps. "Internally we have, let's call it, a solid to good to high hopes for this group & we got to do our best to develop them."The Rams slotted Kiser as a starter last season before he suffered a season-ending pectoral injury during the preseason. Young joined midway through last season as part of the trade involving cornerback Marcus Peters and the Ravens. He should benefit from an entire offseason learning the Rams' system. An undrafted free agent from Delaware, Reeder found himself thrust into a starting role for eight games because of injuries. He finished with 58 tackles and his experience could provide a boost in the training camp competition.

Defensive backs
Additions: S Terrell Burgess (third-round pick), S Jordan Fuller (sixth-round pick)
Losses: CB Nickell Robey-Coleman (Philadelphia Eagles), S Eric Weddle (retired), CB Marqui Christian (unsigned).
These guys are back: CB Jalen Ramsey, CB Donte Deayon, CB Troy Hill, CB David Long Jr., CB Darious Williams, S John Johnson III, S Taylor Rapp, S Nick Scott, S Jake Gervase
Better, worse or the same: Same.

With the Bears, Staley was known to use defensive back-heavy packages. More of that should be expected with the Rams. Ramsey teased that he will take on an increased role this season, noting that he no longer considers himself a cornerback, but a defensive back. Williams intercepted passes in back-to-back games to end last season, which caught the attention of Staley. Williams might be the front-runner to play opposite of Ramsey, and Hill can play the slot. "[Williams has] a really good skill set for corner," Staley said. "He can run, he can change direction, he can play the ball in the deep part of the field, he's got a good body."

Johnson returns from a shoulder injury that sent him to injured reserve after six games last season. As he enters the final season of his rookie contract, Johnson has intercepted seven passes and has 24 pass deflections in 32 starts.Rapp will take over Weddle's spot as starter and is expected to make a significant jump as a second-year pro after a solid rookie season that included starting in Johnson's absence. Burgess and Fuller will provide depth and probably will contribute on special teams.

Playing the Odds: Which Ram will score the first TD at SoFi Stadium?

Maybe interesting wagers for week 1 in the new sportsbook year?

For bookie consideration among other SoFi firsts? @flv, @Corbin, @RhodyRams, @Rambitious1

Playing the Odds: Which Ram will score the first TD at SoFi Stadium?

His name will be the answer to a future trivia question: Who scored the first Rams touchdown in SoFi Stadium?

And we could be less than two months away from finding out.

But unlike previous seasons – where the odds-on favorite would have been Todd Gurley, who scored 70 times in five campaigns in Horns – this year's field is fairly level.

Cooper Kupp would be a leading candidate, having finished second on the 2019 roster in rushing and receiving touchdowns with 10, including one in each of the Rams final five contests.

That streak went overlooked because of an even more prolific December authored by Tyler Higbee… in just about every regard except scoring touchdowns (only one in the last four outings). Nonetheless, entering his fifth season, Higbee would be a solid choice.

Then there's Robert Woods, who owns the distinction of hauling in the final Rams touchdown at the Coliseum, helping Los Angeles put away Arizona in Week 17. SoFi Stadium was already on his mind 24 hours later, in late December, when he told me, "I can't wait to get in that stadium. I need to drive by and pick my corner of the end zone; I'm scoring first."

As for the backs, carries for the opener are difficult to forecast before training camp helps establish the depth chart. Can rookie Cam Akers earn the trust of a coaching staff he's yet to work with in person? Is Darrell Henderson poised to break out as an NFL sophomore? Malcolm Brown would be the safest and most predictable choice. Might the veteran get the starting nod against the Cowboys in September? He did score the first Rams touchdown of 2019 at Carolina.

Of course, there's always the possibility that Jared Goff finger rolls one over the crossbar. He has a rushing score in each of his professional seasons – two each in 2018 and 2019.

If you're searching for long odds and great value, we're still awaiting Andrew Whitworth's first touchdown as a Ram. He secured a one-yard pass from Carson Palmer back in 2010 at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh. It remains his only NFL touchdown. Etching his name in SoFi Stadium history would be an auspicious start to his age-39 season.

Finally, Aaron Donald is so overdue that he's now lobbying for red zone opportunities. Sean McVay has thus far been reluctant to unleash the most unstoppable force in football on offense. Perhaps Donald's patience will pay off on the goal line against the Cowboys.

Let's just hope it's at the end of the first Rams drive.

Rams secondary boasts 8 starting caliber DBs

Rams secondary boasts 8 starting caliber DBs

The LA Rams have a bit of a problem in the defensive backfield for 2020. The team has four to five starting roles and up to eight players who could start for a typical NFL team’s defensive backfield. Why is that significant? Well, it’s a curse of riches, which is a bad situation almost every NFL defensive coordinator would love to enjoy. After all, filling the roster of quality defensive backs is one of the most difficult challenges for any defense. It’s also one of the most critical areas of the defense, as rules continue to evolve in favor of NFL offenses and the passing game.

Each year, NFL defenses restock their respective rosters with young players for the future, talented free agents for the present, and veterans for their past history. Right now, the Rams appear to have that magical apex of the best of all worlds. Rookie players who are easy on the purse strings, talented young players hitting the prime of their NFL careers, and veterans whose NFL experience will help bind the group into one common purpose. How so? Check out the team’s depth chart:

Deep depth chart

The LA Rams boast one of the most talented and deepest defensive backfields in the NFL. For the cornerbacks? The Rams have seven in the immediate mix, plus new additions signed after the 2020 NFL Draft.

Corners

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Safeties

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How can the team determine who remains on the active roster, who slides over to the practice squad, and who will return the team’s playbook?

2020 11 players to the active roster?

The LA Rams carried six cornerbacks and five safeties into the 2019 53-man active roster. We can instantly assign three cornerbacks, two safeties, and two drafted rookies to the Rams 2020 roster. So that means Ramsey, Hill, Williams, Burgess, Fuller, Johnson and Rapp will make the roster. So who will the remaining four players be? I believe the Rams will look to Alexander, Long, Taylor, and Scott to round out the roster.

That’s not to say that the others are gone. Of the four who do not make it to the Rams active roster, they could be signed up for the practice squad. That includes Deayon, McGhee, Gervase, and Hughes. While the Rams may not move to carry the remaining four, I suspect the team will be reluctant to part ways with players whose value will only increase in Staley’s defensive scheme. Defensive backs will be counted on to player outside, slot, or deep coverage, as well as move a defensive back in for a linebacker role on many plays. The Rams defensive backfield is one of the strengths of this defense. Will it be enough to compensate for a very young linebacking corps? Time will tell.

National Media Downplays Rams/McVay

Why has everyone lost faith in LA Rams HC Sean McVay?

LA Rams head coach Sean McVay roared into NFL prominence from the moment he took over the team. 11 wins followed by 13 wins and a Super Bowl berth (In that contest, the Rams were just two Brandin Cooks drops away from winning it), and a 9 win season. It seems that everyone lost faith in the boy genius. Most people are picking the Rams to come in 3rd place in the NFC West and some are even saying the Rams will be in the LAST place of the NFC West. Is that logical or just trolling the guy who has never had a losing NFL season?

It’s unbelievable to think so. The Rams lost two very close games in 2019, one lost by a San Francisco quarterback Jimmy Garapollo heave. The other by a Rams Greg Zuerlein missed field goal in Seattle. Just one win away from making the playoffs. Perhaps those two wins from a completely different 2020 offseason. The Rams did lose WR Brandin Cooks, RB Todd Gurley, ILB Cory Littleton, OLB Dante Fowler, and a few others in the off-season. But all teams endure roster changes. The Rams may be stronger on defense, and more innovative on offense this season.

No magic, or no faith?

People think the magic has vanished for the Rams and Sean McVay. Quarterback Jared Goff appeared to regress in 2019. Star running back Todd Gurley had an arthritic knee and was released. The team suffered abundant injuries in 2019 and several coaching changes in the offseason. Many things went wrong for the Rams last year. But why are people so quick to jump off the bandwagon?

The Rams made some coaching changes in the off-season by adding Kevin O’Connell as the new offensive coordinator and Brandon Staley as the defensive coordinator. The Rams also lost Special Teams Coordinator John Fassel (who I miss, but whose production on ST was dropping rapidly) and replaced him with a good one in John Bonamego. This means that Sean McVay will step back a bit and have a better feel for the team. He’ll have less pressure with the offensive workload. With one more year he’ll have under his belt, he’ll improve even more this year.

Burning the midnight oil

Although he did recently admit that he’s worried about burning out which should scare us. But it would also light a fire under him for the team to improve. The Rams drafted some talented players like RB Cam Akers and DB Terrell Burgess. Some players will come back from injuries like John Johnson III and Joseph Noteboom. The Rams added NT A’Shawn Robinson and OLB Leonard Floyd in free agency.

The Rams have won more than 9 games in the last 3 seasons. THEY HAVE AVERAGED 11 WINS A SEASON SINCE 2017. Everyone relax and let’s take a chill pill. Let’s have this discussion next year if the Rams absolutely stink next season. Is nine wins truly a “sky is falling” scenario, or are recent headlines merely trying scare tactics this year?

Oh, by the way, the Rams have All-Pro DB Jalen Ramsey and All-Pro DL Aaron Donald. Those guys are pretty good. And two 1000 yard receivers in Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods. Those are two incredible players both on offense and defense. We’re better than eight wins folks. Much better.

5 best wide receivers in Los Angeles Rams history

5 best wide receivers in Los Angeles Rams history

The Los Angeles Rams currently boast one of the best receiving corps in the NFL, led by Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp. Before Woods and Kupp, the Rams have been fortunate enough to employ plenty of gifted wide receivers in their franchise’s history. The same can be said for Los Angeles when it comes to the running back position as well.

During the late 1990s and early 2000s, the Rams deployed the renowned “Greatest Show on Turf” offense. With Kurt Warner under center and Marshall Faulk as a do-it-all running back, the team also had an extensively deep wide receiving corps.

Both Torry Holt and Isaac Bruce led the aerial attack, with Ricky Proehl and Az-Zahir Hakim as depth options at the position. Of course, both Holt and Bruce are unquestionably the best wide receivers to play for the Rams. Besides Holt and Bruce, who are the best wide receivers in Rams’ history?

5. Jack Snow

Back in the 1960s and 1970s, there weren’t many teams in the NFL that put the ball in the air more often than not. However, with Roman Gabriel at quarterback, the Rams featured a decently dynamic aerial attack.

At the forefront of Los Angeles’ wide receivers in the 1960s, Jack Snow was the team’s No. 1 wide receiver. Snow would spend 11 seasons with the Rams, helping the team make the playoffs in five of those seasons.

In addition to that, Snow would make the Pro Bowl once while he hauled in 340 receptions, 6,012 yards, and 45 touchdowns. To this day, Snow is the Rams’ fifth all-time wide receiver in receiving yards and touchdowns.

4. Flipper Anderson

Over a decade after Snow finished his career, the Rams had a new dynamic passing attack. With Jim Everett manning the quarterback spot, Los Angeles had a lethal duo at wide receiver with Flipper Anderson and Henry Ellard.

Besides having an all-time cool name, Anderson was a productive vertical threat in the Rams’ offense. In his seven seasons with the organization, Anderson would record 259 catches for 5,246 yards and 26 touchdowns.

What’s most impressive about Anderson’s career is that he produced two 1,000-yard seasons in his career. And in those two 1,000-yard seasons he hauled in 51 or fewer receptions for the Rams, showing his big-play ability.

3. Henry Ellard

Again, while Everett was slinging the ball in the 1980s and early 1990s, the Rams had a productive wide receiver duo. On the opposite side of the field as Anderson, Ellard was even more dominant than Anderson.

Altogether, Ellard would compile quite a career in the NFL, spending 16 seasons in the league with three different teams. But in his first 11 seasons in the NFL, Ellard would be a viable weapon for the Rams.

The former second-round pick in the 1983 NFL Draft would account for 593 receptions, 9,761 yards, and 48 touchdowns in those 11 seasons. Of his stats with the team, Ellard finished third all-time in receptions and yards. Plus, he is Los Angeles’ fourth all-time leader in touchdowns.

2. Torry Holt

In the least surprising news of 2020, Holt and Bruce are still the top two wide receivers to suit up for the Rams. As good as Holt was, it’s hard to put him above Bruce when it comes to which wide receiver was better.

With that being said, being the second-best wide receiver behind Bruce is still an impressive achievement in itself. Amid his time with the Rams, Holt was one of the most underrated playmakers at wide receiver in NFL history. In his 10 years with the franchise, Holt corraled 869 passes for 12,660 yards and 74 touchdowns.

Furthermore, Holt would notch 1,000-yard seasons in eight consecutive years from 2000-2007. Even though he’s had a tough time making it in thus far, it’s only a matter of time before Holt is inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

1. Isaac Bruce

Last but not least, Bruce comes in at the No. 1 spot when it comes to the best Rams’ wide receivers of all-time. There are plenty of gifted pass-catching duos in NFL history and not many of them were as fun to watch as Bruce and Holt.

Individually, over his 14 seasons with the Rams, Bruce would accumulate 942 receptions for 14,109 yards and 84 touchdowns. While Holt finished as the organization’s No. 2 all-time leader in all of those stats, Bruce was above him in each of them.

Among all wide receivers in NFL history, Bruce was No. 13 in receptions, No. 5 in receiving yards, and No. 12 in receiving touchdowns. Unlike Holt, who deserves to make it himself, Bruce was inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame in 2020.

The plan to start the 2020 NFL season: What we know and what we don't know

The plan to start the 2020 NFL season: What we know and what we don't know

It has been 110 days since Jeff Pash, the NFL's executive vice president and general counsel, announced an unexpectedly bold plan for the 2020 season amid a coronavirus pandemic that was only starting.

"All of our discussions," Pash said, "all of our focus, has been on a normal, traditional season, starting on time, playing in front of fans, in our regular stadiums, and going through a full 16-game regular season and a full set of playoffs. That's our focus."

At the same time, Pash acknowledged the obvious. The date was March 31, which meant the NFL had months to figure out how to pull it off. But that time has dwindled. Rookies and selected veterans are scheduled to report to training camp Tuesday, with full squads anticipated one week later. Texans and Chiefs rookies are expected to report Monday, as those teams are scheduled to play the league's Thursday night opener Sept. 10.

Can the NFL pull off an on-time start to training camp, much less a season? In the time since Pash made his announcement, the United States flattened its daily virus count -- only to see a surge in infections and hospitalizations this summer in Southern states. Major League Soccer and the National Women's Soccer League are the only major professional team sports to make it back on the field, although MLB, the NBA and the NHL have entered the early stages of their return.

Dr. Allen Sills, the NFL's chief medical officer, said recently that the NFL hopes to plow a road for the entire country as it deals with the pandemic.

"I think this is important not just for the NFL or for professional sports -- not even for sports at all levels," Sills said at a virtual meeting of the American Orthopaedic Society for Sports Medicine. "I think what we are trying to do -- which is to find a way to mitigate risk and to coexist with this virus -- this is really key information for schools, for businesses, for all segments of society. I think we have a unique opportunity but also a responsibility to use the platform and resources of the NFL to really study and learn and to take that knowledge and apply it for the benefit of the other segments of the society. That is what we plan to do."

Thursday night, NFLPA representatives had a conference call with several NFL team physicians, who gave the players their reasons why they felt it was safe to start training camps with COVID-19 protocols in place. On a video conference call with reporters Friday, NFLPA executive director DeMaurice Smith said the players want to go back to work but that the union and the league continue to negotiate important health and safety measures involving testing and opt-out procedures, as well as economic issues involving the impact of lost 2020 revenue on the 2021 salary cap. Sources say those negotiations are expected to continue through the weekend, and that it's possible the league and union could start camp if they've agreed on the health and safety portion of the negotiations while still working through the financial portion.

Let's review what we know about the NFL's plans to return and recognize how much more must be decided in the coming days and weeks for Pash's goal to be realized. We'll return weekly to update you on the league's progress.

What we know about the 2020 NFL season

1. All training camps will be at team facilities this year. When they report, football personnel -- players, coaches, equipment managers, medical staffers -- will largely be isolated from the remainder of team employees. They will have a separate, designated entrance to the building. Practice fields, locker rooms, athletic and medical rooms, meeting rooms and weight rooms will all be restricted to people classified as Tier 1 (players and other people who need at least 10 minutes of daily access to restricted areas) or Tier 2 (people who need periodic access to restricted areas). There can be a maximum of 60 Tier 1 designees, not including players, on a daily basis.

2. Teams have been asked to retrofit their facilities as much as possible to account for 6 feet of physical distancing. Details will vary based on facility design, but in general, it will mean rearranging and/or expanding locker rooms into temporary areas. The league also has provided instructions on creating one-way traffic through hallways. It has mandated individual appointments with athletic trainers and limited weight room workouts to 15 or fewer players. Virtual meetings are encouraged, and in-person meetings are limited to 20 people. All players and staff must wear a mask when inside the facility, although players are not required to wear them during workouts. Players and team personnel are instructed not to share "towels, water bottles, food or clothing with others," and any shared equipment must be cleaned after each use.

3. Team showers must accommodate 6 feet of distancing, even if that means shutting off some shower heads. Saunas and steam rooms will be closed.

4. Teams must maintain a two-week supply of personal protective equipment (PPE) for medical officials.

5. This arrangement will not be a "bubble" like the plans in motion with the NHL and NBA. By agreement between the NFL and NFL Players Association (NFLPA), players will have the option to stay at a team-sponsored hotel, but will not be required to. They can spend their nights at home, except on the night before preseason games. (More on preseason games in a moment.) Teams will be required to hold a safety information session with family members, among other education efforts designed to teach employees how to minimize risk of infection outside the facility. On a recent NFLPA call, players were told they could face discipline, including fines, if they were found to have contracted and spread the virus as a result of reckless behavior outside of the team facility, such as eating in restaurants or using rideshare services. Rams offensive tackle Andrew Whitworth joined the NFLPA's call with reporters Friday to relay a story about how a member of his family contracted the virus while having lunch out with a friend and soon it had spread to Whitworth, his wife, his children and his wife's parents. "Players are going to have to be careful outside the building," Whitworth said. "All it takes is one exposure, and it can spread like wildfire."

6. Players or team employees who have symptoms are instructed to immediately notify the team physician and/or trainer, immediately self-isolate in a separate room, put on a mask and be transported home to quarantine as soon as possible. A symptomatic employee who tests positive must avoid the team facility for at least 10 days, is prohibited from traveling or having any direct contact with any player or club employee other than medical staff, and can't return until 72 hours have passed since symptoms last occurred and they have been cleared by the team physician. A person with an asymptomatic positive test must stay away for 10 days, or else five days since the initial positive test and after two consecutive negative tests with at least 24 hours in between. That person must also be cleared by the team physician prior to return. There will be additional cardiac screening for players who have tested positive and recovered or who test positive for COVID-19 antibodies.

7. In the event of a positive test, the NFL has contracted with IQVIA -- a third-party firm that also analyzes league injury data -- for contact tracing to determine whom the person has been in close contact with during the incubation period. If there is a fear of in-game exposure, the NFL will make use of radio-frequency identification tracking devices embedded in each player's shoulder pads to determine whom that player was within 6 feet of during the game. Anyone who engages in team activities will be required to wear a Kinexon proximity recording tracking device, which would allow contact tracers to find the close contacts of someone who tested positive. Players and all team personnel, up to and including team owners, will be required to wear the contact tracing devices while at the facility, but not when they are away from it.

8. Protocols will be enforced by unannounced inspections conducted jointly by the NFL and NFLPA, and club officials who knowingly violate the policy will be subject to discipline.

9. Early training camp practices will look different. Because the entire offseason program was conducted virtually, with no actual football work, the NFL and NFLPA have agreed that there should be a longer acclimatization process. It will begin with two days designated for medical exams and equipment fitting, and more than a week could pass before players participate in full team drills. The specifics of the acclimatization process are still a matter of negotiation between the league and the union. Union president JC Tretter on Friday detailed the union's proposal, which he said grew out of discussions with doctors. The players are asking for 21 days of strength and conditioning work followed by 10 days of non-padded practices and then 14 days of "contact acclimation" process in which practices could be conducted with pads.

10. No fans or visitors will be allowed at team facilities during training camp. Teams can host up to two practices at stadiums with fans in the stands, if state and local regulations allow it.

11. The NFL and the NFLPA are in disagreement about preseason games. The NFL has made plans for each team to play two games, one at home and one away, around the weekends of Aug. 20-24 and Aug. 27-31. The NFLPA's board of player representatives voted to endorse a plan for no games, and the two sides continue to negotiate on this issue. The owners remain opposed to the elimination of all preseason games, believing they still serve an important player-evaluation purpose. Smith said Friday that "to engage in two games where players would be flying all over the country and then engaging with each other to work, and to do that prior to the season, doesn't increase the likelihood of starting and finishing the season on time." Recent discussions have raised the possibility of going down to just one preseason game, but the players still would like to get to zero.

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12. If there are preseason games, they will follow the same protocol the NFL and NFLPA have established for regular-season games. Visiting teams will travel the day before the game. Stadium locker rooms must be retrofitted to ensure social distancing, as much as possible. Masks for coaches and nonparticipating players are encouraged but not required. Players must maintain 6 feet from one another after games, eliminating postgame handshakes and jersey swaps.

13. Most media interviews will be conducted via video conference, and locker rooms will be closed to reporters. Reporters placed into "Tier 2M" will have access to parts of the team facility and practice field, provided they pass screening protocols.

14. There will be new rules in place for teams while they travel, including buses operating at no more than 50% capacity, at least one open seat between passengers on team planes and no sharing of hotel rooms. (This probably means more buses and larger planes, which teams are exploring.) All players and team personnel must wear face coverings while on the road. Players and team personnel will not be allowed to leave their hotel rooms to eat in or otherwise use restaurants that are open to the public. They may order room service or delivery from contactless food delivery services. Players and team personnel may not use public or private transportation to or in other cities, just team buses and planes. While at the hotel, no player or other member of the traveling party may have visitors in their rooms who are not members of the traveling party. And no one in the traveling party will be allowed to use shared hotel facilities such as gyms or pools unless they have been disinfected and are only being used by the team traveling party.

What we don't know about the 2020 NFL season

1. The biggest unanswered question is how the NFL and NFLPA will deal with the strong likelihood of reduced 2020 revenues. There have been some discussions -- the NFLPA considered a proposal to put 35% of salaries in escrow a nonstarter -- but nothing close to an agreement. The NFL's salary cap is designed to spread the gains and losses among owners and players by an agreed-upon ratio, but that would lead to a big drop in cap figures for 2021. The players' union favors a plan that would spread the revenue hit out over several years, keeping the salary cap flat or increasing it only slightly until revenues are caught up. The owners prefer to take the hit in the short term and then quickly return to the annual rate of cap growth the league has seen over the past decade. The union's concern is the short-term impact a significant reduction would have not only on player salaries but also on players' health benefits, which are calculated as part of the player costs under the salary cap. The sides are well aware of, and hope to avoid, the spectacle that MLB made of its economic negotiations.

2. The league and union are discussing financial accommodations for players or other team employees who want to opt out of the season, either because of preexisting conditions or reticence with the safety protocols. Would they lose their jobs? Be put on unpaid leave? Could they be paid a reduced salary? There has been progress made in recent negotiations on the opt-out rules -- go here for more details on the proposals -- and there's an expectation from both sides that a reasonable compromise can be reached there.

3. Details aren't clear on how the NFL will account for what could be significant roster churn based on infections and isolation time. Expanded active rosters and bigger practice squads are both in play. The league and the union are discussing establishment of a new, coronavirus-specific injured reserve list that would allow a player to return after a short period of time, such as three weeks.

4. Some details of the testing program haven't been finalized, most notably the weekly frequency. That number could be influenced by the delays other sports have faced in receiving results. Long waits for results reduce the effectiveness of testing in minimizing infection and increase the possibility of spread. The union has asked for daily testing, and the league has proposed testing every other day. Sources close to the discussion say the NFL's medical advisers don't believe daily testing is necessary and that it can lead to a false sense of security, and the league is concerned about a possible public perception that it would be taking up too high a number of testing resources from the teams' local communities. This remains a negotiating point, and there is a potential compromise that involves testing every day at the beginning of camp and then moving to less frequent testing as everyone grows more used to the protocols and safety measures at the facilities.

5. There has been some discussion of changing the way game officials are assigned to games but no plans are final. One idea has been to assign them by regions based on where they live to minimize travel.

6. The NFL and NFLPA have been working with vendors on a face shield that would be attached to helmets and could minimize spread of the virus during a game. Some players, including the Texans' J.J. Watt, have expressed concerns about the potential for restricted breathing and potential fogging. It's unlikely they will be made mandatory, and it's uncertain if they will be available for use at all.

7. The NFL has proposed fining players who violate health and safety protocols, and potentially putting the rest of the team at risk, but the NFLPA has not agreed to it.

8. The NFL will allow each team to determine its policy for allowing fans into stadiums for games. But all that is known for sure is that the first eight rows of every stadium will be tarped off for distancing purposes. Because state and local guidelines have changed several times this summer, plans for fans remain in flux. The league says decisions on the number of fans in stadiums will be determined on a market-by-market basis with guidance from public health experts and in accordance with local and state guidelines. Because the league does not consider this an issue of competitive impact, there could be variances throughout the league -- i.e., fans in some stadiums but not others. The league is in touch with each club on this matter, and if fans are permitted in a specific stadium, the expectation is that the club will have some number of fans in that stadium -- as long as the number is in compliance with government guidelines and following public health authorities.

WATCH: Patrick Mahomes with absurd behind-the-back pass

LOL.

WATCH: Patrick Mahomes with absurd behind-the-back pass

He’s not the reigning Super Bowl MVP for no reason. He’s not potentially the first $500 million man in the sports world for no reason.

His name is Patrick Mahomes. He plays NFL football for the Kansas City Chiefs. He plays good NFL football for the Kansas City Chiefs.

Latest example? Nothing short of Mahomes tossing the ball behind his back a good 15 yards and hitting his target right in the gut.

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View: https://twitter.com/adamlefkoe/status/1284614346128195584?s=21

We’ve seen Mahomes do ridiculous things on the football field. We’ve seen him throw the football completely out of Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.

But this takes the cake.

If the former NFL MVP is able to do this in live-game action, the other 31 teams around the league are completely screwed. Full stop!

Cam Akers stood out in Rams' virtual offseason program

Cam Akers stood out in Rams' virtual offseason program

It’s been an exceptionally difficult offseason for rookies in the NFL this year, coming into the league with no OTAs or minicamp in the spring and into the summer. That puts first-year players behind the eight-ball, especially for those fighting for starting jobs or simply spots on the 53-man roster.

Cam Akers has still managed to stand out in the crowd, however, despite being limited to video calls with his coaches. According to Omar Ruiz of NFL Network, Akers shined in the team’s virtual meetings for his engagement.

“One player I’m told who stood out in virtual meetings was rookie running back Cam Akers for his engagement, assertiveness and asking all the right questions. Akers, of course, will have a big role in the Rams’ re-tooled running game, along with second-year running back Darrell Henderson in replacing Todd Gurley,” Ruiz reported.

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View: https://twitter.com/nflnetwork/status/1283446432003813376?s=21

Akers was a favorite of the Rams’ leading up to the draft, as the front office set their sights on him as one of their top targets in the second round. They landed him at No. 52 overall, and came away thrilled with the selection.

Akers will have a great chance to grab hold of the starting running back job, with Henderson and Malcolm Brown likely backing him up as change-of-pace and short-yardage backs, respectively.

Ruiz also reported that Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods have made it a point to help the running game, too, by improving as blockers.

“I’m told that in meetings, they want to know what every offensive lineman’s assignment is to better understand the concept of their blocking schemes,” he said.

NFL wants to cut player costs by $40M

The NFL is considering a draconian cut of about $40M / team in player costs. The original thought is to do it over several years. But others want it done in one year so the NFL can then move on. The NFLPA is vehemently opposing this move. But IMO they have no leverage. Since players get paid per game per the CBA the easiest way for the NFL to achieve this is simply reducing the number of games this season.

This is why I was saying simply shortening the season to 14 games was likely. However, if $40M is their target then the reduction would have to be at least 3 games more likely 4 games. They could shorten the season by 2 games much like I have suggested and drop the expanded playoff formula for this year and that will get them close to the $40M they want. The NFLPA wouldn't have any leverage to stop them.

This is why I have always thought that reducing the games this season is the most likely route they will take. Talk has been centered around reducing the cap but that is unworkable for teams that are right at the cap limit now. It's counterproductive to the long term of the NFL also. That would involve the NFLPA as well. I think this "red herring" is being floated to scare the players into accepting a shorten season which will then be offered as a "compromise" as it would seem more reasonable.

I think the 14 game 2020 season is coming and the expanded playoff format will be dropped for this year if the NFL is really serious about this player pay reduction. There is no other way to achieve it without prolonged NFLPA legal interference. If I understand the CBA the NFL has complete authority to do it now.

The Saturday Night Conversation Thread - Jul-18-2020

The Conversation Thread - What You Drinking? Edition

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Continuing the casual offseason vibe... The Conversation Thread.

Think a thread, that goes like a “Chat Room”.

Tell us what you are up to. Anything cool or interesting going on? Cooking anything special? Ask a question. Comment. Chat.

EASY

Randomness encouraged.


Pics. Gifs. Music. Make us laugh. Whatever hits you.

BYOB.

Tomorrow we’ll move this thread to off topic. But for now... It’s Saturday Night!

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What are you up to today/tonight?

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Norm Van Brocklin still holds the NFL single game passing record

Norm Van Brocklin still holds the NFL single game passing record

Historically, the LA Rams have always fielded talented teams. The franchise has benefitted from a string of very good head coaches to put Rams players in position to excel. Norm Van Brocklin is a great example.

The Rams selected Van Brocklin in the fourth-round of the 1949 NFL Draft. He played for the Rams from 1949 through 1957. After that, he spent the next three seasons in Philadelphia where he quarterbacked the Eagles.

As a Rams quarterback, he completed 1011 passes for 16,114 yards with 118 touchdowns. Van Brocklin was purely a throwing quarterback, as most were during the time of his play. As such, he ranks fourth on the Rams all-time passing yards list.

Throw-back era

Football from the 1950’s era has the reputation of being the in-the-dirt, grind-it-out type of football. While everybody was running to daylight, the Rams were throwing the ball. Van Brocklin had a historical day on September 28, 1951.

The Rams were hosting the New York Yank on that crazy day. The Yanks played three NFL seasons, 1949-51. Actually, they played as the Boston Bulldogs in 1949 and moved to New York for the 1950 season.

In that game, the LA Rams jumped out to a huge lead, 34-0. Van Brocklin threw three touchdowns passes of 41, 67, and 47 yards respectively. Elroy Hirsch caught the 41 and 47-yard TD passes. Vitamin Smith caught the longest first-half touchdown pass.

The Rams scored 20 more second-half points. Hirsch caught two more touchdown passes from Van Brocklin of 26 yards and one yard. Thanks to their unstoppable aerial assault, the Rams easily won the game 54-14.

Record setter

On that day, Van Brocklin completed 27 of 41 passes for 554 yards with 5 touchdowns. He threw two interceptions but it really hurt his yardage total instead of the team. His yardage total may never be duplicated.

Van Brocklin holds the NFL record for passing yards in a single game with 554 yards. His performance on that day has withstood the test of time. Matt Schaub and Warren Moon are second with a single game passing yard totals of 527 yards.

Van Brocklin is a member of the NFL Hal of Fame. He coached 13 seasons after his playing days ended, and he was named to the head coach position of the Minnesota Vikings inaugural season in 1961. His record may never be matched or broken even though the NFL throws the ball much more now.

Undrafted Free Agents with the Best Chance of Making NFL Rosters

Undrafted Free Agents with the Best Chance of Making NFL Rosters
View: https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2900266-undrafted-free-agents-with-the-best-chance-of-making-nfl-rosters

Easop Winston, WR, Los Angeles Rams
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Easop Winston is far from the biggest name, which probably didn't concern the Los Angeles Rams when they nabbed the Washington State product in free agency.

Winston spent the last two seasons dominating the Pac-12, catching 137 passes for 1,624 yards and 19 touchdowns, averaging nearly 12 yards per catch. As Renner pointed out, he ranked third among the last two wide receiver classes in yards per route against man coverage—higher than guys like Jerry Jeudy.

In other words, Winston is great at shaking free and making plays downfield, something the Rams would love to have more of for Jared Goff. The team did use a second-round pick on Van Jefferson and grabbed several other undrafted wideouts. But that says more about the desire to get new, productive faces around Goff than anything else.

Given Winston's blend of skills and production, he's got a strong chance of standing out enough to a coaching staff that knows how to squeeze the most out of offensive talent.


Rams Undrafted by incredibly talented players in the on-deck circle
The Rams signed 22 players after the 2020 NFL Draft. Of that group, many will have their sights on making the roster. While the lack of any face-to-face time with the team prior to roster cuts for training camp certainly limited their chances significantly, the new likelihood of shaving $40 million from the team’s payroll may balance that out in their favor. We know the team added two running backs with solid talent. We know that the special teams return duties may be filled by one of the many speedy additions to the roster after the draft. We have looked into the blazing speed of undrafted receiver Brandon Polk. We have even examined the likelihood of three undrafted players making a bid for a starting role on the team this year.

This is a huge season and challenge for head coach Sean McVay and the entire Rams coaching staff. While the Rams overcame lofty expectations in 2018, the team is facing a tarnished outlook in 2020. The Rams are at an important crossroads for the team and for McVay’s legacy. Can the LA Rams do more with less in 2020 better than any other NFL team? In a whirlwind of partial information, no landmarks, and no compass points, only teams led by strong innovators and doers will succeed. This is no longer a question of best business practices. It’s a competitive question of survival. Bet on the Rams and McVay every time.

NFL plans on making adjustments to IR for 2020

NFL plans on making adjustments to IR for 2020
Jul 17, 2020
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In a recent article on ProFootballTalk.com, Mike Florio reported on the apparent agreement reached between the NFL and NFLPA regarding “the procedures for dealing with players who test positive for COVID-19.”

The agreement revolves around a new “classification” to the injured reserve list, which would allow teams to place players who test positive for coronavirus for up to three weeks. The open roster spot left by the positive player would then be filled by another from the extended practice squad.

Per Florio, the players who are forced to go on IR after testing will not have their salaries affected, although it’s unknown still what will happen in the case where a player is unable to return to the active roster after those three weeks are up. The owners are reportedly set to meet to finish discussions on the matter later today.

Aside from this new development, there are still plenty of variables that neither the NFL or NFLPA exactly know how they’re going to get fleshed out. In a recent tweet, Texans star J.J. Watt created a list of things that the NFLPA does know after four separate calls with their members.
In the interest of having everyone on the same page in terms of what we know and don’t know at this time, here are a few things I’ve learned being on four NFLPA calls in the last two weeks with hundreds of other players.

Keep in mind our rookies are scheduled to report in 48 hrs pic.twitter.com/wAH1XyQenf
— JJ Watt (@JJWatt) July 16, 2020
In the end, like NFLPA J.C. Tretter pointed out in an open letter penned to fans, players don’t just want to return to work, they also want to stay there once they return. Knowing how the NFL plans to handle all potential scenarios regarding positive tests is the first step to reassuring the players and fans that they’ve got everything under control.

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