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TNF: Dolphins at Jaguars

Thursday Night Football: Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Two rebuilding Florida NFL franchises looking to kick their seasons into high gear take center stage in Week 3's "Thursday Night Football." The Miami Dolphins, still seeking their first win, face the 1-1 Jacksonville Jaguars as both teams seek relevance in an increasingly competitive AFC.

Miami looks to rebound after close losses against two divisional rivals and likely playoff teams (Buffalo, New England). In the season opener, quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick let the team down before Miami's defense fell apart in the fourth quarter of Week 2. Both sides of the ball need to have a complete game in order to beat the Jaguars Thursday night.

Jacksonville, meanwhile, has been surprisingly competitive, winning its opener against Indianapolis before falling short in a fourth-quarter comeback of their own. A last-second field goal by the Tennessee Titans was all that stopped them from ending a seven-game losing streak in Nashville and sitting undefeated atop the AFC South.

"These guys are going to continue to get better," Jaguars head coach Doug Marrone said after the loss. "I don't want to say growing pains because I really feel like those guys can do it."

Their latest chance to prove themselves comes Thursday night. Which part of Florida will tout NFL supremacy: North or South?

Miami at Jacksonville

Kickoff: Thursday, Sept. 24 at 8:20 p.m. ET
TV Channel: NFL Network
Spread: Jaguars -3

Three Things To Watch

1. Which quarterback will make the fewest mistakes?

Fitzpatrick has started the 2020 season flashing the inconsistency that's dogged him throughout his NFL career. A Week 1 disaster (no touchdowns, three interceptions) had fans calling for rookie Tua Tagovailoa right out of the gate. Then came last week's gem against the Bills: 328 passing yards, two touchdowns, no turnovers and gritty play keeping the Dolphins hanging around in their home opener. Third-year tight end Mike Gesicki continued his development as the go-to guy on offense, catching eight passes for 130 yards and a touchdown.

It's just hard to say which version of Fitz will show up Thursday night. He had back-to-back multiple touchdown games three times last season; this year, he's also got an improving offensive line (on pace for 24 fewer sacks). The Jaguars have also started the year 30th against the pass, although they picked off Philip Rivers, another quarterback prone to turnovers, twice in their Week 1 victory.

Gardner Minshew II has been far better two weeks into his first full-time season as the Jags' starter. His 115.7 quarterback rating ranks fourth in the AFC, and he's thrown for six touchdowns in two games. But two interceptions against the Titans proved costly, and Minshew is still finding his footing behind an offensive line that's allowed six sacks. Top wide receiver DJ Chark Jr., despite 84 yards in Week 2, is also nursing a chest injury and had limited participation in practice this week.

With two rebuilding teams, the formula is simple: Whichever one wins the turnover battle typically comes out on top. Taking care of the ball starts with the quarterback on both sides; my bet is Fitz struggles more but both are vulnerable to mistakes.

2. Can the Dolphins defense kick into high gear?

The Dolphins defense has stumbled out of the gate. They're last in the NFL, allowing 7.22 yards per play through two games and 30th overall with 440.5 yards allowed. One of their best players, cornerback Byron Jones, pulled his groin against the Bills Sunday and is likely out for Thursday barring some miracle healing.

Can the Jags offense take advantage? The Dolphins are allowing a league-worst 10.24 yards through the air. Chark, if he can muscle through his injury, averages 15.6 yards per catch. The deep ball could be on display as Minshew isn't afraid to take chances.

The run game for the Jags is also one to watch. Rookie James Robinson is making fans quickly forget about some former lead back named Leonard Fournette. A 102-yard game last week against the Titans is a foundation to build on against a Dolphins defense allowing 164.0 yards per game their first two weeks. Clearly, the defensive issues are what's holding Miami back in a year where they hoped to take a small step forward.

"There are opportunities for us to make plays and we haven't made them," Dolphins head coach Brian Flores told the Miami Herald this week. "There's never just one thing. I think we've had some opportunities that we need to take advantage of. We try to stress every play because you never know which one's going to shift the momentum."

As mentioned above, forcing Minshew and the Jags into turnovers is key. But the Dolphins have yet to intercept a pass in 2020 and will be further stretched to do so with Jones on the sidelines.

3. Can the crowd actually help the Jaguars?

Home-field advantage has been largely neutralized in the NFL this season due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Most NFL teams aren't allowing fans at their games through September; just a handful have long-term plans to let them in, period.

That's where the Jaguars are an important exception. Under Florida's rules, they're allowing fans in at up to 25 percent capacity, the largest percentage of any state with an NFL franchise. It'll put somewhere between 15,000 and 20,000 in the stands Thursday night, a reasonable size that's enough to let an opponent know they're there.

The question is what type of fans will actually show up for the game. In Week 1, a local Indianapolis paper estimated up to 40 percent of fans in the stadium for the Jags' home opener were rooting for the Colts instead. It's easier for Dolphins fans to travel in this in-state rivalry, and taking over the stadium could neutralize any home-field edge.

Final Analysis

These teams are a long way from being Super Bowl contenders. That said, it feels like the Jags are about a year ahead of the Dolphins in their long-term rebuilding project.

Expect a monster game from Minshew and a high-scoring offensive explosion on both sides. As long as he holds onto the ball, the Jags should win that one with ease.

Prediction: Jacksonville 38, Miami 27

LA Rams Safety, Jordan Fuller, Already Playing Like a Seasoned Veteran (Ramblin' Fan)

Despite his 199th spot out of the 2020 NFL Draft, LA Rams safety Jordan Fuller already playing like a seasoned veteran


Many expected the LA Rams to select a linebacker, offensive lineman, cornerback, or even a second wide receiver with the 199th selection of the 2020 NFL Draft. Instead, the team chose Ohio State safety Jordan Fuller. In that sixth-round selection, the LA Rams had already filled a perceived NFL caliber safety by choosing Utah’s Terrell Burgess with the 104th selection. This was the year that was unforgiving to rookies trying to earn playing time, and next to impossible for late-round rookies. And yet, here we are heading into week three, and there is rookie safety Jordan Fuller solidifying his grasp of the second starting safety role on defense.

Fuller seized the chance to play
Fuller seized the opportunity in training camp when starter and second-year safety Taylor Rapp tweaked his knee. That opened the door for both Burgess and Fuller to catch the coach’s attention. While Burgess made some solid plays, Fuller looked like an NFL Vet and that hasn’t changed through week two. Keep in mind that Fuller has faced the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles. While completely different offenses, Fuller was tasked quite a bit with stopping excellent featured running backs while also providing pass coverage against some of the best receivers in the NFL. So far, he’s been holding his own. In fact, he’s been showing up big.


Key cog to Staley-styled defense
Fuller is not just an orange pylon in the defensive secondary. Defensive coordinator Brandon Staley needs a specific type of player in the Rams secondary. Fuller is one such custom-fit player. He is a huge-bodied defender who is one of the key defensive cogs that makes the Staley secondary purr like a high-performance engine. He is 6-foot-2 and 203-pounds. So far, he’s missed just one of 143 defensive snaps. So how is he playing?


He’s second on the team with 17 tackles. While opposing quarterbacks have completed four of five passes targeting him, he has held the average yards-after-catch to a very impressive 4.75 YPC.

Fuller keeps getting better

Staley has designed a very confusing and deceptive defense. That deception needs players who can not only play pass and run defense but can sell the deception to fool opposing quarterbacks. Check out this analysis by Bleeding Green’s analyst Benjamin Solak, and how even in the analysis the Rams safeties are very deceptive.

We have already featured Jordan Fuller in a recent article after his game one performance. That reinforced our post-draft feature on the young safety. While we are by no means touting Fuller as a completely finished product, he’s certainly starting from a good point to have a very successful NFL career. For his first two games, he’s had a good beginning to something special. Let’s hope it continues along the same trajectory.


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Big Whit appreciation

I know some don't like PFF for whatever reason, but their metrics grade out individual performance regardless of the result of the play. Through 2 weeks Big Whit is ballin out and the highest graded OL in the league.

Login to view embedded media View: https://twitter.com/PFF/status/1308980231487860737?s=19

He's the best FA signing we've had in forever, the best leader a team could have, and age seems to only be a number for him. Much love to the big fella (y)

The old "boot to TE across the middle?"

Not so fast Eagles. I love this wrinkle McVay has added on his boot action, where he uses Higs as a decoy and the ball is instead dished to Kupp. Maybe he stole it, maybe we've run and I missed it, who knows, but gotta say it's pretty cool...

Situation
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Pre-snap the Rams are on the right hash.
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At the fake we see the boot action. That's Kupp blocking down on the end of the line. Higs is drawing 21 edge of the screen and the other ILB is coming for Goff.
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The ILB at mid-screen is about to be drawn by Higs too, which tells me teams are well aware of the naked-boot-to-Higs thing. Meanwhile we see Kupp slowing down and sneaking a look at the middle of the field. Lastly note Goff's eye control. He is watching Higs and feeding that shit.
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A beat later Goff knows the ball is going to Kupp but still isn't showing it. Jefferson upper left has a corner with outside leverage next to him we can't see from this vantage so he's covered. Woody is open but wouldn't get much since he'd be run into the safety. And look at that other ILB (near Kupp) running for Higs lol.
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Goff looks and starts his throw in the same motion. The ILB is still close to Kupp but he's out of the play already.
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As Kupp turns with the ball get a load of all that green.
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19 yard gain in a drive that will end with a TD.
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Troy Hill has allowed all 12 throws in his direction to be completed so far

Troy Hill has allowed all 12 throws in his direction to be completed so far

On the defense’s final play of last week’s win against the Eagles, Troy Hill made an impressive diving interception on an overthrow by Carson Wentz. The ball was not thrown “at” Hill, but because it was too high for the intended receiver to catch it, the important object was acquired by a surprise recipient. Two games into the season, Troy Hill has an interception.

He may also have already allowed nearly half as many completions as he did in all of 2019.
According to Pro-Football-Reference, both Wentz and Dak Prescott in Week 1 went 6-of-6 when throwing in Hill’s direction. Prescott gained 80 yards on those throws with an average depth of target of 8.2 yards, while Wentz didn’t go as deep and gained 55 yards with an ADOT of 5.5. In 14 games last season, Hill’s numbers were 26 completions allowed on 57 targets for 330 yards gained.

Hill only allowed two touchdowns by their numbers and with two interceptions added in, the “passer rating allowed” by the Rams sixth year cornerback was 61.3.

This season, those two quarterbacks have gone 12-of-12 for 135 yards and no touchdowns. The passer rating allowed is 78.8 but that’s only because PFR is including the interception that they aren’t including when they say QBs went 12-of-12. So the interception actually shouldn’t be there and in reality that passer rating allowed is 113.5.
What situations did these completions come in against Philadelphia?
  • 1st-and-10, 14 yards to Jalen Reagor*
  • 1st-and-10, 8 yards to Reagor
  • 3rd-and-4, 9 yards to DeSean Jackson*
  • 3rd-and-6, 9 yards to Jackson*
  • 1st-amd-10, 3 yards to Reagor
  • 3rd-and-10, 8 yards to Jackson
*First Down
That’s three first downs, two of which came on third down on a drive that ended with Darious Williams intercepting Wentz in the end zone.
Against the Cowboys, I could only track down these three:
It would seem that Hill has become a popular target, six throws per game. That would come out to 96 targets on the season, significantly more than Hill faced in 2019. With Jalen Ramsey on the field, Hill has to become the main point of focus for offensive coordinators, especially if Williams continues to shine.

This season, Darious Williams has allowed five completions on nine targets, allowing 68 yards, 55 of which have come in the air. Both players had impressive displays of athleticism on their interceptions, but Williams appeared to make his play happen by force of will and reading Wentz, who said after the game:
“I got pretty aggressive and tried to force one in there,” Wentz said. “[Williams] made a great play. I have to be smarter in that situation.”

If Ramsey and Williams become a fearsome cornerback duo — “become” being a loose usage of the word given how effective they’ve been since December of 2019 — then offenses will need look elsewhere. So far that elsewhere has been Hill and so far the results have worked out better for the quarterbacks than it has for the cornerback.

Facing a Bills team with Stefon Diggs, John Brown and Cole Beasley at receiver, plus some of the best depth in the league with Isaiah McKenzie and Gabe Davis, the Rams will need a full complement of competence at corner this Sunday.


Just re-watched the Eagle game...

On Offense

McVay (maybe with a little help from O’Connell) is gameplanning and playcalling at a genius level. Eagles were beyond confused right from the jump.

And McVay has assembled a top notch group of position coaches beyond his OC and his DC. Just look at how QB, RB, OL, TE, WR, DL, ILB, CB, and S are performing. Those position groups are evidence of some mighty fine coaching. I look for a few to be poached via promotion come next offseason.

Goff seems ‘different’ this year, and I mean that in the most positive of ways. He now seems to have ‘it’. I give a ton of credit to O’Connell for work on fundamentals and on reading D’s.

We’ll be fine at RB this year. Gonna be a rotation that may vary game to game, but it will be an effective one.

Watched LG pretty extensively. I thought Boom played well and the Rams were moving the ball at will with him in there. But Edwards was the better blocker. He sustains his blocks longer and he has better balance. There is no ‘wrong choice’ for starting LG. Nice ‘problem’ to have, huh?

Rest of OL, both TE’s, and all 4 WR’s looked terrific. This looks like a top 5 O for this year, maybe even better.

On Defense

Where is the pressure? Specifically, where is the pressure from the edge? I had read that Staley wanted them to contain first and pressure second. But after re-watching I got the impression that the players just weren’t capable of bringing a decent pass rush. This is our Achilles heel on D.

I will say that Eagles weren’t running outside much, but they seemed to be gouging the Rams up the middle.

Okay, Kiser has officially blown me away. I had thought that he would be a pleasant 2 down run stopper, but I never dreamed that he would be capable of such a monster game, including coverage and timely tipped passes in 2 straight games. The guy was always around the ball, it seemed. Did I mention his 16 tackles in this game? Not a misprint. Cory who? Lol.

I don’t have the words to properly compliment our CB’s and Safeties. They’re making plays everywhere and they haven’t fully gelled even yet. Starting caliber players 7-8 deep. Maybe 9 deep.

On ST

Is Bonamego behind the Kupp-as-fair-catcher policy? Is Sloman the best we can do at PK? At this point I’ve gotta say that both need to win me over. Not impressed with either.

Some very interesting player stat comparisons between former Rams and their replacements.

Through just 2 games, of course, but still...

Leonard Floyd. 5 total tackles, 3 solo, 2 asst, 1 sack [www.espn.com]
Dante Fowler. 6 total tackles, 2 solo, 4 asst, 1 sack, 1 FF. [www.espn.com]

Micah Kiser. 23 total tackles, 17 solo, 6 asst, 1 FF, 3 pass defended. [www.espn.com]
Cory Littleton. 9 total tackles, 5 solo, 4 asst. [www.espn.com]

Josh Reynolds. 3 receptions on 3 targets, 50 yards, 16.7 average, 3 FD. [www.espn.com]
Van Jefferson. 5 receptions on 8 targets, 76 yards, 15.2 average, 3 FD. [www.espn.com]
Brandin Cooks. 7 receptions on 13 targets, 115 yards, 16.4 average. [www.espn.com]

I don’t need to research the stats for our Brown/Akers/Henderson trio vs Todd Gurley, do I?

When looking at the above comparisons at those 4 positions that many pundits feared would be huge net Ram losses, it seems clear that not only have the 4 former vets been replaced, but they have been improved upon.

Yeah, it’s only 2 games so far, but that’s the only data that we can go on.

Kudos to the Ram FO, coaches, and especially the players. Also, clearly the Rams brain trust correctly analyzed their position situations at OL, RB, edge, WR, and ILB then made the correct picks in the draft (without a 1st, mind you) and in FA.

Good times to be a Ram fan, don’t you think?

My prediction for the season

The Rams should win in Buffalo on Sunday. After they do they will IMO go undefeated into the bye week at 8-0. Coming out of the bye week their toughest games will be Seattle and New England. When I looked at this schedule before the season began I could see them going no worse than 13-3. I can see a split with Seattle and a very tough game vs the Pats. The Ram D should be able to handle the Pat's offense. But the Pat's D remains very good, perhaps the best the Rams will face all year. This is why IMO it will be a low scoring game and it could come down to Sloman winning or losing it. This why I think 14-2 is very likely.

I see the Rams winning the division and eventually facing the Packers in the NFC Championship game. That game could be a total shootout with again Sloman's kicks could be decisive one way or the other. Also, it might be outdoor in GB in bad weather which is why I really wanted Lirim. Sloman can't make kicks in good weather and indoors.....

If they survive Sloman, who IMO is the biggest wild card in the season for the Rams I see them facing either Baltimore or KC in the SB. Baltimore has the better defense so I think it will be them that makes it that far. But Mahomes and Wilson can manufacture wins so it will be interesting to see how it shakes out.

Best movies soundtracks.

New topic. Best movie soundtracks. I don't want to see things like "Bohemian Rhapsody" or "Rocketman". But soundtracks that compile songs multiple groups.

My first two.


Guardians of the Galaxy. Starlords mother had great taste in music.

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And second. Top Gun. Love it or hate, it's a great example of music from the 80's.

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Best Rock Group Concerts.......

btw Been to a ton of concerts,so just going to do a top ten and I favor the guys/band that can play...

Pink Floyd, they're the most complete band I ever saw.over and over..

Saw the Who around 76 in Miami Baseball Stadium in the rain and mud.want to talk about a band playing hard and BTW Moon was the Best Drummer EVER.

Mahogany Rush never ever heard a 3 piece band play the way they did, see Tom Sawyer lol..

ZZ Top and the 10 thousand watt tour with all those gosh darn animals on stage...

Blue Oyster Cult, had a girl that to this day is very special to my heart, But the smoke the Godzilla was awesome...

Ozzie saw like 5 of his concerts , always had a great band, and I think I've always been on the crazy train.........Randy Rhodes was off the Charts..

Saw Skynyrd many many times what a heck of a band..Saw them Sept 23 rd before they passed...

Clapton that dude could play, but he just sat down lol..

Saw the 1st Van Helen they only played like 12 songs and they were the opening act, But Eddie you could tell he was a star.

Last but not least Neil Young playing at bi cenntinial park, his playing of Hurricane was off the charts...........

Power rankings week 2

Average spot 9th.

USAtoday

13. Rams (14): Since Sean McVay became the coach in 2017, L.A. has won all five of its 1 p.m. ET kickoffs and scored at least 30 points every time. Rams will be in Buffalo on Sunday hoping to extend that streak to 6-0.

uh ok at some of the teams in front of us... this a joke of a list.

ESPN

7. Los Angeles Rams (2-0)
Week 2 ranking: 10
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Under-the-radar fantasy standout: TE Tyler Higbee

Higbee finished 2019 on a hot streak, accumulating 522 receiving yards over the final five games, though he wasn't necessarily a go-to end zone target for Jared Goff, catching only two touchdown passes in that span. But after the Rams dominated the Eagles thanks to three touchdown receptions by Higbee -- equaling his total touchdowns from the entire 2019 season -- look for Goff to find the 6-foot-6, 255-pound tight end near the goal line more often. -- Lindsey Thiry


Sports Illustrated

10. Los Angeles Rams (2-0)
Last week: Win at Philadelphia 37-19
Next week: at Buffalo

Sean McVay’s offense is evolving to again puzzle the defenses that rose up to stop him in 2019. If Jared Goff gets comfortable enough to go vertical consistently, the NFC West will solidify itself as the toughest division in football.


NBC Sports

11th

Previous rank: 16

The Rams keep writing big fat checks like the salary cap doesn’t exist. That’s a problem for the future. At present, the happy (and rich) Rams players are kicking butt. They’re the surprise of the early season.

Thanks for the useless commentary NBC

Sportingnews

7. Los Angeles Rams 2-0 (10)

The Rams can run the ball with anyone again and keep taking pressure of Jared Goff with a friendlier passing game. They also have seen their defensive scheming shakeup work really well to complement their superstars, Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey.


CBS Sports

8team logo
RAMS
Sean McVay has this team rolling after two games. Maybe all those coaching changes were really important, like he said. Jared Goff is off to a good start.


Yahoo

7. Los Angeles Rams (2-0, LW: 11)

Sean McVay did a great job self-scouting in the offseason. The Rams’ offensive revival has been due to many factors, including the use of faster tempo, spreading the ball around, less predictability in personnel groupings and also committing to making late 2019 breakout Tyler Higbee a focal point of the offense. There’s a reason McVay is so highly respected.

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