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MNF - Raiders at Browns / Vikings at Bears

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns​

A pair of NFL teams trying to help their playoff chances will match up against each other when Cleveland hosts Las Vegas on Tuesday. Originally scheduled for Saturday, this game was one of three moved by the NFL due to league-wide COVID-19 concerns.

The Raiders have won three straight against the Browns, including their last meeting, a 16-6 road victory in Week 8 last season. The two squads combined for five field goals in that game with a Derek Carr-to-Hunter Renfrow connection in the fourth quarter the only touchdown. The weather was not great for that early November game at FirstEnergy Stadium, but it should not be as much of a factor for this one.

Las Vegas (6-7) enters this game badly needing a win, something the Raiders have done just once since their Week 5 bye. Last week was particularly ugly, letting Kansas City score on a fumble return on the first play of the game before going on to lose 48-9 on the road. The offense has been stagnant, scoring 17 points or fewer in five of the last six games. Tight end Darren Waller's absence has been significant during this skid. And the defense hasn't been able to pick up the slack, surrendering 32 or more points in four of the last five contests.

Meanwhile, the Browns (7-6) enter this game with momentum following last week's 24-22 win over AFC North-leading Baltimore. Cleveland nearly let this game slip away, as the Ravens rallied behind backup quarterback Tyler Huntley after Lamar Jackson left with an ankle injury, but the Browns' defense held strong after Baltimore recovered an onside kick down by just two with 1:17 left. Baker Mayfield tossed a pair of touchdown passes, and the defense bent (389 yards allowed) but certainly didn't break (four sacks, two turnovers) in picking up the big victory.

Las Vegas (6-7) at Cleveland (7-6)

Kickoff: Monday, Dec. 20 at 5 p.m. ET
TV: NFL Network
Spread: Browns -3

Three Things to Watch

1. Who is available?

The Browns' roster issues due to a COVID-19 outbreak are the main reason this game was moved. As of Friday afternoon when the schedule change was announced, Cleveland had 20 members of the active roster on the Reserve/COVID-19 list, and head coach Kevin Stefanski also tested positive. The laundry list included both Baker Mayfield and Case Keenum, which leaves Nick Mullens in line to start at quarterback.

Mullens, who started 16 games (5-11) over three seasons (2018-20) for San Francisco, was just elevated from the practice squad. The Browns also signed Kyle Lauletta from Jacksonville's practice squad to their active roster. Given the quarterback situation, even more pressure will fall on a running game that will be led by Nick Chubb but will have D'Ernest Johnson in reserve with Kareem Hunt already ruled out because of an ankle injury suffered last week (and he went on the COVID list on Friday).

Besides the quarterbacks, 11 defensive players also are on the COVID list, a group that includes five defensive backs and three linemen. Not to be left out, punter Jamie Gillan is on there too. On top of this, cornerback Greg Newsome II (concussion) has been ruled out, and tackle Malik Jackson (knee) is questionable. It truly is an "all hands on deck" situation for Cleveland.

2. Running game

Because of its quarterback situation, Cleveland may look to stay grounded on offense. It helps that Las Vegas comes into this game ranked 26th in the NFL at 125.3 rushing yards allowed per game. Chubb has had a hard time finding much traction on the ground recently, as he's totaled just 75 yards in his last two games (both against Baltimore), so this could be the opportunity for him to break out a bit. Although he may have to do so running behind what could be a makeshift offensive line. On the other side, the Browns are 11th in the NFL in rushing defense (106.2 ypg), but that number has ballooned to 144.7 over the last three contests (at Patriots, vs. Lions, at Ravens). But the Raiders have just one 100-yard rushing game from any player this season (Peyton Barber, 111 vs. Miami in Week 3), and it's hard to see that changing considering Josh Jacobs is averaging just 3.7 yards per carry and is coming off of a 24-yard effort in last Sunday's blowout against the Chiefs.

3. Carr can't do it all by himself

Derek Carr has played well this season with just one game where he's thrown multiple interceptions. But he also has totaled just 18 touchdown passes through 13 contests (vs. 10 INTs) and has just three scoring strikes over the last four games. Not surprisingly, the Raiders have scored 15 or fewer points in three of those, which were all losses. Carr is definitely missing Waller, who suffered a knee injury in the Week 12 win on Thanksgiving in Dallas, but also running back Kenyan Drake (broke his ankle in Week 12 and is done for the season), who was a weapon as a receiver out of the backfield. Hunter Renfrow has been fantastic and he's currently tied for fifth in the NFL with 86 receptions, but Carr needs more help from other pass catchers. Bryan Edwards has shown flashes of brilliance, but consistency has been an issue. And DeSean Jackson is averaging 29 yards per reception since joining the team, but he's caught a total of six passes in five games. Against a potentially depleted Cleveland secondary, it could be now or never for someone not named Renfrow to step up.

Final Analysis

Between the Browns' COVID issues and the scheduling change, there is so much uncertainty now surrounding this game. Not surprisingly, the line totally shifted from Cleveland earlier in the week but it could go back to the home team now that the game itself has been pushed back. It's really difficult to get a sense of what shape the Browns' depth chart will be in by Tuesday night but what hasn't changed are Las Vegas' season-long defensive issues or the fact that this offense doesn't scare anyone right now. Unless Cleveland's roster situation gets worse than it is now, the Browns should have enough manpower (looking at you Myles Garrett) to get the job done at home despite the unusual circumstances.

Prediction: Browns 20, Raiders 13


Monday Night Football: Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears​

The two teams in the middle of the NFC North standings will duke it out under the bright lights of "Monday Night Football" when the Chicago Bears welcome the Minnesota Vikings to Soldier Field. The Vikings (6-7) are among a group of five teams tied record-wise for the final NFC wild-card spot, but are currently behind Washington due to a tiebreaker (best win percentage in conference games). Meanwhile, the Bears (4-9) have lost seven of their last eight games and simply need a win to boost team morale.

Chicago has a chance to play spoiler to a division rival's playoff hopes, but the Bears are dealing with a bunch of injuries, have more than a dozen players on the Reserve/COVID-19 list, and all three coordinators are in protocols as well. Remember, three other games have already been rescheduled this week because of a league-wide COVID outbreak.

Monday Night Football: Minnesota (6-7) at Chicago (4-9)

Kickoff: Monday, Dec. 20 at 8:15 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Spread: Vikings -3.5

Three Things to Watch

1. Gaining momentum from a loss?

Even though the Bears lost handily, 45-30, in Green Bay last Sunday night, they were actually several positives to take from their effort. First, they scored a season-high 30 points against the team that's currently the No. 1 seed in the NFC, and even led 27-21 at halftime. Justin Fields and Jakeem Grant Sr. were among the individual standout performers.

In his first game back since injuring his ribs in Week 11 against Baltimore, Fields posted 224 passing yards with a pair of long touchdowns and also led all players in rushing with 74 yards on nine carries. He did turn the ball over three times (two interceptions) and was sacked two times, but his playmaking ability was why Chicago led this game at halftime. Fields' two scoring strikes were from 54 and 46 yards. Grant, who was acquired in a trade with Miami in October, was on the other end of the longer one and he also returned a punt 97 yards for a touchdown, the longest in Bears history.

The defense held the Packers scoreless through the first quarter but Aaron Rodgers and company got things going, and dominated the second half, outscoring the visitors 24-3. Chicago's defense was already shorthanded with no Khalil Mack or Akiem Hicks and linebacker Roquan Smith also aggravated his hamstring injury, so his status for Monday is something to keep an eye on.

After a productive first half, Fields and the offense couldn't manage much on their drives, producing 80 yards over the final two quarters combined. Fields also threw a pick-six in the latter part of the second quarter that gave Green Bay its first lead, 14-10. Despite the miscues, Fields' playmaking ability (12.4 yards per completion, 8.2 yards per carry) was certainly encouraging, as were the two long scoring plays.

Fields and company should get their chances to score some points against a Minnesota defense that is giving up 382 yards per game (29th in the NFL) and has been susceptible to both the pass (251.9 ypg, 25th) and run (129.5 ypg, 24th). The Vikings also are giving up 26 points per contest (22nd). Minnesota has the league's most productive pass rush (41 sacks), but Fields' mobility may help offset that. David Montgomery also is someone the Vikings' D will have to contend with, as the Bears are seventh in the league in rushing at 126 yards per game.

The bigger concern for Chicago is with a defense that wore down drastically last week against the Packers and will not be anywhere close to full strength on Monday night. Seven defenders were on the Reserve/COVID-19 list as of Saturday and five more were on Friday's injury report. Hicks appears on track to return, but three defensive linemen, including Eddie Goldman and Mario Edwards Jr., and three defensive backs, including safety Eddie Jackson, are in COVID protocols, and Smith continues to be deal with his hamstring injury.

All able-bodied Bear defenders will be needed to try and slow down Minnesota's Dalvin Cook, who is third in the league with 978 rushing yards after gashing Pittsburgh for 205 yards (with two TDs) last Thursday night, despite playing with an injured shoulder. Kirk Cousins is putting up another solid season with 3,569 passing yards (sixth), 27 touchdowns (tied for sixth), and only five interceptions, but pass protection will be key since he's nowhere near as mobile as Fields. Chicago is tied for fourth in the NFL with 36 sacks while Cousins has gone down 18 times. Overall, the Vikings are averaging around 390 yards and 27 points per game, meaning this would be a challenge for the Bears D even if it was whole. And it certainly won't be that on Monday night.

2. Vikings' roller-coaster season

Minnesota's season can best be summed up like this. All but one of the Vikings' games has been decided by one score. Considering they are 5-7 in these contests, you can understand why the fan base is frustrated.

Take last week, for example. Although the Vikings won 36-28 over Pittsburgh at home, they led this game 23-0 at halftime and were up 29-0 late in the third quarter. And don't forget that the week before, Minnesota fought back from a 14-point halftime deficit against Detroit to take a 27-23 lead with less than two minutes remaining. But the defense couldn't stop the Lions from driving the length of the field, as Jared Goff's 11-yard touchdown pass as time expired gave his team their first win and only win of the season thus far.

But there's more. In Week 12, a 14-14 halftime tie on the road against San Francisco turned into an eventual 34-26 49ers win as the offense turned the ball over on downs twice late in the fourth quarter. And this was preceded by a back-and-forth affair with Green Bay at home that saw Aaron Rodgers tie the game at 31 with a 75-yard touchdown pass with a little more than two minutes left. This time, Cousins and company didn't blink, driving 64 yards in eight plays to set up the game-winning 29-yard field goal from Greg Joseph on the final play.

And that's just the most recent four-game stretch. Earlier this season there was the Week 1 overtime loss to Cincinnati, a last-second field goal miss that cost Minnesota a win on the road against Arizona, and an equally painful overtime loss at Baltimore in Week 9 that saw the Vikings blow a 14-point third-quarter lead, then send the game into the extra period with a late touchdown, only to lose on a late field goal.

Minnesota has walked a fine line this season and right now finds itself on the outside looking in at a playoff spot because of this. If the Vikings want to stick around in the hunt, they will have to do a better job of protecting leads when they get them. A loss on Monday night, even on the road to the Bears, could be the proverbial nail in the coffin for the team... and its head coach.

3. Coaches on the hot seat

Speaking of Mike Zimmer, both he and his counterpart, Matt Nagy, have been hot topics in recent weeks, and not in a good way. The job security for both head coaches can be described as tenuous as best. Depending on who you listen to, it's only a matter of when and not if Nagy is fired, and it's something Bears fans definitely want to see as they are fed up with his struggles with game planning, play-calling, decision making, and the seemingly never-ending struggles at the quarterback position.

It hasn't helped that the defense has regressed since the departure of former defensive coordinator Vic Fangio. And to be fair, general manager Ryan Pace is under just as much scrutiny so wholesale changes may be on the way for this franchise.

Meanwhile, Vikings fans are likewise fed up with Zimmer for a variety of reasons. A defensive-minded coach, Minnesota's defense has been trending in the wrong direction in recent seasons. When he first took over in 2014, the Vikings finished in the top 10 in the league in total defense three times, but the last one came in 2018. They currently rank near the bottom in three of the four major categories.

The offense also has been inconsistent, although plenty would like to assign the majority of the blame for that on Cousins. Minnesota is 70-54-1 under Zimmer with three playoff appearances. The last one was in 2018 and the Vikings are 13-16 since. The team's Jekyll and Hyde nature and late-game misadventures this season have certainly not helped Zimmer's case and it's worth wondering if it's time for a change in leadership.

Minnesota is still very much alive for a playoff spot so Zimmer still has a tangible opportunity to prove he's the right man for this job. Nagy, on the other hand, may just be coaching out the string if some of the reports that have come out are true. Either way, it appears that both fan bases are more than ready to move on.

Final Analysis

Chicago has won five of the last six games in its rivalry with Minnesota, but the Vikings have all of the momentum entering Monday's night meeting. The Bears have lost seven of eight games with their only victory in this stretch coming against lowly Detroit. However, the only team the Lions have defeated so far this season is Minnesota, which they did two weeks ago.

But that anomaly aside, the Vikings enter this game in much better shape roster-wise, as the Bears are dealing with a rash of injuries and also have a bunch of players (and coaches) on the Reserve/COVID-19 list. Simply put, Chicago doesn't have enough manpower to outlast Minnesota over four quarters.

Prediction: Vikings 27, Bears 20

American Underdog

I was reading an interview with Kurt about the movie and reporter says: “The Rams teams were great, but I think what you did with the Cardinals is even more impressive. Yet none of that story is in the film.” Kurt says something about not being able to get everything into a movie, some things have to get left out. But what struck me was the idea that his run with the Cards was more impressive.
Maybe I’m a homer but as historically bad as the rams were and to have a guy with almost no nfl experience take over in training camp and win the SB seems so unbelievable no one would ever make that movie if it weren’t true. However by the time Warner got to Arizona he had played in the biggest games in the sport and won every award, it was just a question of whether he could still do it. Getting back to the SB with the cards was impressive but getting there with the Rams was unthinkable.

Status of the rookie QB’s

I haven’t really seen much of this year’s rookie QB’s.

What do you guys see so far?

Anyone getting local area coverage/insight on the rookie QB’s?

This article is 3 weeks old;

NFL rookie quarterback rankings: Patriots’ Mac Jones at head of class​

It’s that most wonderful time of the year: Where we start to get a real sense of where would-be rookie saviors are at once they’ve played some real, actual games.

The five quarterbacks selected in the first round of last year’s draft were, as ever, the point of much debate. Let’s check in on where they’re at 11 and a bit weeks into their careers.

Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing yards: 2,141, TDs: 8, INTs: 9, Rushing yards: 192, Rushing TDs: 2, Passer rating: 72.8

It’s hard to think of a non-David Carr rookie that has been handed a tougher situation than Trevor Lawrence. He has been asked to breathe life into a barren roster. For much of the year, his number one skill weapon has been a lifelong special teams ace, Jamal Agnew, who now finds himself on injured reserves. Add to that: His head coach, Urban Meyer, has looked in over his head since he made the jump from college to the pro-game.

That incompetence has flown throughout the organization. Not to get too far in the weeds, but the Jaguars are running route concepts and combinations that simply cannot work at the NFL level, in terms of the intricacies of the timing of play-action and the route spacing. Newsflash: Everything in the NFL happens quicker than in college.

Yet even under those circumstances, Lawrence has flashed. He consistently delivers two-to-three special throws a game. He has steadily improved over the course of the season, playing less hero ball and getting the ball out quicker due to the, umm, surrounding talent. He is good. He can be great if the Jaguars sort out everything around him.

Grade: B — Flashes of excellence. Sabotaged by the organization.

Zach Wilson, New York Jets

Passing yards: 1,168, TDs: 4, INTs: 9, Rushing yards: 22, Rushing TDs: 0, Passer rating: 63.5

Where to begin? Do you begin with the fact that Wilson has looked largely lost throughout his rookie season before he’s even let the ball go? Do you begin with the fact that once Wilson has let the ball go, he has been the most inaccurate, least effective passer in the sport?

The data nerds keep track of a delightful figure known as the EPA+CPOE Composite. It sounds complex but stick with it. The composite takes the Completion Percentage Over Expected metric that is spat by the NFL’s Next Gen tracking data (the chips in the player’s shoulder pads) and pairs it with Expected Points Added per Play. In essence: How valuable was a play and how much was the quarterback responsible for that value. It is probably the best single metric for isolating a quarterback’s value.

Wilson is last among eligible quarterbacks in the composite this season. In fact, he’s the only quarterback in the last five years to score a negative mark, a feat matched by only 20 other quarterbacks over the span of the past 15 years. Since 2006, as far back as such things have been tracked, only 12 quarterbacks have fared worse than Wilson has this season. Some of the luminaries comfortably ahead of Wilson include: Tim Tebow, Johnny Manziel, Brandon Weeden, and Gus Frerotte. That last name is not made up.

The Jets wanted to chuck Wilson in at the deep end. It’s why they didn’t originally sign a veteran backup. They knew the supporting cast wasn’t great. They knew that Wilson was not the finished article, that he had a long way to go to move from a freelancing slinger into a professional quarterback. They bet that on-the-job training was the best solution. That, clearly, was a whiff.

Grade: D — There is a long, long way to go.

Trey Lance, San Francisco 49ers

Passing yards: 354, TDs: 3, INTs: 1, Rushing yards: 137, Rushing TDs: 1, Passer rating: 88.4

Lance was drafted to help elevate the Kyle Shanahan offense to the next level. Defenses were starting to adapt, taking away some of the Shanahan-McVay-LaFleur stylings that had run through the league for the better part of four seasons.

So far? Who knows. Lance has played only when Jimmy Garoppolo has been hurt. And when he has, he’s often looked lost, confused, and inaccurate, the holy triumvirate of messy quarterback play.

Some players develop brick by brick, using one skill to unlock or elevate another. Perhaps one day it will all click for Lance – players, after all, develop at their own pace, and it’s not always linear. The fact he has not played at all ahead of Garoppolo, who is fifty shades of quarterbacking beige, is a concern. The history of QBs who sit out their first year in the modern game is fairly brutal. Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers are cited as examples, but they are the outliers. Modern history suggests if your rookie sits for the whole season, it’s because they stink – at some point, it means they could not beat out a quarterback that was already on the roster, one the organization was not sold on long-term, or else they wouldn’t have drafted the rookie to begin with.

Still, Lance came into the league under unique circumstances. He missed his final year of college due to Covid, playing in only a single game. Taking the step up from the second division of college football to the NFL is a steep climb even in the best of circumstances. For Lance, it was always going to take a little more time.

Grade: C — Incomplete.

Justin Fields, Chicago Bears

Passing yards: 1,361, TDs: 4, INTs: 8, Rushing yards: 311, Rushing TDs: 2, Passer rating: 69.0

It took far too long for Fields to be named the starter in Chicago. But since he has – and prior to his recent injury – he has steadily developed with each passing week. His down-the-field throwing has always been a major plus; his athleticism, obvious. And yet he has blended the two to become more of an on-the-fly, let’s-have-fun creator than in his college days.

At Ohio State, with receivers wide-open all over the place, he was a symphony of efficiency. With a ragged roster and muddled coaching, he has been forced to unveil his inner playmaker with the Bears.

From here on out, Chicago’s best hope is that Fields continues to deliver one-off, special moments, the kind of individual moments that could convince a coaching candidate to turn down other gigs in order to take on the Bears forthcoming rebuild. Fields has shown the kind of talent that could convince a coaching candidate to pick him, as an individual, ahead of any other open job, even if the foundational pieces are stronger elsewhere.

Grade: B+ — As expected. Room to improve.

Mac Jones, New England Patriots

Passing yards: 2,540, TDs: 14, INTs: 8, Rushing yards: 60, Rushing TDs: 0, Passer rating: 94.7

Jones was given an almighty task when he first rolled up in New England. They dusted off a vintage 2011 playbook, handed it to the rookie, and let him know that he had to digest it all by week one. Good luck.

The Patriots were willing to forgo some short-term pain for the long-term gain, banking on the idea that Jones could grow in increments over the span of the season. After an up-and-down start, things have started to click for Jones. With a feisty defense and a bulldozing run-game, Jones’ job is simply to keep things on script, to make sure the offense gets into the best possible play, to get the ball out in rhythm, to play efficiently, and to not turn it over. If Jones does that, the rest of the roster and his coaching staff can carry the team to wins. The Patriots haven’t won seven games because of Jones, but neither has he been the deciding factor in them losing four games.

The Patriots are rolling at the moment. Jones has become incredibly daring as he gets comfortable with the expansive system. Other rookies have added pieces methodically. The Patriots dumped it all on Jones early, hoping it would pay dividends by the midpoint of the season if he and the team could hang in there through the growing pains. It worked. Jones looks every bit the part of the veteran, game-manager that inspires a burning in Bill Belichick’s football loins.

Jones might never reach the playmaking heights of a Lawrence or Fields, but the Patriots don’t care. He plays complementary football, and that’s helping the team contented in a wonky AFC.

Grade: A — Couldn’t be going much better.

SNF - Saints at Buccaneers

Sunday Night Football: New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers​

The Buccaneers have a chance to clinch the NFC South on "Sunday Night Football," but they'll have to do something they have yet to do since Tom Brady came to town: beat the Saints in the regular season.

Tampa Bay may have beaten the Saints in the playoffs last season en route to winning the Super Bowl, but New Orleans has won all three regular-season matchups by a combined 55 points.

Perhaps this game is coming at the right time for the Saints, who last week won their first game since upsetting the Buccaneers on Halloween. Taysom Hill, despite his injured finger, and Alvin Kamara, back after missing the four previous games, trampled the Jets. They combined for 38 carries, 193 yards, and three touchdowns.

Meanwhile, Tampa Bay appeared to be cruising with an easy victory by halftime at home against the Bills, leading 24-3. Buffalo responded by scoring the same margin in the second half. In overtime, the Buccaneers forced the Bills to punt then Tom Brady completed a 58-yard pass to Breshad Perriman for the game-clenching score.

The Saints lead the series with the Buccaneers, 38-22, and they even hold a 17-9 edge in Tampa Bay. New Orleans' recent dominant stretches even beyond Brady's entrance into this rivalry, as it has won six of the last seven meetings. However, they'll have to play on Sunday night without head coach Asshole Face, who tested positive for COVID-19 on Friday.

Sunday Night Football: New Orleans (6-7) at Tampa Bay (10-3)

Kickoff: Sunday, Dec. 19 at 8:20 p.m. ET
TV: NBC
Spread: Buccaneers -11

Three Things to Watch

1. The turnover margin

The Saints' record has depended noticeably on how much they have protected the ball and taken it away from opponents. They have lost four of the five contests in which they committed more turnovers than their foes.

A depleted team like New Orleans must win the turnover margin in order to defeat a more talented squad like Tampa Bay. When the Saints have won the turnover differential by two or more, they have succeeded against three current divisional leaders. Those results include taking the ball away three times without giving it away against the Packers, Patriots, and Buccaneers.

The turnover margin also factored into last season's matchup between Tampa Bay and New Orleans. The Buccaneers gave away the ball three times in both regular-season contests, leading to Saints victories. Meanwhile, the Saints committed no turnovers in the first meeting and only two in the second. However, in their playoff matchup, the Saints turned over the ball four times while the Bucs never did, leading to Tampa Bay's victory.

2. Alvin Kamara vs. Buccaneers' rushing defense

Kamara returned to New Orleans' starting lineup against the Jets, and he immediately demonstrated how much he was missed. His 27 carries for 120 yards exceeded the combined total for the rest of team in both categories. That output equaled his highest single-game rushing total this season, and he led the team in receptions.

Kamara has been driving the Saints' offense this season. He has accounted for 650 yards on the ground, more than twice anyone else on the roster, and four touchdowns. He has also caught the most passes (36), is third in receiving yards (335), and is second on the team in touchdown catches. Those are remarkable statistics considering he has missed four games.

The Buccaneers will serve as stiffer obstacles for Kamara than the Jets. Tampa Bay's rushing defense ranks third in the NFL at 91.2 yards per game, and they've given up the fifth-fewest touchdowns (nine) on the ground. Kamara turned in a subpar performance against the Bucs in late October: 19 rushes for 61 yards and three receptions for 15 yards.

3. Saints' front seven vs. Buccaneers' offensive line

Opponents have sacked Brady only 16 times this season, and his 2.8 percent sack rate matches the lowest of his career from the 2009 season. Both marks are the best in the NFL this season, a real tip of the cap to Tampa Bay's offensive line.

The Saints' defense has not consistently dominated opposing offensive lines or pressured quarterbacks. They have sacked quarterbacks during 5.9 percent of passing attempts, tied for 19th place in the NFL. Their 29 sacks are tied for 18th place in the league. They have 126 quarterback pressures, tied for 17th. They must boost those numbers against Tampa Bay in order to have any shot at victory.

How many of the Saints' defenders will be able to play? Linebackers Pete Werner (elbow) and Kaden Elliss (hamstring) plus defensive lineman Marcus Davenport (shoulder) are listed as questionable heading into this game. Reportedly, defensive end Cameron Jordan and defensive back C.J. Gardner-Johnson will be able to return to the lineup after missing last week's game.

Final Analysis

This contest will mark the end of the Saints' contention for the NFC South title or the continuation of the Saints' improbable quest to win the division. New Orleans must win this matchup and the three that follow it in addition to Tampa Bay dropping its last three games. Otherwise, the Saints, one of five 6-7 NFC teams, will likely have to sweep the remaining matchups and hope that the tiebreakers for a wild card fall their way.

Tampa Bay needs to win this game not just to secure the divisional title. The Buccaneers are tied with Arizona for the top seed in the NFC Playoffs. The Bucs need a victory in order to keep pace with the Cardinals.

If the Saints can pressure Brady and his crew into turnovers multiple times while not giving away the ball, the Saints might have a chance of duplicating the upset on Halloween. Otherwise, the Buccaneers will experience smooth sailing to their first divisional title since 2007.

Prediction: Buccaneers 34, Saints 17

Week 15 - The Late Games

Sunday, Dec. 19

LATE GAMES
Cincinnati Bengals at Denver Broncos, 4:05 pm (CBS)
Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers, 4:05 pm (CBS)

EARLY GAMES
Carolina Panthers at Buffalo Bills, 1:00 pm (FOX)
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins, 1:00 pm (CBS)
Green Bay Packers at Baltimore Ravens, 1:00 pm (FOX)
Arizona Cardinals at Detroit Lions, 1:00 pm (FOX)
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1:00 pm (CBS)
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants, 1:00 pm (FOX)
Tennessee Titans at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1:00 pm (CBS)

SNF
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 8:20 pm (NBC)

Monday, Dec. 20
Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns, 5:00 pm (NFL Network)
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears, 8:15 pm (ESPN)

Tuesday, Dec. 21
Washington Football Team at Philadelphia Eagles, 7:00 pm (FOX)
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams, 7:00 pm (FOX)



ALREADY PLAYED

Saturday, Dec. 18
New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts, 8:15 pm (NFL Network)

Thursday, Dec. 16
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers, 8:20 pm (FOX, NFL Network, Amazon)

Week 15 - The Early Games

Sunday, Dec. 19

EARLY GAMES
Carolina Panthers at Buffalo Bills, 1:00 pm (FOX)
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins, 1:00 pm (CBS)
Green Bay Packers at Baltimore Ravens, 1:00 pm (FOX)
Arizona Cardinals at Detroit Lions, 1:00 pm (FOX)
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1:00 pm (CBS)
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants, 1:00 pm (FOX)
Tennessee Titans at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1:00 pm (CBS)

LATE GAMES
Cincinnati Bengals at Denver Broncos, 4:05 pm (CBS)
Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers, 4:05 pm (CBS)

SNF
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 8:20 pm (NBC)

Monday, Dec. 20
Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns, 5:00 pm (NFL Network)
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears, 8:15 pm (ESPN)

Tuesday, Dec. 21
Washington Football Team at Philadelphia Eagles, 7:00 pm (FOX)
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams, 7:00 pm (FOX)



ALREADY PLAYED

Saturday, Dec. 18
New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts, 8:15 pm (NFL Network)

Thursday, Dec. 16
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers, 8:20 pm (FOX, NFL Network, Amazon)

So my favorite breakfast place just got better

I have posted about this place in the food porn thread but I just found a new appreciation for it.

My wife commented about an armadillo behind the bar. When I looked, all I saw was these bobbleheads.

This place is great and run by a really fun - I assume by watching her interaction with her staff - early 30's owner.

If any of you are ever in Reno, you need to check out PJ's.

BTW... I don't know the owners, nor do I have any fiscal stake in the place. It's just a damned good breakfast (and maybe other time) place.PXL_20211218_182843159.jpg

SaNF - Patriots at Colts

New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts​

On Saturday night, the New England Patriots take their seven-game winning streak to the Circle City to face the playoff-seeking Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium.

The Patriots (9-4) have emerged as the AFC's best team after starting the season just 2-4. When it comes to sheer size and physicality, New England might be the best team in the land. Two weeks ago, they absolutely imposed their will on the road against Buffalo, rushing the ball 46 times and throwing the fewest passes in an NFL ballgame since 1974 with three, beating the Bills 14-10 in wildly blustery conditions. Now, fresh off their bye week, the Patriots look to keep their train rolling to an eighth straight win and another impressive victory on the road.

The Colts (7-6) are also coming off a bye week and have now found themselves holding a playoff spot (sixth seed). Two weeks ago, they did exactly what they needed to against the Texans, dismantling Houston on the road, 31-0. Indy has won four of their last five ball games and six of their last eight to help overcome that terrible 0-3 start to the year. A win against New England on Saturday night would further cement their playoff positioning but also spark chaos amongst the rest of the postseason picture.

New England (9-4) at Indianapolis (7-6)

Kickoff: Saturday, Dec. 18 at 8:20 p.m. ET
TV: NFL Network
Spread: Colts -2.5

Three Things to Watch

1. Pats' run D vs. JT28

The New England defense has the biggest and arguably the most physically imposing front seven in all the NFL. But their greatest asset is their ability to adapt to each opponent as head coach Bill Belichick famously changes his defensive schemes from week to week. So far this season, this Patriots defensive unit has been as dynamic as any New England defense since their early Belichick Super Bowl runs with guys like Willie McGinest, Mike Vrabel, Ty Law, and Tedy Bruschi.

This version of the Patriots D is the stingiest unit in the league at 15.4 points allowed per game. In their last five wins, they've been a pure force, limiting teams to just 7.2 points per game, never allowing more than 20 points. They've been exceptional against the run, holding opposing offenses to less than 100 yards rushing in five of their last seven games.

But the Patriots have yet to face a running attack as dangerous and tenacious as this Colts' rushing game. Indy is the best in the league at pounding the rock, ranking first in yards per carry (5.1) and second in rushing yards per game (151).

Jonathan Taylor is the best back in the NFL right now, bar none, leading the league with 1,348 yards and 16 rushing touchdowns. Like the Pats' defense, Taylor doesn't have a distinct playing style. He can wear down a defense over the course of a game with power runs between the tackles, with enough shiftiness to skirt by linebackers in tight spaces, and breakaway speed to take one to the house from 40-plus yards out. He leads the league in evaded tackles, yards created, juke rate, rushing yards over expectation, rushing yards before and after contact, and explosive runs.

It's amazing it took head coach Frank Reich 10 games before he gave Taylor more than 20 carries in a game. Since then, the only non-20 carry game Taylor had was against Tampa Bay, a Colts loss. Taylor was still able to tag the Bucs for 5.1 yards per carry and a touchdown despite only having 16 carries. It's no surprise the Colts are 7-0 when Taylor hits the 100-yard mark this season. The man is a monster.

I would expect a heavy, heavy dose of Taylor this week against the Pats. Even though their run defense has been so tough as of late, New England did have a hiccup recently against a similar offensive line to that of the Colts when they allowed the Titans to shove 270 yards rushing down their throat with D'Onta Foreman and Dontrell Hilliard (who?) running the ball.

Watching these two massive front lines push and shove one another up front could be the biggest factor in this game. With center Ryan Kelly back in the lineup this week for Indy, and the great Quenton Nelson to his immediate left, you have to like the Colts' chances with Taylor in the backfield.

2. Be careful what you wish for: Mac Jones edition

There is no doubt about it, much like the Colts, the Patriots' offense is built around their power running game. The Pats have nine straight games of gaining at least 100 yards on the ground and run the ball on 49.1-percent of their offensive snaps, the sixth-highest mark in the league. Running backs Damien Harris (754 yds., 4.6 ypc) and Rhamondre Stevenson (429, 4.3) have formed a formidable one-two punch, and the Pats' O-line is as tough as they come.

I totally expect the Colts to be aggressive in their attempts to stop the Pats' ground game. Look for defensive coordinator Matt Eberflus to stack the box with his linebackers and dial run blitzes all night long. The Colts probably trust their dynamic defensive backs enough in man-to-man coverage to blitz more than usual against the rookie Mac Jones. Jones is pretty average against the blitz, ranking 17th in yards per attempt (6.9) and rating (86.1) against pressure.

By attacking Jones, the Colts will hope to keep him from throwing to the sidelines, where he's the most dangerous, and more toward the middle of the field where he hardly ever throws. Jones has only five completed passes between the hashes since Week 6.

And therein lies the knock on Jones. He's too safe. He's just a game manager. He's 23rd in completed air yards (5.3) and intended air yards (7.6), 22nd in deep throws (43), and 20th in danger throws. He doesn't take a lot of chances with the football.

But safe doesn't mean bad. In the Patriots' case, it's about balance. In fact, the Patriots' passing attack, especially Jones, has been really good during this seven-game win streak. During this run, Jones is completing 69.4 percent of his throws, with a 106.1 rating, and a 9-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Jones' eight games of at least 70-percent completion rate are the most in the NFL this year. And his numbers in play-action passing situations are about eight points better across the board than in standard throws.

So, while his numbers may not be Rodgers or Brady-like (yet), Jones has proven that he's a vital part of this Patriots offense and the team's success as a whole. Test him if you dare, Indy.

3. Protect the ball, win the game

As has been said many times, success in the NFL comes down to who is the healthiest, who protects the football, and who takes the football away. That equation is our rock and a hard place for Saturday night.

The Colts and the Patriots are the two best teams in the league when it comes to forcing turnovers, ranking first and second in defensive turnover percentage, respectively. The Colts lead the league in forced turnovers with 29, including 14 fumbles recovered. New England's defense is third with 26 turnovers gained and ranks second with 19 interceptions. In each of their last three games, the Patriots have forced nine takeaways and the Colts eight. New England cornerback J.C. Jackson's seven interceptions and Indy linebacker Darius Leonard's five forced fumbles are both ranked second in their respective categories in the NFL this season.

On the flip side, both teams are very good at protecting the football, especially their quarterbacks. Despite some head-scratching, game-defying interceptions earlier in the year, Carson Wentz is still having the best year of his career protecting the football. Over the last five games, Wentz has just three turnovers, two of which were interceptions (that weren't his fault) against Tampa Bay. Jones protects the ball like a seasoned vet. He's only given the ball away three times in the Pats' seven-game streak with just eight picks this whole year.

Simply put, whichever team that protects the ball better will come out on top. If the game should turn into a turnover fest, I'd think that would favor Indy and their offense's ability to strike with the big play.

Final Analysis

This game is extremely evenly matched and with two very balanced teams. To me, it comes down to coaching styles. Reich is aggressive and bold but sometimes veers away from his bread and butter. While Belichick always sticks to the plan, even if that means only throwing three passes in a game. If Reich gives Taylor at least 25 carries, I like the Colts' chances at home. But, I've also learned to never count out a Belichick-coached team.

Prediction: Patriots 24, Colts 22

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the nfl

is about to bring this whole covid BS to an end...

and they have to...

the lies and bullshit have reached their peak... and it's over...

we're not getting sick... mutations are ALWAYS less severe.. and that's a scientific fact, as all scientist's know...

stop the BS guys...

let's play football....

go rams

slo

Rams Beat Cards (Snap Count)

Didn't see this posted yet:


Rams Week 14 snap counts: How did LA replace six starters vs. Cardinals?​

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Cameron DaSilva

December 14, 2021 6:39 am PT

Every team has been forced to overcome injuries and absences due to COVID-19, and the Rams are no exception. They were without six starters on Monday night alone, losing five players to positive COVID-19 tests in the three days leading up to their game against the Cardinals.
Brian Allen missed the game with a knee injury suffered in Week 13, as well, leaving the Rams short-handed against the 10-2 Cardinals.

They still managed to beat their division rivals, 30-23, battling through the adversity of missing players such as Jalen Ramsey, Tyler Higbee and Rob Havenstein. Sean McVay and Raheem Morris were forced to draw help from the practice squad, also relying on backups who didn’t play much up to this point.
The snap counts show how the Rams replaced those six starters and who played more than usual Monday night.

Offense​

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The five starting offensive linemen, Matthew Stafford and Sony Michel all played every single snap. Joe Noteboom replaced Havenstein at right tackle and Shelton filled in at center for Allen, each performing at a high level given the circumstances. Michel carried the ball 20 times for 79 yards as the starter in place of Darrell Henderson Jr. again, giving him 44 carries in the last two games. He’s only missed two snaps in that span.

Kendall Blanton played a career-high 52 snaps against the Cardinals, getting thrown into action as Higbee’s replacement. Blanton began the year on the practice squad and had been elevated to the active roster before, but his role was limited as a reserve. Brycen Hopkins also played 20 snaps to set a new career-high, though he definitely needs work as a blocker.

Cooper Kupp came off the field for only six snaps, while Van Jefferson and Odell Beckham Jr. played 79% and 72%, respectively. The Rams don’t have much depth at wide receiver now so they must rely on that trio of pass catchers. Ben Skowronek was the fourth receiver, playing 14 snaps – primarily on running downs.
Bobby Evans took on the role that Noteboom had last week as the sixth offensive lineman. He reported as eligible six times against the Cardinals.


Defense​

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With Jalen Ramsey and Dont’e Deayon out, Darious Williams and David Long Jr. became the starters at cornerback. They each played all 78 snaps on defense, as did Taylor Rapp and Jordan Fuller, who remain the starting safeties. Kareem Orr was the third cornerback on the depth chart, playing 51% of the snaps – his most of the season.

Greg Gaines and Aaron Donald hardly ever came off the field, which has become a common trend lately. They played 95% of the snaps against Arizona, impacting the game in a big way as pass rushers and run defenders.

At linebacker, Ernest Jones has clearly emerged as the top player for the Rams. He played 87% of the snaps and had a huge interception in the red zone, the second straight week he’s stepped up in a big way. Troy Reeder only played seven snaps, continuing his downward spiral. Justin Hollins returned from IR and played 17 snaps, many of which came at inside linebacker ahead of Reeder.

Terrell Burgess played his most snaps of the season, earning 33 reps on defense. He struggled as a tackler and in coverage, so it wasn’t the performance he was looking for in this big opportunity, but at least he got some playing time with Deayon and Ramsey out.

A’Shawn Robinson continues to be a rotational player for the Rams, playing 49% of the snaps. Marquise Copeland also played 11 snaps as the fourth defensive lineman.

Rewatched the Cards game and here are a few things I didn’t fully appreciate when watching live…

Stafford was superb. As others have said, he’s a Jekyll and Hyde QB. Monday night he was in a zone and would want few do overs.

Shelton played pretty darned well. Is he a UFA this offseason?

Rams need to extend Boom. It’s a no brainer.

We need to reinforce our TE room. This should be a high priority this offseason even if Mundt is back.

Okay, OBJ has won me over. The dude is a legit WEAPON paired with Stafford, Kupp, and Jefferson. Don’t know if he’s gonna be affordable but, if so, and after Woods returns this WR would be scary good. And deep.

Michel was a great signing. Without his running style I don’t like to think where this O would be today.

What a front 6 we have on D and with really good depth rotation, as well. Time and again they stuffed the run and still got 26 pressures on Murray. Truly impressive and a team strength.

Gaines is very easy to root for. No quit in that young man and we still don’t know how high is his ceiling. Can’t wait to find out. He’s making SJD look more and more expendable, huh?

Miller contained Murray on his side all night long. Wish I could say the same for Floyd and Hollins on the other side. They kept making the same mistakes time after time and Murray sure punished them for it. That’s a big hole in Floyd’s game and I hope he fixes it before we face Wilson on Sunday.

Kudos to the scout that pounded the table for Ernest Jones. That scout was WAY ahead of the rest of the league. What a value pick!

DW actually played even better than I thought, originally. Morris kinda unleashed him and it paid dividends. ‘Course, maybe it’s simply because he’s more healthy now.

I see CB as a big offseason need. I’m assuming that DW will leave and the jury is still out on Rochell as to whether he’s capable of starting opposite Ramsey next year.

Safety is a need next offseason, also. I had thought that we were deep but I was wrong. Gotta do better than Rapp and Scott back there. The better QB’s can just eat either alive.

I could nitpick a few calls by McVay and/or Morris, but hey. I thought that they both did yeoman’s work given the late shorthandedness. So, kudos to both.

T.V. Map Week 15


Saturday, Dec. 18
New England Patriots at Indianapolis Colts, 8:15 pm (NFL Network)

Sunday, Dec. 19

EARLY GAMES
Carolina Panthers at Buffalo Bills, 1:00 pm (FOX)
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins, 1:00 pm (CBS)
Green Bay Packers at Baltimore Ravens, 1:00 pm (FOX)
Arizona Cardinals at Detroit Lions, 1:00 pm (FOX)
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars, 1:00 pm (CBS)
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants, 1:00 pm (FOX)
Tennessee Titans at Pittsburgh Steelers, 1:00 pm (CBS)

LATE GAMES
Cincinnati Bengals at Denver Broncos, 4:05 pm (CBS)
Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers, 4:05 pm (CBS)

SNF
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 8:20 pm (NBC)

Monday, Dec. 20
Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns, 5:00 pm (NFL Network)
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears, 8:15 pm (ESPN)

Tuesday, Dec. 21
Washington Football Team at Philadelphia Eagles, 7:00 pm (FOX)
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams, 7:00 pm (FOX)



ALREADY PLAYED

Thursday, Dec. 16
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers, 8:20 pm (FOX, NFL Network, Amazon)

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